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Title Race 22/23

Olecurls99

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Yep, the go to line when you know you are wrong.

All I did was double Arsenal after 18 games, with 20 to play.

I will explain to you slowly so you can follow the goal.

After 18 games Arsenal are 47 points

I said responding to a poster who thinks Arsenal will get less than 80 because thats what happened when Neville was playing. Again because I know you have just replied to the last bit I will give you context what the poster said.

"It's more a case of Liverpool and City's 90+ point seasons embedded into our brains. Neville had a point when he said this feels like a season from his playing days."

In Neville days - we won the title in 2011 with 80 points because for some reason 90+ is unachievable so we cant take when Neville won it with 90.

So in 20 games I said Arsenal could end up with 94 points. If you subtract 94 - 47 = 47 points in 20 games. I did not say identical.

So in 18 games Arsenal have 47 and I said after another 20 they could easily get another 47 points.

In the last 3/5 seasons the team that has won the league has got within 5 points of what they got in 19 games.

So where has the goal post moved?
Hmmm
 

Olecurls99

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Here you go @justsomebloke @Berbaclass

Evidence, Arsenal have the 4th best start ever to a PL campaign after 18 games. This is the reason I think they win the league.

Look at all the teams who have had the similar starts, they are all hitting around the 90 point mark
They might hit 90. It'll be a stretch though. They are missing 1 player through injury tbf
 

ti vu

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They might hit 90. It'll be a stretch though. They are missing 1 player through injury tbf
Saliba is their VVD?

They were title contender last few seasons when he's out on loan. And his injury looks like fecking their title run in :wenger:

.......
 

BorisManUtd

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City's remaining games: Everton (A), Chelsea (H), Brighton (A), Brentford (A).

Arsenal's remaining games: Newcastle (A), Brighton (H), Forest (A), Wolves (H).

Though City could win all 4, it's not like it's super easy games left for them + they got 2 matches vs Real Madrid coming. But they would have to lose one and draw one and Arsenal to win all 4 games for Arsenal to win it.

While I can see City dropping few points in 1-2 games (well probably only one), Arsenal still have to go today and win at Newcastle. Then win vs Brighton at Emirates. So it's minimal chances atm.
 

Dumbstar

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No offence to Arsenal but I did say a few weeks ago this season's league title has been the easiest one for Pep in the last five years. Arsenal's half way 47 points were phenomenal for sure but Pep never aims to win the Christmas battle - he has zero interest in that.

This season Pep knew quite early Klopp was no challenge so took his own foot off the pedal. He knew Arsenal are no battle-hardened Liverpool and would have a serious dip through mental fatigue and pressure. As has been the case.

Thanks to Klopp, Pep could focus on the CL and "bed in" a new system with Haaland and without Sterling. Remember, Redcafe was saying Haaland had broken City's style of play?
 

Siorac

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No offence to Arsenal but I did say a few weeks ago this season's league title has been the easiest one for Pep in the last five years.
Both 2018 and 2021 were very obviously easier. They were 16 and 13 points clear at the same stage of the season, respectively.
 

Dumbstar

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Both 2018 and 2021 were very obviously easier. They were 16 and 13 points clear at the same stage of the season, respectively.
Yep they were. 2017/2018 just falls out of the 5 year scope. And 2020/21 was a horrendously injury full season (we were playing the equivalent of Phil Jones and Maguire for the majority of it :lol: :( ).

Arsenal have had their full squad uninjured and fresh for the most part, the likes of injury prone Xhaka, Martinelli, even Saka managed to play for the majority of the season. Still not enough for Pep to think about holding two fingers to the sky and he could freely change his style of play to accommodate Haaland with no real damage done.
 

Manchester Dan

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No offence to Arsenal but I did say a few weeks ago this season's league title has been the easiest one for Pep in the last five years. Arsenal's half way 47 points were phenomenal for sure but Pep never aims to win the Christmas battle - he has zero interest in that.

This season Pep knew quite early Klopp was no challenge so took his own foot off the pedal. He knew Arsenal are no battle-hardened Liverpool and would have a serious dip through mental fatigue and pressure. As has been the case.

Thanks to Klopp, Pep could focus on the CL and "bed in" a new system with Haaland and without Sterling. Remember, Redcafe was saying Haaland had broken City's style of play?
I disagree that it is an easy race, and still not yet finished, but… Did you still just try to make this years title race about Liverpool?
 

awop

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Yep they were. 2017/2018 just falls out of the 5 year scope. And 2020/21 was a horrendously injury full season (we were playing the equivalent of Phil Jones and Maguire for the majority of it :lol: :( ).

Arsenal have had their full squad uninjured and fresh for the most part, the likes of injury prone Xhaka, Martinelli, even Saka managed to play for the majority of the season. Still not enough for Pep to think about holding two fingers to the sky and he could freely change his style of play to accommodate Haaland with no real damage done.
This person does not exist but i feel your point relies heavily on hindsight.Had we only won 1 of those 3 draws i don't think Pep would consider this campaign a smooth cruise that he always knew he was winining. I agree that we were always going to dip but most people were looking at Newcastle/Brighton type of teams, not Southampton.
 

padr81

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This person does not exist but i feel your point relies heavily on hindsight.Had we only won 1 of those 3 draws i don't think Pep would consider this campaign a smooth cruise that he always knew he was winining. I agree that we were always going to dip but most people were looking at Newcastle/Brighton type of teams, not Southampton.
I don't think Pep or City have found it easy at all. I think we've smelled blood was your inexperience came to the fore but unless you drop points today the race is still ongoing. Think 3 points from 12 gave us real momentum but with a bit more know how and experience you guys would of had 7 (you should have beaten both WH and Liverpool) and would be neck and neck right now.

I don't anyone could predict you dropping those points in the manner you did, not even Pep so its been no smooth ride, even his losing his shit at Haaland and Gundogan yesterday show he's feeling it.
Its unfair of folk to say its not a title race, its 4 points with 4 games to go.

If you lose today it might be different but right now its absolutely still a race given we have Brighton away still to come and that and one other blip sees you have a chance.
You guys have had an excellent first half of the season but you've wavered a couple of times in the 2nd half of the season and been punished the 2nd time it happened. People trying to rewrite history thats its not been a good race is ridiculous when a month ago, most people were backing you to get it done.
 

amolbhatia50k

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This will be a third title in a row for City. Pep breaking all the records.

The only teams that have won the title in his time were Liverpool and Chelsea, and look how drained Klopp is.
It makes sense given Liverpool have been the only other well run and coached team but have nowhere near the obscene wealth that City do
 

Guy Incognito

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Still life in this race? Got a hunch City won't win their remaining games. Everton and Brighton away will be tricky.

Arsenal will be kicking themselves that they didn't beat West Ham nor Southampton.
 

amolbhatia50k

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Still life in this race? Got a hunch City won't win their remaining games. Everton and Brighton away will be tricky.

Arsenal will be kicking themselves that they didn't beat West Ham nor Southampton.
City to drop 5 points out of 12 and Arsenal none is not happening
 

wr8_utd

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Still life in this race? Got a hunch City won't win their remaining games. Everton and Brighton away will be tricky.

Arsenal will be kicking themselves that they didn't beat West Ham nor Southampton.
It's definitely still on even though City need to drop 5 points. Next week is the big chance for City to lose focus as they prepare for the Madrid second leg. Brentford and Brighton are both difficult away fixtures as well. If they do win next weekend though, it's probably over.
 

LARulz

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City to drop 5 points out of 12 and Arsenal none is not happening
May be unlikely but Brighton are no pushovers, Brentford away will be tough (think Brentford's last home game of the season?) and Chelsea could always pull a surprise, they still have some decent players on paper
 

ICB

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Still life in this race? Got a hunch City won't win their remaining games. Everton and Brighton away will be tricky.

Arsenal will be kicking themselves that they didn't beat West Ham nor Southampton.
It’s nearly completely over. Obviously always a possibility. Need a draw and a loss out of their last 4 games, which would be a collapse on their end.

City don’t do capitulations. They have periods where they are a bit lacklustre, but never full on capitulations.

I would genuinely be in complete shock if they somehow drop 4-5 points in their last 4 games.
 

RedRocket9908

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If Man Utd Women win the WSL will be a bigger achievement than City winning the Premier League, it would probably attract a bigger trophy parade as well.
 

ThatsGreat

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Title race is over but Arsenal need to finish the season strongly as often the momentum carries into next season.
 

Changeisgood

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Title race is over but Arsenal need to finish the season strongly as often the momentum carries into next season.
Yes, i think it's important to finish strong and push City hopefully to the last day.

Hard to believe we lost it playing because of the Soton games. At least they wont be around next year!
 

Dominos

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Still life in this race? Got a hunch City won't win their remaining games. Everton and Brighton away will be tricky.

Arsenal will be kicking themselves that they didn't beat West Ham nor Southampton.
City will make it nervy but get the job done in the end. Similar to how they drew 2-2 to West Ham last season and then went 2-0 down to Villa on the final day of the season.

If Arsenal hadn't dropped points to Southampton at home in the 3-3 they'd still fancy this race. They've just left City too much breathing room, they can draw twice and still win the league on goal difference.
 

Libero_of_Yore

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Arsenal won't drop points for the rest of the season. City might because they have one eye on the CL
Haven't City been playing CL games during their 17 game unbeaten run (Leipzig, Bayern). No reason to think they can't continue managing both.
 

Rooney in Paris

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No offence to Arsenal but I did say a few weeks ago this season's league title has been the easiest one for Pep in the last five years. Arsenal's half way 47 points were phenomenal for sure but Pep never aims to win the Christmas battle - he has zero interest in that.

This season Pep knew quite early Klopp was no challenge so took his own foot off the pedal. He knew Arsenal are no battle-hardened Liverpool and would have a serious dip through mental fatigue and pressure. As has been the case.

Thanks to Klopp, Pep could focus on the CL and "bed in" a new system with Haaland and without Sterling. Remember, Redcafe was saying Haaland had broken City's style of play?
You probably even believe that in your head, don't you?
 

Hughie77

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When City win it, they can thank West Ham for rolling over for them. By there supposed Ill players .. Well done let's see if there plan pays off on Thursday night?
 

Irwin99

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A defeat against Brighton and a draw against Brentford is the best people can hope for if you want to see City lose the league.

Maybe a desperate Everton could grab a point at home against City but very unlikely.
 

Siorac

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When City win it, they can thank West Ham for rolling over for them. By there supposed Ill players .. Well done let's see if there plan pays off on Thursday night?
Let's face it, City would have spanked them even if they had played their best XI. When City win the league, they can thank Arsenal for letting two-goal leads slip in consecutive games and failing to beat the 20th side at home.
 

Powderfinger

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City are on one of the all-time great runs. Since Feb 25th across all comps they're 15-1-0, outscoring opponents 52-8, with the draw being off a late equalizer during a comfortable second leg when they were up 4-0. Of the 8 goals they've conceded, five have been in meaningless situations in which its past the 70th minute and City is up by at least three goals and coasting. Essentially, they've conceded three potentially meaningful goals in 16 matches - Salah scoring first against them in a match they turned around to win 4-1, an early equalizer at Fulham after which it only took them 20 minutes to regain the lead, and an 85th minute goal this past weekend that brought Leeds back within 2-1. They haven't had the consistency over the course of the year that the Centurions had, partly due to learning to play with Haaland also seemingly dealing with a bunch of crap related to Cancelo, but their level over the last three months is as high as I've ever seen from them under Pep.

I don't see them tripping up twice in the last four games. If Arsenal was pressing them harder, they probably wouldn't even trip up once.
 
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Hughie77

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Let's face it, City would have spanked them even if they had played their best XI. When City win the league, they can thank Arsenal for letting two-goal leads slip in consecutive games and failing to beat the 20th side at home.
Maybe when Utd fielded weakend sides after they won league titles it was up roar. West Ham can do it so they can have fresh players for Europa conference and its fine? Same 4 or bad but fit for Sunday. ?
 

wr8_utd

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Sun could be interesting. City's form aside. Everton at home knowing a win will most likely keep them up
I definitely see City dropping points. They'll not be fully concentrating on the match and Goodison has never been easy for them. Think they'd take the draw.