SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

Doomed once Trump thought they would work. He is the truth equivalent of antimatter.
True :lol:

To be fair, there weren't many reasons to think it will work. It was created for malaria (so it isn't even an anti-viral), and both WHO and FDA did not have it on the fifty-something drugs they were putting in a clinical trial. Obviously, FDA had to backtrack after Trump's insane shilling and eventually put it on trials, but the hope was always low. Dr. Fauci (who might know a thing or two about viruses) was always extremely skeptical towards it, to the point that Fox presenters couldn't understand why he just cannot see that hydroxychloroquine is the solution.
 
US and UK 'lead push against global patent pool for Covid-19 drugs'

While the US and China face off, the EU has taken the lead. The leaders of Italy, France, Germany and Norway, together with the European commission and council, called earlier this month for any innovative tools, therapeutics or vaccines to be shared equally and fairly.

“If we can develop a vaccine that is produced by the world, for the whole world, this will be a unique global public good of the 21st century,” they said in a statement.

In the weeks of negotiations leading up to the meeting, which is scheduled to last for less than a day, there has been a dispute over the language of the resolution. Countries with major pharmaceutical companies argue they need patents to guarantee sufficiently high prices in wealthy nations to recoup their research and development costs.

Even more fraught have been attempts to reinforce countries’ existing rights to break drug and vaccine company patent monopolies if they need to for the sake of public health. A hard-fought battle over Aids drugs 20 years ago led to the World Trade Organization’s Doha declaration on trade-related intellectual property (Trips) in favour of access to medicines for all, but the US, which has some of the world’s biggest drug companies, has strongly opposed wording that would encourage the use of Trips.


https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...against-global-patent-pool-for-covid-19-drugs
 
I may have caught it. Will most likely find out between today or tomorrow.
 
True :lol:

To be fair, there weren't many reasons to think it will work. It was created for malaria (so it isn't even an anti-viral), and both WHO and FDA did not have it on the fifty-something drugs they were putting in a clinical trial. Obviously, FDA had to backtrack after Trump's insane shilling and eventually put it on trials, but the hope was always low. Dr. Fauci (who might know a thing or two about viruses) was always extremely skeptical towards it, to the point that Fox presenters couldn't understand why he just cannot see that hydroxychloroquine is the solution.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news...king-hydroxychloroquine-covid-19-fda-warnings
 
Still seeing some pretty sick patients coming through A&E. Granted, the numbers are small but they are still coming through the door on a daily basis.

A gentleman I treated yesterday in resus had oxygen saturations of 44% on air. I’ve been sensitised so much by seeing these numbers so often that I’ve forgotten how incredibly surreal it is to see numbers that low. He went to ITU yesterday.

I’m glad to see numbers dropping daily but I am very wary of it still. People are taking the easing of restrictions too lightly. Another peak will come - what isn’t clear is how big it’ll be. Hopefully much smaller than our previous peak.
 
Isnt this the day numbers go up in Germany after the weekend lag?

No doubt someone will be posting a link to it later implying/claiming a 'second wave is coming'.
 

I saw that. Not ideal but the kind of thing you should do anyway. I’m scrupulous about closing to flush after seeing a video years ago where they put fluorescent dye in the bathroom jacks as an experiment. Fecking stuff got everywhere. Including all over the toothbrushes. Bleurgh.

It’s also not a huge surprise that someone who is seriously unwell might shite the virus. Anyone who is that sick should be nowhere near other people anyway. What we don’t know is if the same is true for mild or asymptomatic cases. Hopefully not.
 
I saw that. Not ideal but the kind of thing you should do anyway. I’m scrupulous about closing to flush after seeing a video years ago where they put fluorescent dye in the bathroom jacks as an experiment. Fecking stuff got everywhere. Including all over the toothbrushes. Bleurgh.

It’s also not a huge surprise that someone who is seriously unwell might shite the virus. Anyone who is that sick should be nowhere near other people anyway. What we don’t know is if the same is true for mild or asymptomatic cases. Hopefully not.

True, even in the work here with very sick people, it seemed like they had to work pretty hard to get some viable virus developing. However, if a tiny risk can encourage people not to splash toilet water all over the place, then I'm absolutely here to fearmonger about it.
 
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At least care homes are coming down and ONS are showing data throughout regularly. Italy data stops at 31st of March showing 11k excess deaths with 13k official.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...gher-than-reported-stats-office-idUSKBN22G1WM

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/21/world/coronavirus-missing-deaths.html
 
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Doubts raised over Oxford coronavirus vaccine after ALL of the monkeys that took part in the trial are found to have contracted the disease
  • All six rhesus monkeys given the vaccine still became infected with Covid-19
  • There were also warnings that they may have been able to spread the virus
  • Oxford University vaccine has already been steam-rolled into human trials
  • A professor from Imperial trial warned vaccine unlikely to be ready before 2021
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/science...ine-does-not-stop-infection-experts-warn.html
 
5x1cz3Q.jpg


cmSeOUW.jpg


At least care homes are coming down and ONS are showing data throughout regularly. Italy data stops at 31st of March showing 11k excess deaths with 13k official.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...gher-than-reported-stats-office-idUSKBN22G1WM

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/21/world/coronavirus-missing-deaths.html

The data shows that the peak in care home deaths was about 10 days after the peak in hospitals. It would be interesting to know if that was an identifiable cause (shared agency staff between hospitals/care homes, elderly patients being sent back to care homes having unknowingly contracted the virus in hospital, something else?)
 
My 81 year old grandad beat it at home.

My 75 year old, life long smoker, overweight, type 2 diabetic, grandmother was hospitalized, but her two recent tests came back negative.

Nearly outta the woods.
 
There's currently 30+ kids playing football that I can see from my window. There were 100+ of younger children in the park mostly with their parents. All mixing and playing with each other. Countless more groups of teenagers riding around on bikes or sitting about. All then going back to their families later, going into supermarkets, meeting other friends, etc.

Are the people who are so worried about schools being open actually being serious or living in some kind of delusion where no one's been outside for months? The only significant difference I can see it could possibly make is that it'll free up a lot of parents and mean a lot of struggling families can actually cope a lot easier. it will also stop thousands of poor people losing their jobs when shops inevitably reopen next month.

If someone has some kind of data that tells me otherwise please show me but it seems like a ridiculous thing to be bitching about to me. I would have thought the focus now should be purely on how to continue protecting the most at risk people going forwards, without completely taking their lives away from them. Especting kids to ever be able to go into school without any of them ever being ill is like closing all the roads then saying you wont re-open them until you can guarantee no one will ever crash their car again
 
Doubts raised over Oxford coronavirus vaccine after ALL of the monkeys that took part in the trial are found to have contracted the disease
  • All six rhesus monkeys given the vaccine still became infected with Covid-19
  • There were also warnings that they may have been able to spread the virus
  • Oxford University vaccine has already been steam-rolled into human trials
  • A professor from Imperial trial warned vaccine unlikely to be ready before 2021
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/science...ine-does-not-stop-infection-experts-warn.html

why are people still allowed to post daily mail articles on this website? Should be a complete ban.
 
Wonder if we’ll see the PM anytime soon? What a lazy prick he is.
 
There's currently 30+ kids playing football that I can see from my window. There were 100+ of younger children in the park mostly with their parents. All mixing and playing with each other. Countless more groups of teenagers riding around on bikes or sitting about. All then going back to their families later, going into supermarkets, meeting other friends, etc.

Are the people who are so worried about schools being open actually being serious or living in some kind of delusion where no one's been outside for months? The only significant difference I can see it could possibly make is that it'll free up a lot of parents and mean a lot of struggling families can actually cope a lot easier. it will also stop thousands of poor people losing their jobs when shops inevitably reopen next month.

If someone has some kind of data that tells me otherwise please show me but it seems like a ridiculous thing to be bitching about to me. I would have thought the focus now should be purely on how to continue protecting the most at risk people going forwards, without completely taking their lives away from them. Especting kids to ever be able to go into school without any of them ever being ill is like closing all the roads then saying you wont re-open them until you can guarantee no one will ever crash their car again

There's been plenty of articles shared by people that have addressed how you're much more like to spread this in contained areas with prolonged exposure.

Playing in the park in the open for a bit isn't comparable to a school day. I find the argument of 'well people are breaking the rules anyway' as a terrible one to support opening schools.
 
There's currently 30+ kids playing football that I can see from my window. There were 100+ of younger children in the park mostly with their parents. All mixing and playing with each other. Countless more groups of teenagers riding around on bikes or sitting about. All then going back to their families later, going into supermarkets, meeting other friends, etc.

Are the people who are so worried about schools being open actually being serious or living in some kind of delusion where no one's been outside for months? The only significant difference I can see it could possibly make is that it'll free up a lot of parents and mean a lot of struggling families can actually cope a lot easier. it will also stop thousands of poor people losing their jobs when shops inevitably reopen next month.

If someone has some kind of data that tells me otherwise please show me but it seems like a ridiculous thing to be bitching about to me. I would have thought the focus now should be purely on how to continue protecting the most at risk people going forwards, without completely taking their lives away from them. Especting kids to ever be able to go into school without any of them ever being ill is like closing all the roads then saying you wont re-open them until you can guarantee no one will ever crash their car again
There's been plenty of articles shared by people that have addressed how you're much more like to spread this in contained areas with prolonged exposure.

Playing in the park in the open for a bit isn't comparable to a school day. I find the argument of 'well people are breaking the rules anyway' as a terrible one to support opening schools.

As well as the much higher risk of transmission indoors, the other important difference between kids mingling in school and mingling in the park is that school re-opening puts employees of the state (teachers) in a situation with a reasonable chance of getting very sick. And some of them will probably die. Which is a big deal when you could argue that finishing this school year at home won’t do the kids much harm at all.
 
https://civilservice.blog.gov.uk/2019/07/08/please-dont-call-me-bame-or-bme/

Good blog post about it. The problem with the term BAME is that barely anyone knows what it stands for. Just be straight up.
Plus lumping such a big group of diverse people seems strange and even lazy. Even within the ethnicities you have more groups which are different to the others.

In this context it works fine. We’re talking about the increased mortality in black and Asian (Uk meaning of the word) people from this virus. Considering “Asian” can mean different things in the US vs Uk it makes sense to use a description that is at least consistent in different parts of the world.
 
There's been plenty of articles shared by people that have addressed how you're much more like to spread this in contained areas with prolonged exposure.

Playing in the park in the open for a bit isn't comparable to a school day. I find the argument of 'well people are breaking the rules anyway' as a terrible one to support opening schools.

I've yet to see any actual scientific evidence that it's a considerable risk, and nothing to suggest it comes close to outweighing the problems with not opening them. If you have anything that tells me otherwise please show me as I'm actually quite open to finding out more one way or the other. All the "articles" I've seen are just baseless assumptions or are using deliberately misleading information.

Again "this" isn't comparable to "that" isn't an argument unless you've got something impartial that backs it up. 100 kids playing in a confined area, constantly coming and going (meaning you're actually talking about multiple hundreds, 100+ parents standing there with them is obviously comparable on some level. None of these people are expert doctors or scientists who've come up with some detailed risk analysis as to why this is not a problem but a regulated and controlled classroom is. I find it completely bonkers. It's an argument based on fear and paranoia, and people who just want a stick to beat the government with.

People will always break the rules and that's not really the point. The point is what people's idea of what a "safe" situation to send a kid back to school actually is. I've seen a lot of people say it isn't a safe situation, but none of them tell me what a safe situation would be that is actually even remotely realistic...and none of them explain to me how just not opening them as a result is going to work in anyone's favour.
 
As well as the much higher risk of transmission indoors, the other important difference between kids mingling in school and mingling in the park is that school re-opening puts employees of the state (teachers) in a situation with a reasonable chance of getting very sick. And some of them will probably die. Which is a big deal when you could argue that finishing this school year at home won’t do the kids much harm at all.

But you can work on minimising obvious risks. For a start, they aren't sending al kids back to school. I wouldn't expect any teacher in any at risk category to be expected to go into a school. There isn't even any need for them too at this point.

Outdoors and indoors does make a difference, but you can regulate how many people are in a classroom and how long for, and how close they are to each other. It's not exactly rocket science. You can't regulate hundreds of children playing in a sand pit with half the parents in there with them. You can kick them out of the park if you want but I'm not even sure what that achieves.

The point I'm getting at here is there is NO situation where it's possible to open schools and there be absolutely no increased risk of anything. There wont be at any point in the forseable future and possibly ever again. It is like trying to eliminate anyone at school ever spreading the cold or flu ever again. So someone needs to come up with a compromise and whining about it while offering no middle ground is not going to help anyone or result in anything other than open conflict, because keeping them closed is simply not an option, and offering completely unrealistic arguments just means the government will ignore it and open them as planned.

It might not do SOME kids much harm from an education point of view to keep the schools closed until after the summer holidays, but what would then be the solution for all the people living in poverty who need to work and support their children during this time, given that businesses are starting to go back to operating normally even now? Once you're after the summer holidays a lot of these people wont be on furlough or have near the same level of support as now (which a lot of them are finding a huge struggle as it is, based on demands for things lie food banks). Last time there were reliable figures you're talking about literally millions of families. Schools are a very important factor in all this. And Pogue you know full well that circumstances like this have a MASSIVE effect on a child.

I also missed 2 months of school around this time when I was 15 due to my mum being very ill and I can tell you it was quite a big problem. Not so much education wise maybe as I managed to just about blag my way through, but certainly from a social and development point of view.

The mindset really does need to change at some point as it feels to me like people are still living in a fantasy world where the virus is just going to go away. That's been off the table since before we were even in lockdown. The arguments people are putting forwards for why you can't open a school are all argument that will still apply in a month's time, two months time, six months time. At this point it's ideas and solutions that are needed, not just repeating the same stuff over and over.
 
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But you can work on minimising obvious risks. For a start, they aren't sending al kids back to school. I wouldn't expect any teacher in any at risk category to be expected to go into a school. There isn't even any need for them too at this point.

Outdoors and indoors does make a difference, but you can regulate how many people are in a classroom and how long for, and how close they are to each other. It's not exactly rocket science. You can't regulate hundreds of children playing in a sand pit with half the parents in there with them. You can kick them out of the park if you want but I'm not even sure what that achieves.

The point I'm getting at here is there is NO situation where it's possible to open schools and there be absolutely no increased risk of anything. There wont be at any point in the forseable future and possibly ever again. It is like trying to eliminate anyone at school ever spreading the cold or flu ever again. So someone needs to come up with a compromise and whining about it while offering no middle ground is not going to help anyone or result in anything other than open conflict, because keeping them closed is simply not an option, and offering completely unrealistic arguments just means the government will ignore it and open them as planned.

It might not do SOME kids much harm from an education point of view to keep the schools closed until after the summer holidays, but what would then be the solution for all the people living in poverty who need to work and support their children during this time, given that businesses are starting to go back to operating normally even now? Once you're after the summer holidays a lot of these people wont be on furlough or have near the same level of support as now (which a lot of them are finding a huge struggle as it is, based on demands for things lie food banks). Last time there were reliable figures you're talking about literally millions of families. Schools are a very important factor in all this. And Pogue you know full well that circumstances like this have a MASSIVE effect on a child.

I also missed 2 months of school around this time when I was 15 due to my mum being very ill and I can tell you it was quite a big problem. Not so much education wise maybe as I managed to just about blag my way through, but certainly from a social and development point of view.

The mindset really does need to change at some point as it feels to me like people are still living in a fantasy world where the virus is just going to go away. That's been off the table since before we were even in lockdown. The arguments people are putting forwards for why you can't open a school are all argument that will still apply in a month's time, two months time, six months time. At this point it's ideas and solutions that are needed, not just repeating the same stuff over and over.

Without getting into a lot of the detail of what you’re saying one massive reason why the UK might not be ready to open schools again this term is because this epidemic is still absolutely raging in your country. Plus your ability to test and track community spread seems to be a good bit behind most of the rest of the world.

With a bit of luck things will be very different in September. A lot can change for the better in a couple of months, even though we all know a treatment or vaccine won’t be available in that timeframe.

EDIT: Should also add, I’m sorry to hear about your shitty experience aged 15. But I’m sure you’d agree that missing two months of school while all your peers were still going is a hell of a lot tougher than it would be for kids all missing out on school at the same time.
 
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