Maybe not. But if you look at it as a probability, perhaps he has:
- 20 % to end us as Depay
- 20% to be like Ashley Young
- 30% to end up like Nani
- 18% to be a Rivery
- 10% to be a Neymar
- 2% to be a Cristiano Ronaldo
This is why it's much much better to pay 200m for Neymar than 100m for Dembele. He is just way to young and unproven. To develop to CR7 level, he needs to have a good amount of talent, but most importantly, must also develop the footballing intelligence AND must have the correct mentality and discipline to work very hard.