I think everyone can agree that Arsenal and MC are assured of a top 4 finish. That means 5 teams (LC, Tot, CP, Liv, MU) fighting for the last two spots. That looks doable. However, it's very likely Tot or LC will finish in top 4 based on current position and form. I can see one of the two falling quickly from a bad run, but not both. That means we are really fighting with 4 and 1/2 teams for the fourth spot. The half represents either WH or another team hanging around till the end. Based on the fact our form is equal or less than the other teams at present, than it is easy to project we have about a 20 to 25% of getting in top 4. Not good odds.