UnofficialDevil
Anti Scottish and Preoccupied with Donkeys.
If that happens, they will have nothing to lose in pressing the nuke button.Tweet
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From a professor at IE Business school in Madrid.
If that happens, they will have nothing to lose in pressing the nuke button.Tweet
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From a professor at IE Business school in Madrid.
This makes me happyUkraine forces have been successful at targeting Russian fuel trucks.
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Pressing the button is a pure loss scenario. No chance of gain. Through all of what's happened so far and what is yet to come, Russia has a chance of gain and it is achievable by standing down.If that happens, they will have nothing to lose in pressing the button.
That professor's scenario is a pure loss one though.Pressing the button is a pure loss scenario. No chance of gain. Through all of what's happened so far and what is yet to come, Russia has a chance of gain and it is achievable by standing down.
Oh, I imagine there will be a lot to do all over the country and there will be a lot of volunteering possibilities.I've been thinking that, if Ukraine survives this as a free and democratic nation and the Russian troops leave, I could go there for a few weeks and do whatever I can to help in ways that don't really need me to understand the Ukrainian language - e.g. help to cart away rubble, or clean up stuff, or help cook food.
Is this a good idea or would I just be an unwanted distraction?
It's a pure loss of the kind nations have had before. Pressing the button is a pure loss in that it will 100% guaranteed wipe out your own civilization and country, and the survivors will probably know you're responsible.That professor's scenario is a pure loss one though.
No it's not, an end to sanctions can be negotiated. They're also still receiving €1bn a day from Europe for oil and gas and China are still tacitly supporting them, albeit very much at arm's length now.That professor's scenario is a pure loss one though.
They do, as they want to create propaganda that civilians are running to Russia and not west. That Russia saved them from Ukrainian neonazis that were shelling them.I don't think they care about where they are evacuated...
It might well be selection bias, but the more you read things and see video clips, the more it looks like the Russian military campaign is a totally disorganised mess.Tweet
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They shouldn't let him in.We've all read about some ukranian army connections to neonazis in the past. Today I read that a famous portuguese neonazi is going to ukraine with a group of other neonazis to fight for Ukraine. I'm curious if this is happening in other countries. Definitely not the kind of publicity they want at this point.
We are only seeing one side. Very few informations on UA losses. Russians are still advancing. If Kharkiv and Mariupol fall, that might be huge for their war effort. They'll stall eventually, but question is where and how long.It might well be selection bias, but the more you read things and see video clips, the more it looks like the Russian military campaign is a totally disorganised mess.
If they do, I'll have to root for the russians who face him and his buddies. These guys fit exactly what the russian propaganda is saying, absolute scum.They shouldn't let him in.
A pure loss scenario is when you have only a chance of loss or no loss, and no chance to gain.That professor's scenario is a pure loss one though.
They'll let him in. Look up Azov batallion.They shouldn't let him in.
I know about the Azov batallion.They'll let him in. Look up Azov batallion.
They should. Wind him up and point him at some impossible to take position and then we'll never have to hear from him again.They shouldn't let him in.
Advancing is not necessarily a good idea at this point...going further from your fuel and ammo supplies isn't where I'd want to be if I were a Russian soldier.We are only seeing one side. Very few informations on UA losses. Russians are still advancing. If Kharkiv and Mariupol fall, that might be huge for their war effort. They'll stall eventually, but question is where and how long.
I was just saying that if they dont stand down and that professor's scenario materializes, Russia is sent back to Stone Age while the rest of the world moves on, they will have nothing to lose in pressing the nuke button. Far stretched, I know.A pure loss scenario is when you have only a chance of loss or no loss, and no chance to gain.
Russia's economy going to shit because of Putin's war is one that still has a chance of gain despite the forecast. If his forces stand down and the sanctions are lifted the economy can recover. As we've seen in the past with Russia, even in the darkest times, their economy can bounce back relatively quickly,
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What they'll lose is the opportunity to go back to what they had...and having China at your back hardly puts you in the Stone Age anyway, it just means a massive and difficult reorganisation of their economy and little scope for growth.I was just saying that if they dont stand down and that professor's scenario materializes, Russia is sent back to Stone Age while the rest of the world moves on, they will have nothing to lose in pressing the nuke button. Far stretched, I know.
The fact that they lost encrypted communications is amazing. I've seen a few pics of dubious origin of Russian pilots with Garmins for use as GPS in their planes, but there do seem to be more stories about the shoddy comms equipment the Russians are using more broadly. Hopefully the Ukrainians captured some of the secure comms equipment as well so it can be used against the Russians.Tweet
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And that's mostly correct but it does have one tiny flaw in that they would still have a chance to gain* by stepping back and reintegrating.I was just saying that if they dont stand down and that professor's scenario materializes, Russia is sent back to Stone Age while the rest of the world moves on, they will have nothing to lose in pressing the nuke button. Far stretched, I know.
Azov battalion is recruiting those people around Europe, so yes this happens not only in Portugal. And yes, sadly this is giving Russia some credibility.We've all read about some ukranian army connections to neonazis in the past. Today I read that a famous portuguese neonazi is going to ukraine with a group of other neonazis to fight for Ukraine. I'm curious if this is happening in other countries. Definitely not the kind of publicity they want at this point.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...endence-on-russian-gas-by-almost-80-this-yearTweet
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Seems to be cutting off your nose to spite your face. Gas and oil are going to be their only major revenue sources, and they can't suddenly start shipping it to China. They don't have the pipelines or to convert it to LNH.
How do you lose secure comms? Did the battery run out? Some of these I find hard to believe. They paint a picture of an army as if organised by several caf posters.Tweet
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Era needs 3g/4g to communicate
A tiny sliver. One national guard battalion that isn't even regular army that has approximately 10% neo-nazi followers in its ranks.Azov battalion is recruiting those people around Europe, so yes this happens not only in Portugal. And yes, sadly this is giving Russia some credibility.
Yeah, which will drive up the price of oil, but the US only imports about 3-5% of its oil from Russia so it isn't a huge amount. That's why the US is trying to mend fences with Venezuela since they could increase capacity manyfold and replace Russia, but they are incompetent without outside help and can't under current sanctions.https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...endence-on-russian-gas-by-almost-80-this-year
US look set to stop importing oil from Russia too.
I added follow-up tweets about their secure comms in my previous post. They basically disabled their ability to use them because they are morons.How do you lose secure comms? Did the battery run out? Some of these I find hard to believe. They paint a picture of an army as if organised by several caf posters.
God bless you for thinking there are no far right members in the Russian armed forces. I too hope Putin’s socialist regime wins this war!If they do, I'll have to root for the russians who face him and his buddies. These guys fit exactly what the russian propaganda is saying, absolute scum.
I'm sure there are, but some of these guys have been beating immigrants for years where I live (they even murdered an african student years ago), so there's an emotional connection.God bless you for thinking there are no far right members in the Russian armed forces. I too hope Putin’s socialist regime wins this war!
If only there was a clear Zymbol we could Zee to indicate who the real faZcists are in thiZ war.
If Putin starts doing that I am sure a few people within his inner circles will step up to the plate.If that happens, they will have nothing to lose in pressing the nuke button.
The war in Ukraine is costly... getting $1B a day when the war is estimated to cost more than that a day.No it's not, an end to sanctions can be negotiated. They're also still receiving €1bn a day from Europe for oil and gas and China are still tacitly supporting them, albeit very much at arm's length now.
The only thing I'd disagree with about the contents of that thread is the comment that for the Russians "... time is likely on their side if they are will to endure the punishing sanctions and casualties".Tweet
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Fair enough. I agree with the sentiment that these unsavoury elements do Ukraine no favours especially from an outside perspective, but as someone who has spent years in the country, in the areas where the Ukrainian resistance (and therefore the collaboration with the Nazis) led by Bandera is most invoked, I’ve never met or seen anyone celebrating Nazism in public. People give over due prominence to Azov and other right-wing fringe elements in Ukraine.I'm sure there are, but some of these guys have been beating immigrants for years where I live (they even murdered an african student years ago), so there's an emotional connection.
He's wasting his time. Macron better not hope for any better with a mad man.Macron today after his phone call with Putin.
but if you were a very nationalistic russian patriot, or a non-nationalist but caught up in that propaganda, you would think "how bad is the ruble, let's go home" or you would continue, even more convinced that together they want to end Russia, trying their weapons against your poor soldiers.The only thing I'd disagree with about the contents of that thread is the comment that for the Russians "... time is likely on their side if they are will to endure the punishing sanctions and casualties".
Time is not on their side IMO. There are questions over how long they can finance their campaign at a huge cost per day, plus there will be growing unrest inside Russia over sanctions biting and troops arriving back in coffins, and all the while more defensive weapons and pro-Ukrainian fighters pour into the country.