Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

Deery

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There’s no way Putin is losing face now, this is his moment something he’s been wanting ever since he got power, could see things getting very bad.
 

RobinLFC

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Well, unmotivated enough to say "to hell with this" and surrender, like that Russian recon unit did.
Hadn't read about that. Wouldn't that make you a deserter unable to return to your family in Russia afterwards? And a POW currently? Fecking horrible situation to be (put) in if you're not supporting the war.
 

Smores

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Patriots fighting for the future of their country?
Well it's their right to die defending their country in a hopeless cause, i just hope they don't. It's not worth thousand of lives only to be invaded anyway.

I can't see the win here but hopefully I'm wrong and they somehow deter Russian forces.
 

Raoul

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There’s no way Putin is losing face now, this is his moment something he’s been wanting ever since he got power, could see things getting very bad.
Whatever happens, there's no way back for him now. He has crossed the Rubicon and will never be accepted by the international community and will be regarded as the pariah that he is. No industrialized country will want to do business with Russia until he is removed.
 

Walrus

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Unfortunately there is going to have to come a time where someone calls Putin's bluff. Nobody wants war. And certainly nobody wants nuclear war, but unless you are prepared to accept the alternative of Russia (or any other nuclear power) simply doing whatever the feck they want without contestation, then there must come a point where you say "no".

Putin has threatened nuclear war on anyone who intervenes.
Putin has threatened that banning Russia from SWIFT will be seen as a declaration of war.
Putin has multiple times referenced Russia's nuclear armament.

Much like the boy who cried wolf, he has figured out that as long as you cry "nukes", the rest of the world tends to just idly by, for fear of him following through. It doesnt work. You let him go unchallenged and - just like with Hitler - he gets bolder and bolder. A clear red line needs to be drawn, and the west needs to be willing (or at least to give the impression that they are willing) to enforce those lines militarily.
 

Zlatattack

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Whatever happens, there's no way back for him now. He has crossed the Rubicon and will never be accepted by the international community and will be regarded as the pariah that he is. No industrialized country will want to do business with Russia until he is removed.
I don't think the Chinese, Indians or anyone in Asia/Africa will have a problem. Also tbf, the EU are still buying his gas and oil.
 

mu4c_20le

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Yeah he'll not want an uninhabitable nuclear wasteland near his land if its just Ukraine.

The US though.. he may very well press the button.
He wouldn't want his own country to become a wasteland either. I don't think any major superpower will deploy nukes unless from a defensive position. It's all just hot air.
 

Simbo

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Drag it out to what benefit? If they're laying down their lives it would need to be for something and if no one is coming then it's in vain.
If there is one thing we have learned from recent military histary, people do not give up their countries easily. The longer it goes, the worse it is for Putin.

I'm surprised I have to answer these questions tbh.
 

Zlatattack

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Unfortunately there is going to have to come a time where someone calls Putin's bluff. Nobody wants war. And certainly nobody wants nuclear war, but unless you are prepared to accept the alternative of Russia (or any other nuclear power) simply doing whatever the feck they want without contestation, then there must come a point where you say "no".

Putin has threatened nuclear war on anyone who intervenes.
Putin has threatened that banning Russia from SWIFT will be seen as a declaration of war.
Putin has multiple times referenced Russia's nuclear armament.

Much like the boy who cried wolf, he has figured out that as long as you cry "nukes", the rest of the world tends to just idly by, for fear of him following through. It doesnt work. You let him go unchallenged and - just like with Hitler - he gets bolder and bolder. A clear red line needs to be drawn, and the west needs to be willing (or at least to give the impression that they are willing) to enforce those lines militarily.
It works both ways. NATO has plenty of nuclear weapons of it's own. If they ban Russia from SWIFT (which I think they should do), what's he going to do about it? If he attacks a NATO country, NATO HAS to intervene militarily, otherwise it ceases to exist. He won't win a fight with NATO, it'll be a war with no winners.
 

Deery

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Whatever happens, there's no way back for him now. He has crossed the Rubicon and will never be accepted by the international community and will be regarded as the pariah that he is. No industrialized country will want to do business with Russia until he is removed.
Keir Stamier is calling for that in no uncertain words, strong words from Keir but I do wonder if cutting off the gas supply just now is a viable option.
 

Mciahel Goodman

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Unfortunately there is going to have to come a time where someone calls Putin's bluff. Nobody wants war. And certainly nobody wants nuclear war, but unless you are prepared to accept the alternative of Russia (or any other nuclear power) simply doing whatever the feck they want without contestation, then there must come a point where you say "no".

Putin has threatened nuclear war on anyone who intervenes.
Putin has threatened that banning Russia from SWIFT will be seen as a declaration of war.
Putin has multiple times referenced Russia's nuclear armament.

Much like the boy who cried wolf, he has figured out that as long as you cry "nukes", the rest of the world tends to just idly by, for fear of him following through. It doesnt work. You let him go unchallenged and - just like with Hitler - he gets bolder and bolder. A clear red line needs to be drawn, and the west needs to be willing (or at least to give the impression that they are willing) to enforce those lines militarily.
How? No one wants a nuclear conflict over Ukraine. Talking tough is pretty limited when you have to do something for it to work. Russia wants whatever it wants in Ukraine far more than everyone else wants to end the world over it.
 

KingCavani

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Unfortunately there is going to have to come a time where someone calls Putin's bluff. Nobody wants war. And certainly nobody wants nuclear war, but unless you are prepared to accept the alternative of Russia (or any other nuclear power) simply doing whatever the feck they want without contestation, then there must come a point where you say "no".

Putin has threatened nuclear war on anyone who intervenes.
Putin has threatened that banning Russia from SWIFT will be seen as a declaration of war.
Putin has multiple times referenced Russia's nuclear armament.

Much like the boy who cried wolf, he has figured out that as long as you cry "nukes", the rest of the world tends to just idly by, for fear of him following through. It doesnt work. You let him go unchallenged and - just like with Hitler - he gets bolder and bolder. A clear red line needs to be drawn, and the west needs to be willing (or at least to give the impression that they are willing) to enforce those lines militarily.
Utter insanity. Every word.
 

JPRouve

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I don't think the Chinese, Indians or anyone in Asia/Africa will have a problem. Also tbf, the EU are still buying his gas and oil.
Countries and companies kept purchasing oil from ISIS, Lafarge was effectively paying them to keep factories working. Russia's oil and gas will be purchased by the same countries, they will just hide it a little bit.
 

do.ob

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Schalke have a different position, financially it's a very brave call, given that they are all but bankrupt already and that's with Gazprom paying significantly over market value. Though on the other many will say they never should have done this deal to begin with.
 

Walrus

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How? No one wants a nuclear conflict over Ukraine. Talking tough is pretty limited when you have to do something for it to work. Russia wants whatever it wants in Ukraine far more than everyone else wants to end the world over it.
Nobody wants a nuclear conflict full stop. What makes you so sure that Putin is willing to start WW3 and drop nukes over the fate of Ukraine, any more than NATO/US?

It seems to me that the "tough talk" is coming from one side of this conflict, and that the general reaction has been "best not get involved or Vlad will press the big red button". That logic doesnt hold up to any sort of scrutiny, it is simply appealing to the natural fear of nuclear war and pacifism that most of civilized humanity holds. It is easy to look the other way when it is a country in Eastern Europe. What happens next time? There have already been rumours that Putin might extend his current offensive to Moldova.

Its a simple question: If not now, when?
 

Danny1982

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Whatever happens, there's no way back for him now. He has crossed the Rubicon and will never be accepted by the international community and will be regarded as the pariah that he is. No industrialized country will want to do business with Russia until he is removed.
To be fair the same was also suggested about Bin Salman when he butchered Khashoggi a couple of years ago, but gradually everybody has forgotten and all companies can't wait to do business with him. Granted, Bin Salman was always an ally of the West and Putin has always been seen as an enemy, but these things can't be really set in stone at this stage, especially with a country like Russia which the world would still need to solve a lot of other problems.
 

RedDevilQuebecois

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Putins fecked in the world stage, he needs to be whacked or humiliated enough to step down before he brings on a nuclear armgageddon
The only question now is whether or not there are enough people with a conscience within the Kremlin to do what is necessary to stop Putin's madness. When Brezhnev entered severe cognitive decline in the last few years of his life, there was at least an old guard to stop recklessness. As for now, it is very uncertain. Those career officials better start thinking about their future because they could well become targets for the masses if enough angry Russians are willing to tear everything associated with Putin's regime down to the ground.
 

Mciahel Goodman

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Nobody wants a nuclear conflict full stop. What makes you so sure that Putin is willing to start WW3 and drop nukes over the fate of Ukraine, any more than NATO/US?
Over Ukraine, I don't want to find out.
 

Dans

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I was sent this info about Ukraine by a friend today:

1st in Europe in proven recoverable reserves of uranium ores;
2nd place in Europe and 10th place in the world in terms of titanium ore reserves;
2nd place in the world in terms of explored reserves of manganese ores (2.3 billion tons, or 12% of the world's reserves);
2nd largest iron ore reserves in the world (30 billion tons);
2nd place in Europe in terms of mercury ore reserves;
3rd place in Europe (13th place in the world) in shale gas reserves (22 trillion cubic meters)
4th in the world by the total value of natural resources;
7th place in the world in coal reserves (33.9 billion tons)
Ukraine is an important agricultural country:
1st in Europe in terms of arable land area;
3rd place in the world by the area of black soil (25% of world's volume);
1st place in the world in exports of sunflower and sunflower oil;
2nd place in the world in barley production and 4th place in barley exports;
3rd largest producer and 4th largest exporter of corn in the world;
4th largest producer of potatoes in the world;
5th largest rye producer in the world;
5th place in the world in bee production (75,000 tons);
8th place in the world in wheat exports;
9th place in the world in the production of chicken eggs;
16th place in the world in cheese exports.
Ukraine can meet the food needs of 600 million people.
Ukraine is an important industrialised country:
1st in Europe in ammonia production;
Europe's 2nd’s and the world’s 4th largest natural gas pipeline system;
3rd largest in Europe and 8th largest in the world in terms of installed capacity of nuclear power plants;
3rd place in Europe and 11th in the world in terms of rail network length (21,700 km);
3rd place in the world (after the U.S. and France) in production of locators and locating equipment;
3rd largest iron exporter in the world
4th largest exporter of turbines for nuclear power plants in the world;
4th world's largest manufacturer of rocket launchers;
4th place in the world in clay exports
4th place in the world in titanium exports
8th place in the world in exports of ores and concentrates;
9th place in the world in exports of defence industry products;
10th largest steel producer in the world (32.4 million tons).

I haven't fact checked it all, he had started though and what he checked was true.

Food for thought.
 
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Smores

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If there is one thing we have learned from recent military histary, people do not give up their countries easily. The longer it goes, the worse it is for Putin.

I'm surprised I have to answer these questions tbh.
To be fair you're answering a different question to the one i asked. I wasn't asking why would anyone ever defend their nation.

There's been plenty of surrenders across modern history when defeat looks inevitable.
 

Simbo

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Unconfirmed but it does seem Ukraine are quite effective in open battle.

 

Mciahel Goodman

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Which unfortunately, is exactly what Putin is banking on.
Yep, and it's a very safe calculation. Obama basically said it in 2016. Ukraine matters far more to Russia than it does to the West when it comes to the prospect of war.