Have $25 on Muller to be top scorer, 2 games in and he's not going off the mark yet.... Tempted to cash out!!
Football Betting Thread 15/16
- Thread starter Samid
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In the latest episode of the United Hour Podcast, Nik (@Rood) was joined by comedian Ali Woods to look back at the best and worst moments of a rollercoaster season with the annual United Hour Awards.
Has Ten Hag been sacked yet? We're not sure and we hope not, but it's looking more likely as the days pass.
Who should replace him and why is it taking so long to make a decision?
For tonight I will bet Colombia +1.5 goals. I've seen it on twitter with a fairly convincing explanation
Is that minus one point five? Redcafe censors the first part for some reason! I'm looking for bets for today as I don't really see any bankers apart from probably Colombia. Portugal should be one but they never perform when I bet on them.
Won £100 on Spain to win to Nil last night, although I was going to put £50 on a treble of Italy win, BTTS Croatia v Czech, Spain win. Would have won a LOT of money there...
*Edit* Just testing if it is what I thought... -0.5 -1.5 +0.5 +1.5 +2.5 +3.5
Just realised it was last night and it's in the Copa America... what a massive brain fart!
At least i've learnt what the censored bit is whenever I see **
Had a nice double with Argentina -2 handicap and Mexico/Chile +1.5 goals. Recouped most of yesterday's losses.
Got a nice 7-fold on the go:
Infonet (Estonia)
Flora Tallinn (Estonia)
Shanghai Shenhua (China)
Jiangsu Sainty (China)
Cerezo Osaka (Japan)
KPV (Finland)
Sirius (Sweden)
Thought it was dead till Jiangsu scored the winner in the 93rd minute. Just got Sirius and KPV left to play. Sirius are already 3-0 up. Might cash out after that game.
Edit: Wow, what a last game. Thought I'd just let it run and see what happens. Thought I'd blown it when EIF went 2-0 up just after half time. KPV came back and scored 3 in the last 23 minutes with the winner coming in the 89th!
Infonet (Estonia)
Flora Tallinn (Estonia)
Shanghai Shenhua (China)
Jiangsu Sainty (China)
Cerezo Osaka (Japan)
KPV (Finland)
Sirius (Sweden)
Thought it was dead till Jiangsu scored the winner in the 93rd minute. Just got Sirius and KPV left to play. Sirius are already 3-0 up. Might cash out after that game.
Edit: Wow, what a last game. Thought I'd just let it run and see what happens. Thought I'd blown it when EIF went 2-0 up just after half time. KPV came back and scored 3 in the last 23 minutes with the winner coming in the 89th!
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Found a pretty good bet on Unibet:
Grosicki to be substituted @ 2.2
He's only played 90 minutes 4 times all season for Rennes, and for Poland he was subbed off in over 3/4 of the qualifiers, came off the bench in two of the group stage games and was subbed off in the other. He's an inconsistent creative player with good replacements on the bench so is always ones of the favourites to come off regardless of the result. 2.2 seems very high.
Also went for a slightly riskier one:
Xhaka to have a pass completion % below 89.5 @ 2.2
He's made the 2nd most passes in the tournament and averages 92% currently, but I think Poland are tougher to play through than the teams he's been up against so far and I think they'll have to start chasing the game and playing riskier at some point.
Grosicki to be substituted @ 2.2
He's only played 90 minutes 4 times all season for Rennes, and for Poland he was subbed off in over 3/4 of the qualifiers, came off the bench in two of the group stage games and was subbed off in the other. He's an inconsistent creative player with good replacements on the bench so is always ones of the favourites to come off regardless of the result. 2.2 seems very high.
Also went for a slightly riskier one:
Xhaka to have a pass completion % below 89.5 @ 2.2
He's made the 2nd most passes in the tournament and averages 92% currently, but I think Poland are tougher to play through than the teams he's been up against so far and I think they'll have to start chasing the game and playing riskier at some point.
@Brwned wow didnt know Unibet had such a big selections of bets, is that only for Euro or you can bet on this things for EPL/CL etc.?
Not sure. I only ever use it for the major international tournaments. They might do it for the latter stages of the UCL but I'd be surprised if they did it for the PL.
UEFA's stats are slightly different and are generally slightly higher, for whatever reason, so I think I probably just missed it...worth a shot!
Apparently I lost the bet for Grosicki...
Ridiculous. They best be changing that. He quite clearly didn't play the whole match and there's no specification about 90 mins only.
Unlucky. Think you'll find though that most bets are usually for the 90mins plus any injury time, which is usually deemed as the full match. They very rarely include extra time unless specifically stated e.g. Poland to win in extra time or Grosicki to be subbed in extra time.
UEFA's stats are slightly different and are generally slightly higher, for whatever reason, so I think I probably just missed it...worth a shot!
Apparently I lost the bet for Grosicki...
Ridiculous. They best be changing that. He quite clearly didn't play the whole match and there's no specification about 90 mins only.
Think you've lost that one mate.
These bets are nearly always for 90 minutes.
UEFA's stats are slightly different and are generally slightly higher, for whatever reason, so I think I probably just missed it...worth a shot!
Apparently I lost the bet for Grosicki...
Ridiculous. They best be changing that. He quite clearly didn't play the whole match and there's no specification about 90 mins only.
Nah, I spoke to their customer service folk and they said there was some confusion on their end about whether it applies to extra time or not. I expect them to pay out because they agreed it's misleading. It's not comparable to correct score or things like that because of the explicit mention of "the whole match".
Portugal to have over 52.5% possession @ 1.65
Croatia don't need to dominate possession - they're very purposeful on the ball and will happily take risks to create chance. Against Spain, Croatia had 38% possession. On the flipside Portugal dominate possession - against Iceland they had 70%.
The only risk I see if Portugal get a goal early and look to hit on the break, but even then they're the type to manage the game through keeping the ball.
EDIT: I'm having a great day.
Croatia don't need to dominate possession - they're very purposeful on the ball and will happily take risks to create chance. Against Spain, Croatia had 38% possession. On the flipside Portugal dominate possession - against Iceland they had 70%.
The only risk I see if Portugal get a goal early and look to hit on the break, but even then they're the type to manage the game through keeping the ball.
EDIT: I'm having a great day.
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I'm having trouble with Betfairs 'closed loop policy'. I originally had put money in with my card about a year ago, I then lost that card and got a replacement. I used the new one recently to put money in and ended up winning a few bets. It now won't let me withdraw the profit without making the net withdrawals on the first card 0.
Have you contacted them explaining the situation?
Nope
I'll give it a go, thanks.They sorted it very quickly via live chat, to my surprise. Never came across that anti-money laundering thing, with bet365 I was just withdrawing/depositing for fun
Yeah they're pretty good in the chat or have been when I've used it.
Yaya Toure to stay at City this transfer window is 7/2 with SkyBet. That's quite good odds in my eyes, at the minute it looks like Inter are his only option and it seems talks have failed to progress. Stones to sign for City at 1/2 is also decent, can't see us not getting him following Laporte's u-turn, we'll end up overpaying and Everton will realise with £40-50m they can sign a better defender and have money to spare.
I'll definitely be having a bit on that 7/2, cheers. Can you double those markets up? A Toure/Pogba to stay double would pay nicely.
I've been banned from bet365 offers rumbled for the £50 bet offer:
rumbled for the £50 bet offer:Nope, unfortunately not. They are definitely worth keeping an eye on though, they are normally crap odds but occasionally some great ones sneak through.
DamnI've been banned from bet365 offers
did you ever do the method where you guarantee profit or only the voided FGS one?I wonder why that is? Why aren't you able to do transfer accas?
You had it coming to be fair, as does anyone else exploiting the offer with a FGS bet that will be void. Instead of doing that you're best laying your selection on an exchange for a £1-2 qualifying loss and keeping your account. Still, bit of a wounder with one likely to be on the final most are expecting.I've been banned from bet365 offers
Always voided FGS. Weird because I won 3/4 in a row then they only voided it after the Belgium one the other day. Ah well. I'll try and get my brother to do it for meNope, unfortunately not. They are definitely worth keeping an eye on though, they are normally crap odds but occasionally some great ones sneak through.
Damn
Club friendlies acca doing nicely at the mo:
FK Liepaja
FC Astana
FC Kuressaare
UCD
Limerick
Red Star Belgrade
Dynamo Kiev
CSKA Moscow
Only UCD and Limerick left to run in ROI Div 1 and both 4-1 up with 10 minutes left to play.
Edit: Easy peasy...
FK Liepaja
FC Astana
FC Kuressaare
UCD
Limerick
Red Star Belgrade
Dynamo Kiev
CSKA Moscow
Only UCD and Limerick left to run in ROI Div 1 and both 4-1 up with 10 minutes left to play.
Edit: Easy peasy...
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How were you informed?? Last one I did, I went for over 1.5 total goals, which came good anyway so was better off.I've been banned from bet365 offers
Does anybody fancy a big outsider like last year or will it be business as usual for the title next year?
Thinking of having £10 on West Ham at 100/1 - Played some good football towards the back end of last season and with a few additions I wouldn't write them out of the the top 4 at the very least.
Thinking of having £10 on West Ham at 100/1 - Played some good football towards the back end of last season and with a few additions I wouldn't write them out of the the top 4 at the very least.
I also gave them a shout in the "So how many of you have or will be putting money on us to win the league thread?". Yeah I think they're definitely worth an outside punt if they keep Payet and Bilic. Plus I hear that Carlos Bacca's also on the way and they're chasing Bolasie. They could definitely be a top 4 contender.
They emailed me saying I wasn't eligible for any offers anymore.
After just putting my top six prediction in another thread I thought I'd place the same bet, I can't find anywhere that does it though. I've looked at the ones I'm registered with which are willhill, sky and 365 but no joy.
The closest I found was a 1,2 straight forecast, United followed by Spurs was 25/1!! I assume you'd get fantastic odds on top six straight.
Anyone know a way to do this?
The closest I found was a 1,2 straight forecast, United followed by Spurs was 25/1!! I assume you'd get fantastic odds on top six straight.
Anyone know a way to do this?
If you have Twitter you can tweet the SkyBet account and use the hashtag #RequestABet with whatever is you want odds for and they should get back to you. Not sure about Bet365 and William Hill, although most bookies will let you request odds for a bet if you get in contact.
Bet365 have an 'others on request' bit that you can click on the website, you should be aboe to use that to request a price for it from them
Stoke to make Top 10 at 3/1? Anyone?
Thanks both. I've never requested Odds in the past, didn't know one could. Will certainly look into that.
Slightly inflated odds but you can be pretty sure Chelsea, Liverpool, Man Utd, Arsenal, Spurs and Man City are going to be in top half of the table so that's six places taken. Extra 4 spots and you have West Ham, Southampton, Everton and a few other very good sides. Stoke should be better than a lot of them though. They were comfortably 9th last season.
Had a nice 14-fold Scottish Cup acca come good tonight:
Peterhead, Stranraer, St. Mirren, Rangers, Raith Rovers, Queen of South, Norton, Falkirk, Dunfermline, Dundee Utd, Brechin, Alloa with Legia Warsaw and Red Star Belgrave thrown in for good measure.
Peterhead, Stranraer, St. Mirren, Rangers, Raith Rovers, Queen of South, Norton, Falkirk, Dunfermline, Dundee Utd, Brechin, Alloa with Legia Warsaw and Red Star Belgrave thrown in for good measure.
Bayern Munich to beat City at 17/20 is worth considering, as is over 1.5 Bayern goals at 8/11 which is probably a bit safer. Always have to be cautious betting on friendlies but it seems Bayern will have more first team players involved such as Ribery, Lahm, Alonso, Neuer, Alaba etc. whereas City will mostly be using younger players, especially in defence.
If I create a football betting thread for 16/17 can we get it pinned @Raoul?
Where did you see they'll have those guys playing?