2020 US Elections | Biden certified as President | Dems control Congress

Status
Not open for further replies.

Kentonio

Full Member
Scout
Joined
Dec 16, 2013
Messages
13,188
Location
Stamford Bridge
Supports
Chelsea
For fecks sake, before you all start clutching your pearls just look at the percentages reported in key counties, particularly suburbs and cities. It’s not all doom and gloom.
 

SinNombre

Full Member
Joined
Jan 26, 2019
Messages
2,626
Can't see Arizona happening now. It had similar polls to Florida and Trump has taken that and comfortably.

It's just all depressing now.
Depends on Cuban vs non-Cuban Hispanics.

Have non-Cuban Hispanics swung Trump's way?
 

Abizzz

Full Member
Joined
Mar 28, 2014
Messages
7,638
Given republicans track record does anyone actually believe this is a free and fair election :lol:?
 

matherto

ask me about our 50% off sale!
Joined
Nov 3, 2009
Messages
17,547
Location
St. Helens
Wonder why no coverage on any possible democratic swing states that Trump can steal.

For an outsider, seems it's more difficult for a Republican to be President in general.
Typically it's the other way around.

The Electoral College massively helps Republicans.
 

Raoul

Admin
Staff
Joined
Aug 14, 1999
Messages
130,246
Location
Hollywood CA
I have Biden needing 61 from Arizona(11), Minnesota(10), Nevada(6), New Hampshire(4), Pa(20), Wisconsin(10), Michigan(16), Maine(4)

Anyone know the situation in Michigan?
Most of the Michigan numbers are not from the early vote apparently (which will probably favor the Dems).
 

SinNombre

Full Member
Joined
Jan 26, 2019
Messages
2,626
Given republicans track record does anyone actually believe this is a free and fair election :lol:?
Yes. As fair as the previous ones.

People here don't want to concede that a lot of the population has different priorities than them.
 

GodShaveTheQueen

We mean it man, we love our queen!
Joined
Oct 11, 2018
Messages
6,434
In Ohio, say CNN, the proportion of early/mail-in votes to be counted will rise as the night progresses - which favours Biden.
Maybe, but as of now, even a small change in votes counted percentage is leading to huge shift towards Trump.
 

ThierryHenry

wishes he could watch Arsenal games with KM
Joined
Feb 8, 2009
Messages
13,717
Location
London Town
I've just woken up. Still catching up, but I'm confused. It obviously looks like Trump is winning Florida, but Biden is ahead in the Rust Belt - why is Trump therefore now massively the favourite on betting websites?!
 

hobbers

Full Member
Joined
Jun 24, 2013
Messages
28,309
I have Biden needing 61 from Arizona(11), Minnesota(10), Nevada(6), New Hampshire(4), Pa(20), Wisconsin(10), Michigan(16), Maine(4)

Anyone know the situation in Michigan?
He doesn't need Arizona if he takes Michigan, Wisconsin and PA from Trump. But he needs all 3.
 

Abizzz

Full Member
Joined
Mar 28, 2014
Messages
7,638
Yes. As fair as the previous ones.

People here don't want to concede that a lot of the population has different priorities than them.
Don't know if those people should has votes though when they don't let other's has votes.
 

Cheimoon

Made of cheese
Scout
Joined
Jun 22, 2020
Messages
14,339
Location
Canada
Supports
no-one in particular
Wonder why no coverage on any possible democratic swing states that Trump can steal.

For an outsider, seems it's more difficult for a Republican to be President in general.
It's the other way round. The elector college votes assigned to each state are not proportional with their population. Consequently, smaller states have relatively many of those votes, and a lot more of those vote Republican (a lot of the midwest and the north). It is very unlikely to ever see a Democratic president that won despite a Republican majority in the popular vote, while we have already seen the opposite a few times, and this time again (if Trump would win). If the US would work hard on enabling everyone to vote and had a proportional system, the Republicans would never win again - but in practice, it's the other way round.
 

Raoul

Admin
Staff
Joined
Aug 14, 1999
Messages
130,246
Location
Hollywood CA
I think posting betting odds is pointless because unlike some think they're not smarter than other estimates and just follow perception of momentum.
But it's quite rich of Mods the likes of @Raoul who spammed the thread for months with meaningless tweets and general polls to ban them in this chaos of posts during this night.
Polls in the lead up to election are fair play. Inundating the thread with betting odds tweets while the actual election is taking place is a bit over the top. There's probably a thread for that elsewhere.
 

prateik

Full Member
Joined
Dec 14, 2005
Messages
42,183
Trump is winning GA, NC, FL.. He needs Arizona and one of PA, WI or MI to win this
 

hobbers

Full Member
Joined
Jun 24, 2013
Messages
28,309
Better off looking at the markets than the betting odds tbh.
 
Last edited:

Wilt

Full Member
Joined
May 22, 2017
Messages
6,725
Haven't a clue on how US elections work, though there’s a big betting odds swing in favour of Trump here.
 

Siorac

Full Member
Joined
Sep 1, 2010
Messages
23,816
It's the other way round. The elector college votes assigned to each state are not proportional with their population. Consequently, smaller states have relatively many of those votes, and a lot more of those vote Republican (a lot of the midwest and the north). It is very unlikely to ever see a Democratic president that won despite a Republican majority in the popular vote, while we have already seen the opposite a few times, and this time again (if Trump would win). If the US would work hard on enabling everyone to vote and had a proportional system, the Republicans would never win again - but in practice, it's the other way round.
I think it's more accurate to say the Republicans would need to reinvent themselves in that case. Saying they would never win again is a bit silly - they'd never win in their current guise, with their current focus.
 

GodShaveTheQueen

We mean it man, we love our queen!
Joined
Oct 11, 2018
Messages
6,434
Typically it's the other way around.

The Electoral College massively helps Republicans.
It's the other way round. The elector college votes assigned to each state are not proportional with their population. Consequently, smaller states have relatively many of those votes, and a lot more of those vote Republican (a lot of the midwest and the north). It is very unlikely to ever see a Democratic president that won despite a Republican majority in the popular vote, while we have already seen the opposite a few times, and this time again (if Trump would win). If the US would work hard on enabling everyone to vote and had a proportional system, the Republicans would never win again - but in practice, it's the other way round.
Makes sense. Seems like Democrats need to breach into Republican swing states. Interesting stuff.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.