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Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


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Massive Spanner

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That is one of the many flaws of democracy. The original intention of it has been slowly twisted after so many decades.

The elected few (whether in government or opposition) are to work for the nation and provide a voice for the electorate. They are not there to promote their own agendas.
 

Smores

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This just gets more and more embarrassing from May. They've had the clarifications prepared before they even pulled the vote and known they weren't getting anything substantial.

She's nothing to hide behind, it's clear she's just stalling and has pushed back the clock a whole fecking month. A month of additional uncertainty for everyone. Yet the Tories kept this idiot in charge to look after their jobs/party.
 

Barca84

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Anyone think May will resign today or by next week?

I just can't see how she can keep going, as there's nowhere for her to go.
It hasn't stopped her so far.

She won't resign. At this rate we'll need the SAS to go into number 10 with stun grenades Libyan Embassy style to get her out.
 

Stick

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There is no point to the EU except the original concept of trading partners (EEC). That's why we voted to leave
I may be wrong but the whole point of the EU was probably to stop wars happening in Europe after WWII. I think that has worked but Brexit will and the pre Brexit state has created panic and disunity and is destabilising all or the EU. IMO the UK is committing economic harikari for ideas like the people will take back control of their country when in reality this is never going to happen. I mean you just need to look at the fall of the USSR to see this. I would predict that a few mega rich and entrepreneurial power hungry folk in positions of moderate authority will spring forward and claim wealth/power if the UK leaves and their economy goes pop. If this happens I will be very afraid because of the growth of extreme politics and nationalism across Europe at the moment. I hope I'm wrong.
 

Stick

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Was Scotland settled by the English? Scotland and England are a Union not a Colony. By any terms that Colony is understood, I don't see quite how Scotland is one.

Before people start on me as some sort of English twat I have no English in me. My mother was Scottish and my father was Austrian.
No evil ever came from Austria ;) I think the English did have a policy of plantation though. The start of Braveheart and all that where they tried to breed out the locals.
 

Stick

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This just gets more and more embarrassing from May. They've had the clarifications prepared before they even pulled the vote and known they weren't getting anything substantial.

She's nothing to hide behind, it's clear she's just stalling and has pushed back the clock a whole fecking month. A month of additional uncertainty for everyone. Yet the Tories kept this idiot in charge to look after their jobs/party.
I'm just sorry she wasn't around in the 1920s during the Irish negotiations. We may have managed to get Wales and Scotland with York as a backstop.......
 

stevoc

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There is no point to the EU except the original concept of trading partners (EEC). That's why we voted to leave
Western Europe is currently in it's longest period of peace since ancient Roman times. A lot of that can be attributed to the formation of the EU, so that is a good point for its existence.
 

Ekkie Thump

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Could you find a larger picture please? I couldn't quite make out what it was.
 

Paul the Wolf

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Anyone think May will resign today or by next week?

I just can't see how she can keep going, as there's nowhere for her to go.
She'll string everything out as long as she possibly can.

She may be the worst PM in living memory but the candidates to replace her are somehow even worse.

Furthermore it won't make an iota of difference to the negotiations, you're not getting your cake or cherries.
 

UweBein

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... If this happens I will be very afraid because of the growth of extreme politics and nationalism across Europe at the moment. I hope I'm wrong.
Don't worry, you are wrong. The Brexit has been the best thing that happened to the EU for the last 30 years or so. Support for the EU is currently sky-high.

And I believe, that it will continue to be a blessing, for the EU. No matter how much left wing or right wing a politician in the EU is, no one will be eager to go through the "Theresa-May-Experience".
 

mancan92

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No, problem she will negotiate again and then take Brussels by storm.
He urged the UK to set out more clearly what it wants, adding that the commission will publish information on 19 December on its preparations for a no-deal Brexit.

"Our UK friends need to say what they want, instead of asking us to say what we want, and so we would like within a few weeks our UK friends to set out their expectations for us, because this debate is sometimes nebulous and imprecise and I would like clarifications," he said.
Imagine a government having 2 years to put what they want clearly on paper yet you have comments like this coming out
 

Kentonio

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delay the vote till late jan (I think 21st is the deadline)
present the vote as her deal or no deal and hope to get enough moderate MP's in line... possibly with the threat of a referendum of No deal or her deal
And in the meantime companies will start triggering their emergency plans because they can’t wait until the last second.
 

mancan92

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delay the vote till late jan (I think 21st is the deadline)
present the vote as her deal or no deal and hope to get enough moderate MP's in line... possibly with the threat of a referendum of No deal or her deal if they don't vote it through
Well yeah that was already her tactic but what I meant is now what for the country?
 

Smores

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delay the vote till late jan (I think 21st is the deadline)
present the vote as her deal or no deal and hope to get enough moderate MP's in line... possibly with the threat of a referendum of No deal or her deal
Without adequote opposition from those in her own party and labour i can certainly see this happening. She'll paint it as a party issue and any opposition to her deal as going against the will of the people.

The amendments when she brings it back will presumably be extension (might pass) revoke flat out (won't pass) and referendum (might just pass).

A no confidence vote will go in when she fails to get her deal passed and i reckon she'll lose with enough of the ERG supporting Labour in deluded hope they can do better with new red lines.
 

MadMike

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Don't worry, you are wrong. The Brexit has been the best thing that happened to the EU for the last 30 years or so. Support for the EU is currently sky-high.

And I believe, that it will continue to be a blessing, for the EU. No matter how much left wing or right wing a politician in the EU is, no one will be eager to go through the "Theresa-May-Experience".
You couldn't be more wrong.
The politicians of extremist parties who try to undermine the EU, either for their own personal gain or for ideological reasons, are not the ones who lead countries through the experience.
Theresa May was a Remainer. When Boris Johnson could have stepped up to the plate to lead his party and country into the future he was advocating for, he shrunk away.
All they do is plant the seeds of discord and let the people who lead have to deal with the aftermath. They throw their hands up in the air, offer no leadership or workable solutions, yet they continue to sow discord form the back benches.
At lest that's the experience of Brexit so far.

In the one case so far where self-declared anti-EU politicians actually took the reigns themselves, the Syriza party in Greece, they chose to not do what they had for years been advocating. They chose to ignore the results of the referendum they themselves had called and had been clamouring for for years as an opposition party.
 
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sun_tzu

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And in the meantime companies will start triggering their emergency plans because they can’t wait until the last second.
we triggered ours a few months ago... and even if she swung a new deal it would be irrelavant - decisions have been taken and money committed to things outside the UK so we wont backtrack on that
 

SquishyMcSquish

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She'll string everything out as long as she possibly can.

She may be the worst PM in living memory but the candidates to replace her are somehow even worse.

Furthermore it won't make an iota of difference to the negotiations, you're not getting your cake or cherries.
See, I struggle with whether or not this is true.

I feel like she's been handed a situation that would be very difficult for even an extremely competent leader to deal with. It's totally a poisoned chalice and I don't know any politician in the country right now who could have come out of all this without pissing off a large group of the electorate either way.

I don't think she's good or anything (she's far from a natural leader) but it's hard to properly assess her giving the situation she's been handed. She's fundamentally not a very likeable person but given the shit sandwich that she's been dealt I'm not sure how much of the blame lies with her.
 
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Cheesy

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See, I struggle with whether or not this is true.

I feel like she's been handed a situation that would be very difficult for even an extremely competent leader to deal with. It's totally a poisoned chalice and I don't know any politician in the country right now who could have come out of all this without pissing off a large group of the electorate either way.

I don't think she's good or anything (she's far from a natural leader) but it's hard to properly assess her giving the shit sandwich she's been handed. She's fundamentally not a very likeable person but given the shit sandwich that she's been dealt I'm not sure how much of the blame lies with her.
I'd say that's fair. Given the circumstances I'm not sure anyone would've come away from Brexit looking like a good PM. Corbyn's fans have basically been praising him for pretending it's not an issue for the past two years!:lol:

Although even in isolation she'll still go down as being quite bad, I think. As home secretary she utterly failed to address immigration - even if you don't think it's a problem, it's a target her party set and one she left unfulfilled. As PM she went straight for the hard Brexit juggernaut, normalising the idea that we'd leave the SM and CU post-Brexit when even Farage and co weren't necessarily saying that would happen beforehand. Her decision to call a GE last year was daft and her actual campaigning skills during it were embarrassing, both due to her own performance as an individual, and due to the fact she (or someone in her team) decided it was a good idea to even try and focus upon her as an individual during the campaign. Dour politicians can be alright sometimes...but only if they don't try to pretend they're anything other than dour.
 

Raees

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See, I struggle with whether or not this is true.

I feel like she's been handed a situation that would be very difficult for even an extremely competent leader to deal with. It's totally a poisoned chalice and I don't know any politician in the country right now who could have come out of all this without pissing off a large group of the electorate either way.

I don't think she's good or anything (she's far from a natural leader) but it's hard to properly assess her giving the shit sandwich she's been handed. She's fundamentally not a very likeable person but given the shit sandwich that she's been dealt I'm not sure how much of the blame lies with her.
She’s also incredibly spineless in the sense that she will basically flip and flop whichever way will allow her to hold on to the job the longest and has no real values to speak of. She’s mightily resilient like a shitstain of granite quality but that is her only true quality IMO.

A proper statesman or woman of charisma would have towed the party into line and the nation and basically set it out clearly that this is what the referendum will mean for the economy and this is the best I can get - if you don’t like it, we simply have to have another referendum or bin the thing altogether as no deal is too damaging to the economy.

Instead the spineless cow will just keep stating we must honour the referendum time and time again without any courage to speak the truth that it is a disaster of unmitigated proportions. Her thirst for power has proven to be her downfall.
 

SquishyMcSquish

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I'd say that's fair. Given the circumstances I'm not sure anyone would've come away from Brexit looking like a good PM. Corbyn's fans have basically been praising him for pretending it's not an issue for the past two years!:lol:

Although even in isolation she'll still go down as being quite bad, I think. As home secretary she utterly failed to address immigration - even if you don't think it's a problem, it's a target her party set and one she left unfulfilled. As PM she went straight for the hard Brexit juggernaut, normalising the idea that we'd leave the SM and CU post-Brexit when even Farage and co weren't necessarily saying that would happen beforehand. Her decision to call a GE last year was daft and her actual campaigning skills during it were embarrassing, both due to her own performance as an individual, and due to the fact she (or someone in her team) decided it was a good idea to even try and focus upon her as an individual during the campaign. Dour politicians can be alright sometimes...but only if they don't try to pretend they're anything other than dour.
True, the whole windrush situation as well should never have happened and reeked of yet more incompetence (or something more insidious) which doesn't help when you're portraying yourself as the party of stability.

I don't know about calling a GE. I actually think it was possibly a good decision but then just completely botched. She was in a fantastic position to increase her majority and go forward with confidence in to the EU negotiations, but the campaign her team ran was one of the worst I've ever seen. How much of that was down to her though is difficult to stay, she would have had a team of 'experts' instructing her on the best way to win support. It all just came off as being completely out of touch, when she ran away from a live debate in particular that was a total PR disaster.

It is difficult though. She's a remainer at heart who has been forced to deliver something she doesn't truly believe in, and no matter which way she delivers it people won't be happy. She put a deal on the table which was the deal everyone knew was the one we'd get and of course that doesn't satisfy anyone.
 

SquishyMcSquish

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She’s also incredibly spineless in the sense that she will basically flip and flop whichever way will allow her to hold on to the job the longest and has no real values to speak of. She’s mightily resilient like a shitstain of granite quality but that is her only true quality IMO.

A proper statesman or woman of charisma would have towed the party into line and the nation and basically set it out clearly that this is what the referendum will mean for the economy and this is the best I can get - if you don’t like it, we simply have to have another referendum or bin the thing altogether as no deal is too damaging to the economy.

Instead the spineless cow will just keep stating we must honour the referendum time and time again without any courage to speak the truth that it is a disaster of unmitigated proportions. Her thirst for power has proven to be her downfall.
She is a massive flip flopper, but in fairness this could be applied to 99% of politicians now. They will all pretty much run with whatever the public is screaming at the time.

That position would cause major friction within her own party (see the rebellion right now) and would lose the conservatives a large section of their support with the electorate. You could argue that she should value country over party, but this is pretty much a fantasy in modern politics, the vast majority (particularly the ones who get close to power) are massively self serving. She knows it is a disaster, I don't think she's an unintelligent person, but she also knows if she admits that to people it would be chaos.

I honestly think she will feel like she's delivering what the country voted for to the best of her ability. I don't think it's about power any longer because there's no way she's enjoying herself right now, it must be an absolute nightmare of a job.
 

sun_tzu

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See, I struggle with whether or not this is true.

I feel like she's been handed a situation that would be very difficult for even an extremely competent leader to deal with. It's totally a poisoned chalice and I don't know any politician in the country right now who could have come out of all this without pissing off a large group of the electorate either way.

I don't think she's good or anything (she's far from a natural leader) but it's hard to properly assess her giving the shit sandwich she's been handed. She's fundamentally not a very likeable person but given the shit sandwich that she's been dealt I'm not sure how much of the blame lies with her.
For me I only really remember Thatcher, Major, Blair, Brown, Cameron and the Maybot

like or loath them i think you have to say Thatcher and Blair were very successful in terms of how long they were in power and the elections they won

Major had similar issues with the internal fights over europe but he won them plus he actualluy won an election so for me he would be seen as more successful

Cameron obviously ran away after the referendum and being a pig feking flashman you would think he should be bottom of the list (and the fact he is not is probably more a reflection on the other two than him) but he managed to keep the top job for almost 5 years and he did win an election

its hard to pick a worst out of May and Brown both are pretty awful
 

Paul the Wolf

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See, I struggle with whether or not this is true.

I feel like she's been handed a situation that would be very difficult for even an extremely competent leader to deal with. It's totally a poisoned chalice and I don't know any politician in the country right now who could have come out of all this without pissing off a large group of the electorate either way.

I don't think she's good or anything (she's far from a natural leader) but it's hard to properly assess her giving the situation she's been handed. She's fundamentally not a very likeable person but given the shit sandwich that she's been dealt I'm not sure how much of the blame lies with her.
With regard to Brexit, it is a poisoned chalice and she has tunnel vision to obtain the objective of leaving te EU.
The reason I say it is that she has no aura of a leader, no idea how to interact with people and she does actually come across as robotic.
She comes across as xenophobic and total lack of empathy for people and is also a terribly bad liar and totally untrustworthy.

We've had good and bad leaders as PM's over the years but others had some form of qualities. Her only attribute seems to be her endurance.
 

sun_tzu

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Posted at 12:5712:57
'Bleak midwinter for Parliament'

The Times

Bruno Waterfield from The Times has what our correspondent Laura Kuenssberg calls "grim detail" on what went wrong for Theresa May last night.

They say that British negotiators had agreed a draft statement with senior EU officials that would have provided "political comfort" that the bloc was prepared to compromise on the backstop issue.

But at a dinner in Brussels last night - held without the UK PM - European leaders went back on the joint agreement "to send a message to MPs that no further concessions would be forthcoming from Brussels".

They quote a senior EU source as saying: "To use a Christmas theme, we want all parties and factions in the British parliament to feel the bleak midwinter."

They said Dutch PM Mark Rutte argued that if the EU gave ground then Brexiteers would demand even more - and was backed by France, Denmark and Belgium.
PM to speak soon... not sure what to expect but wouldnt be surprised if she

A/ said feck it ive had enough of this shit
B/ feck europe - no deals better than (my) bad deal and its a hard vrexit
C/ referendum - her deal or no deal?
 

SquishyMcSquish

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With regard to Brexit, it is a poisoned chalice and she has tunnel vision to obtain the objective of leaving te EU.
The reason I say it is that she has no aura of a leader, no idea how to interact with people and she does actually come across as robotic.
She comes across as xenophobic and total lack of empathy for people and is also a terribly bad liar and totally untrustworthy.

We've had good and bad leaders as PM's over the years but others had some form of qualities. Her only attribute seems to be her endurance.
That's fair, I do think that she's just not a personality suited to leadership. To counter that though, the people around her are awful and have given her terrible advice on how to present herself as more personable, their entire team needs to be sacked tomorrow because they've turned her from someone viewed by most as cold but effective, to a complete joke who is also a terrible person. They've played her personality the worst way they possibly could.

With regards to her tunnel vision, I honestly think that for her it was the only way she could go. When Cameron stepped down, there was demands for a leader who would 'see Brexit through' and plenty were angry at even the idea of a remainer taking charge. So she pretty much had to satisfy that group (which make up a large part of Tory voters, and a significant section of their party) by assuring them she would deliver on the vote, and going back on that is far easier said than done.

I don't envy the task she's been handed, that's for sure.
 

Minimalist

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See, I struggle with whether or not this is true.

I feel like she's been handed a situation that would be very difficult for even an extremely competent leader to deal with. It's totally a poisoned chalice and I don't know any politician in the country right now who could have come out of all this without pissing off a large group of the electorate either way.

I don't think she's good or anything (she's far from a natural leader) but it's hard to properly assess her giving the situation she's been handed. She's fundamentally not a very likeable person but given the shit sandwich that she's been dealt I'm not sure how much of the blame lies with her.
She'll get more sympathy in time than David Cameron. So she won't be the worst PM - idiot Dave has that sewn up.
 

Smores

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She is a massive flip flopper, but in fairness this could be applied to 99% of politicians now. They will all pretty much run with whatever the public is screaming at the time.

That position would cause major friction within her own party (see the rebellion right now) and would lose the conservatives a large section of their support with the electorate. You could argue that she should value country over party, but this is pretty much a fantasy in modern politics, the vast majority (particularly the ones who get close to power) are massively self serving. She knows it is a disaster, I don't think she's an unintelligent person, but she also knows if she admits that to people it would be chaos.

I honestly think she will feel like she's delivering what the country voted for to the best of her ability. I don't think it's about power any longer because there's no way she's enjoying herself right now, it must be an absolute nightmare of a job.
Just because it was a poisoned chalice does not mean she can be excused from trying to omit parliament and the cross-party brexit committee from the process. She was a big part of the referendum in the first place.

From putting down A50 prematurely to making virtually no progress on brexit and waiting until the end of the process to listen to MPs she's been an absolute dissgrace.

That's without delving into her trying to block the revokation hearing, trying to prevent parlaiment from debating or getting a meaningful vote at all. She then proceeded to try and make the withdrawal bill non-amendable, try and block all of the following sector analysis papers (which weren't even done to any standard), immigration analysis, AG advice. I know I'm missing some there too.

Then her latest stunt of taking the bill away from parliament without a further vote on it despite the whole process being agreed in parliament.

She'll go down as a prime minsiter who treated parliament (both houses) in utter contempt and that's just inexcusable.
 

SquishyMcSquish

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For me I only really remember Thatcher, Major, Blair, Brown, Cameron and the Maybot

like or loath them i think you have to say Thatcher and Blair were very successful in terms of how long they were in power and the elections they won

Major had similar issues with the internal fights over europe but he won them plus he actualluy won an election so for me he would be seen as more successful

Cameron obviously ran away after the referendum and being a pig feking flashman you would think he should be bottom of the list (and the fact he is not is probably more a reflection on the other two than him) but he managed to keep the top job for almost 5 years and he did win an election

its hard to pick a worst out of May and Brown both are pretty awful
May won an election too, tbf. Despite her team running possibly the worst campaign possible. She also narrowly defeated a rebellion within her own party.

I think it was just the timing of when she took over. Like I just said in my latest post, the demand was for a leader that would deliver on the 'will of the people', so she pretty much had to tow that line. I think the biggest mistake she ever made was jumping at the chance to be PM at a time where it was basically impossible to come off looking good. Her shitty personality doesn't help but it's hard to judge how she would have been during a normal political climate, probably pretty bad but we'll never know for sure.

I think she'll regret becoming prime minister for the rest of her life.
 

sun_tzu

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May won an election too, tbf. Despite her team running possibly the worst campaign possible. She also narrowly defeated a rebellion within her own party.

I think it was just the timing of when she took over. Like I just said in my latest post, the demand was for a leader that would deliver on the 'will of the people', so she pretty much had to tow that line. I think the biggest mistake she ever made was jumping at the chance to be PM at a time where it was basically impossible to come off looking good. Her shitty personality doesn't help but it's hard to judge how she would have been during a normal political climate, probably pretty bad but we'll never know for sure.

I think she'll regret becoming prime minister for the rest of her life.
not really - she didn't get a majority (like cameron first time)
 

Smores

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And now she's putting on a show for the camera being 'tough' with Juncker :rolleyes: