Brexited | the worst threads live the longest

Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


  • Total voters
    194
  • Poll closed .

NinjaFletch

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Yeah that I get but it doesn't sound like leavers are too keen on a backstop, in which case I guess the customs would have to be between the RoI and the EU, and why would the EU/RoI agree to that? Admittedly I haven't thought very long about it.
Well they wouldn't, and I think it would cause so much offence to even ask that even May and her band of fools have been smart enough not to seriously propose it.
 

Silva

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Yeah that I get but it doesn't sound like leavers are too keen on a backstop, in which case I guess the customs would have to be between the RoI and the EU, and why would the EU/RoI agree to that? Admittedly I haven't thought very long about it.
the whole point of the backstop is that there's nothing in NI that would need to be checked, it would effectively stay in the CU/SM by copying all their minimum standards
 

Josep Dowling

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Who has claimed victory? This thread is a discussion of what will and won't work with some moaning about parliament thrown in. The solutions discussed are nearly all brexit solutions so i don't know why you'd be portraying it as a remainer/leaver thing.

If your opinion is incorrect what response do you expect? You have a right to hold your opinion, you have a right to state your opinion but you don't have a right not to be politely told why its wrong

P.s fecking snowflake
Hypocrisy at its finest.
 

JPRouve

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Hypocrisy at its finest.
Hypocrisy isn't involved here. He basically said that he has the right to tell you something politely, he didn't say that he doesn't have the right to not be polite.
 

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I wouldn't know how to compare. The far right is still for a large part a protest vote against other parties mainly PS and LR(our versions of Labour and Tory). When it comes to elections that matter for people, the far right is fairly weak and keep in mind that people elected a guy without a party as their president instead of supporting the far right and they are insignificant in the parliament(8 out of 577).
Fair enough, the British press go on about le Pen a lot, maybe they make her out to be more significant than she is. The British far right is pitifully small. Some might say UKIP are far right, they're certainly moving that way, but I suspect once Brexit's sorted they'll fade away.
 

Massive Spanner

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Fair enough, the British press go on about le Pen a lot, maybe they make her out to be more significant than she is. The British far right is pitifully small. Some might say UKIP are far right, they're certainly moving that way, but I suspect once Brexit's sorted they'll fade away.
So we have to put up with them for another twenty years?
 

Buster15

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Well let's take those main mentioned answers

Reduced immigration.

All evidence so far points to this not happening

Not having to send money to the EU.

True, but you'll also lose a hell of a lot of money by being out of the EU, a lot more than what you put in, this is based on hard economic facts.

Less EU regulation and standardisation.

The UK has already said they plan to keep EU laws in place post Brexit so.. not true.

Increased trade with the rest of the world.

Unlikely. The EU already has trade deals with the world's biggest economies, better ones than the UK would likely get going it alone, but we all know this

Increased sovereignty.

Highly debatable, what sovereignty has the EU actually taken away?

Increased British exceptionalism and nationalism.

Well yeah, but .. is that really a good thing, going by the last 2 and a half years?

The main problem will all of the above is that if you just talk about them in isolation they all sound great, but when you actually compare them to what the UK has at this moment in time by being in the EU, they all look like much worse options for the UK.
Perfectly true but leave was more about emotions; taking back control. Great idea. But taking back control for what purpose.

The leave campaign was a classic. It resonated with peoples emotions. None of it had to be true or correct. That was not the point. The point was to offer some kind of utopian place where Great Britain was again the centre of the world.
All about emotions, with plenty of lies thrown in to make it even more seductive.
And of course over 17million trusting souls fell for it. It was all far too easy.

Now go and make it reality.
I have done my bit. I have voted leave (not me by the way).
Don't bother me with facts. Just make it happen and make it happen NOW.
 

jojojo

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I keep hearing 'we are prepared for a no deal brexit' from eu leaders.

What preparation have eu countries done?
The Spanish have done stuff to protect their tourist industry and to try and manage the British expats living in Spain.

A lot of it's very mundane stuff designed to get them through the holiday season, like not insisting that UK tourists have an international driving permit as well as their current UK/EU version photo licence. They've also promised to maintain the current EHIC - emergency medical cover scheme for tourists. Basically a bunch of things done to get us through a few months of no-deal without killing their tourist industry or turning their hospitals into financial gatekeepers.

For residents it's to give the changeover time longer - easier to convert UK driving licence to Spanish, continuation of current health cover whether that's cover because you're working or paying into the social security or because the UK government has transferred your (pensioner) health cover to Spain. Continuation of current tax arrangements for pensions and other income. Transitional stuff with a time limit set (3 to 12 months on most of it) to give people a chance to regularise their status - or to leave if they realise that they can't.

All with the proviso that the UK must make the same emergency reciprocal agreements to protect Spanish nationals in the UK.

It's not obvious what they'll do if they can't get Spanish strawberries etc into the UK in a timely manner or how they'll handle Gibraltar etc - basically they're just delaying the cliff edge and hoping that we'll do the same.
 

Stanley Road

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Well let's take those main mentioned answers

Reduced immigration.

All evidence so far points to this not happening

Not having to send money to the EU.

True, but you'll also lose a hell of a lot of money by being out of the EU, a lot more than what you put in, this is based on hard economic facts.

Less EU regulation and standardisation.

The UK has already said they plan to keep EU laws in place post Brexit so.. not true.

Increased trade with the rest of the world.

Unlikely. The EU already has trade deals with the world's biggest economies, better ones than the UK would likely get going it alone, but we all know this

Increased sovereignty.

Highly debatable, what sovereignty has the EU actually taken away?

Increased British exceptionalism and nationalism.

Well yeah, but .. is that really a good thing, going by the last 2 and a half years?

The main problem will all of the above is that if you just talk about them in isolation they all sound great, but when you actually compare them to what the UK has at this moment in time by being in the EU, they all look like much worse options for the UK.
"Well lets post the bits I like in the redcafe"

What did you think of the wine sellers opinion? You know, an actual businessman
 

Stanley Road

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Perfectly true but leave was more about emotions; taking back control. Great idea. But taking back control for what purpose.
You haven't read the forum posts I linked to, the guy you quoted has made his own interpretations which is not a true reflection of peoples posts on that site. Who'd have thunk, a remainer not listening to anyone but himself
 

Brwned

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If you do, I'd love to see how much of that evidence is accompanied by initial hostility on the part of the non-Remain voter.

I mean, your posts today came in light of Josep's initial post which can not be described as anything other than bellicose. If that gets peoples backs up is that any surprise?
I've no doubt thats true in some cases, and untrue in others. Every Leave voter in here that I've seen has said things that can only ever be antagonistic. Sometimes that was in response to people belittling them, sometimes it wasn't. I don't think either fault is solely to blame for this specific issue. I think both are unwilling to take responsibility for it, on the whole, and many people on both sides don't give a feck. The demonisation of the other has been very effective so tolerating the other side is now thought to be a dangerous thing, by a significant portion of people on both extremes of the political spectrum, and quite a few people on either side of the centre.

But you calling everyone ignorant is fine. Congratulations.
I think the vast majority of people in here are not ignorant. Many are more tolerant than my average friend or family member. Care to apologise for misrepresenting my view?

Is it really though? Where did the expectation that discourse between people with different ideologies would be friction free come from? Also this sentiment seems to be getting pushed by the same people that are complaining about free speech and outrage culture... To me it just feels artificial and exaggerated at times.

You often hear people complaining about the intolerance/abuse/etc, but then you dig deeper, look over the preceding discussion, and it amounts to nothing more than someone being challenged on their beliefs by someone who is getting fed up by the whole experience.

Anyway I'll await your examples.
I don't think it should be friction free but I think it would be more constructive if the condescension was less prevalent, and the personal attacks were much less frequent.

I'm not part of that bubble that complains about free speech and engages in outrage culture. I think many of those things are as ridiculous as you do. This is just my opinion based on my very limited experience of political discussion in here. It's up to you whether you want to perceive that as part of a wider agenda, fuelled by outrage culture, or whether you just take it at face value as my opinion.

Maybe some of the things that I think are oppressive to the other side, and unconstructive, you think are just people acting fed up by illogical arguments. To be the two are not mutually exclusive. The fact one causes the other, neither justifies the other nor makes it constructive. I don't think my opinion is right, it's just a perception of a complicated issue.

To me it's problematic that people are so confident that their opinion is the right one, on issues that don't have an obvious solution. Going into an argument trying to prove you're right makes it very difficult to have a meaningful discussion.

For example, the post above from Paul is obviously him being fed up of people like me having a different opinion to people like him. I can live with that. However how he chooses to deal with that causes people who hold a different opinion to be less vocal, simply because it's not a discussion that seems worth getting involved in. It is not oppressive - I will give actual examples of that - but it's not constructive either. And it's not designed to be.

People recognise that and understand the message it communicates. It doesn't bother people on Paul's side but it does bother people who aren't on his side. That's the stuff that barely enters your radar because you sympathise with the sentiment, even if you wouldn't express the point in that way.
 

Massive Spanner

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"Well lets post the bits I like in the redcafe"

What did you think of the wine sellers opinion? You know, an actual businessman
What are you on about? Those are literally the bullet points at the top, not Caf related.

You mean this guy?
Secondly, the EU has been stagnating relative to the rest of the world economy for decades. The UK’s trade with the EU has been steadily losing importance - down to 50% of our trade from close to 60% a decade ago. By contrast the UK’s trade with the rest of the world has been growing much more rapidly.
That's all utter bollox.
 

RedChip

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It's odd to me that this forum is majority left leaning, but irrespective of that the Brexit voters are definitely underrepresented. Which seems a pretty clear indication that the atmosphere towards Leave voters is so oppressive that there's no reason to get involved. Lots of people on here celebrate that atmosphere too, while simultaneously taking the piss out of Leave voters for not having a voice. It's a win win for people of that persuasion, and while they might not be the majority they're certainly vocal enough to shape the overall conversation.

@Massive Spanner's point about Forum demographics in general does make sense though
It isn't oppressive, it is just a really hard environment for leavers as they have no compelling counter arguments. Reckon there is a bunch of them lurking, just hiding in the closet.
 

Massive Spanner

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Perfectly true but leave was more about emotions; taking back control. Great idea. But taking back control for what purpose.

The leave campaign was a classic. It resonated with peoples emotions. None of it had to be true or correct. That was not the point. The point was to offer some kind of utopian place where Great Britain was again the centre of the world.
All about emotions, with plenty of lies thrown in to make it even more seductive.
And of course over 17million trusting souls fell for it. It was all far too easy.

Now go and make it reality.
I have done my bit. I have voted leave (not me by the way).
Don't bother me with facts. Just make it happen and make it happen NOW.
Yep, it was. Problem is a lot of leave voters are in complete denial of this and are instead trying to use other forms of argument, which always fall flat. We've seen it on here time and time again.
 

Paul the Wolf

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I think the vast majority of people in here are not ignorant. Many are more tolerant than my average friend or family member. Care to apologise for misrepresenting my view?
You haven't called me ignorant yet, this is true , but criticising other people is equally as toxic and condescending as anyone else - according to search 87 times on the site but I'm not going to list them.
People are entitled to different views.

It would be better that they justify their arguments when questioned. Some people are more aggressive than others and ruder but this is life, which is why I have never put anyone on ignore nor have I ever reported anyone. Although several people have been banned for being insulting or aggressive to me.
People sometimes lose their temper because having asked on numerous occasions but they never get a straight answer.
 

Smores

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It isn't oppressive, it is just a really hard environment for leavers as they have no compelling counter arguments. Reckon there is a bunch of them lurking, just hiding in the closet.
Exactly. It's hard to keep track and not conflate brexit issue and people call each other out in here all the time mostly between us remainers. It's only leavers who take issue with it.

I don't see how it makes one bit of difference if you're a leaver or remainer when discussing things like the irish border, CU, Norway +.
 

Sassy Colin

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Well let's take those main mentioned answers

Reduced immigration.

All evidence so far points to this not happening

Not having to send money to the EU.

True, but you'll also lose a hell of a lot of money by being out of the EU, a lot more than what you put in, this is based on hard economic facts.

Less EU regulation and standardisation.

The UK has already said they plan to keep EU laws in place post Brexit so.. not true.

Increased trade with the rest of the world.

Unlikely. The EU already has trade deals with the world's biggest economies, better ones than the UK would likely get going it alone, but we all know this

Increased sovereignty.

Highly debatable, what sovereignty has the EU actually taken away?

Increased British exceptionalism and nationalism.

Well yeah, but .. is that really a good thing, going by the last 2 and a half years?

The main problem will all of the above is that if you just talk about them in isolation they all sound great, but when you actually compare them to what the UK has at this moment in time by being in the EU, they all look like much worse options for the UK.
This is it though, all the arguments given by leavers can be swotted away quite easily, even those based on pure economic factors rather than xenophobic ones.

My brother was going on about European legislation and Europe telling the UK what it can and cannot do. It was simply countered by the fact that if the UK still wants to sell into Europe, which it will need to, then we will have to follow European regulations anyway. If we are in Europe, we in a position to shape the legislation, so we actually have more control, not less, inside the EU.
 

RedChip

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I don't think remainers have to justify anything. We were happy with the status quo, we wanted it to continue, we liked being part of Europe with all the benefits that confers. Personally, I see no negatives at all to being a member of the EU.

I was 17 when we had the last referendum, and although I was just too young to vote I was involved in doorstep canvassing on behalf of the "yes" campaign. I've been European for my whole adult life and now I'm at retirement age, it's being taken away from me.

I'm extremely upset about losing my European citizen status, losing my right to vote for MEPs, losing the freedom to easily travel to and live within European countries. I can't think of another domestic political issue that's had such an impact on the way I feel, and I've been voting for 42 years now.
Same here, though, unlike you, I didn't even realise how much I loved being part of Europe until Brexit. It is a bit more than losing the opportunities to be part of the EU. I feel like Brexit has destroyed the perception I had of British people and the UK in general. My area voted leave by a significant margin. Now I look at my neighbours and wonder what sort of people they really are.
 

Brwned

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It isn't oppressive, it is just a really hard environment for leavers as they have no compelling counter arguments. Reckon there is a bunch of them lurking, just hiding in the closet.
I think both are true. It takes particularly thick skin to argue that leaving the EU will reduce immigration, without the evidence to support it. So people who do not have thick skin but have that as one of their primary reasons for leaving will choose not to get involved. I think there are some people who have more substantive reasons for leaving but just do not get involved because, from my perspective at least, it is an oppressive atmosphere to people with their viewpoint. That is in part generated by people.on the Leave side putting forward arguments that do not fit the facts, but that doesn't change the fact that it now exists, IMO.

You haven't called me ignorant yet, this is true , but criticising other people is equally as toxic and condescending as anyone else - according to search 87 times on the site but I'm not going to list them.
People are entitled to different views.

It would be better that they justify their arguments when questioned. Some people are more aggressive than others and ruder but this is life, which is why I have never put anyone on ignore nor have I ever reported anyone. Although several people have been banned for being insulting or aggressive to me.
People sometimes lose their temper because having asked on numerous occasions but they never get a straight answer.
I don't know you very well but my instinct is you are not ignorant. I don't think criticising other people for how they communicate their views is toxic, perfectly. That's too extreme. But yes I can understand why criticism fuels wider frustration and I'm happy to accept that I have done nothing to solve that problem.
 

diarm

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There's a lot of words in that article but it doesn't actually say much apart from subsidizing fishermen that will no longer have an income, is that preparation. "This includes checks and controls for customs", In Holland they tried to find 1000 new people to cope with these checks, they got 500 applicants. Basically is vague, very EU like.
You not being able to read and understand things properly doesn't make something else vague.

Countries within the EU have written new legislation, created new positions in potentially affected areas, published information packs and created websites to assist their people and businesses in the event of a no deal Brexit. Since the very beginning they have been consistent and coherent in their stance and preparations.

You call it "a lot of words" which leads me to suspect you don't understand what plans are? Why would EU members make concrete changes while they're still totally in the dark over what it is Britain actually want or will end up doing? Until Britain has sorted out its own shit show, plans will obviously only be words.

There is one party to Brexit which has been vague, incoherent, muddled and inconsistent and it isn't any EU member.
 

afrocentricity

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Same here, though, unlike you, I didn't even realise how much I loved being part of Europe until Brexit. It is a bit more than losing the opportunities to be part of the EU. I feel like Brexit has destroyed the perception I had of British people and the UK in general. My area voted leave by a significant margin. Now I look at my neighbours and wonder what sort of people they really are.
Said it already on here but post Brexit (and the accompanying arguements) I've been suspicious and on edge too... Wondering what a person is really thinking and what their motives may really be.

Which obviously manifests itself in here in my interactions with posters and in real life in my day to day. Bit of a wake up call tbh.... So... Thanks I guess.
 

Coxy

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Same here, though, unlike you, I didn't even realise how much I loved being part of Europe until Brexit. It is a bit more than losing the opportunities to be part of the EU. I feel like Brexit has destroyed the perception I had of British people and the UK in general. My area voted leave by a significant margin. Now I look at my neighbours and wonder what sort of people they really are.
Agreed - it's just so convenient when you're on your travels within Europe - will be such a shame to lose it.

Obviously more than just that, the economic reasons too, but for that reason alone, I will miss it.
 

Penna

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Same here, though, unlike you, I didn't even realise how much I loved being part of Europe until Brexit. It is a bit more than losing the opportunities to be part of the EU. I feel like Brexit has destroyed the perception I had of British people and the UK in general. My area voted leave by a significant margin. Now I look at my neighbours and wonder what sort of people they really are.
That's just how I feel, to the extent that we don't want to live in the UK anymore. We had no intention of becoming Italian residents before Brexit, but now we have Italian ID cards and we're at the point of going back to England in a month or so and getting our house ready for sale. I don't really want to go back at all, I feel completely estranged from my own country.

We're lucky to be able to escape.
 

VeevaVee

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What a fecking plank.

I at least have a shred of respect that as a farmer he probably knows a bit about the EU, which is something more than most people. Like many though he's shot himself in the foot. Muppet.
 

VeevaVee

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I don't think remainers have to justify anything. We were happy with the status quo, we wanted it to continue, we liked being part of Europe with all the benefits that confers. Personally, I see no negatives at all to being a member of the EU.

I was 17 when we had the last referendum, and although I was just too young to vote I was involved in doorstep canvassing on behalf of the "yes" campaign. I've been European for my whole adult life and now I'm at retirement age, it's being taken away from me.

I'm extremely upset about losing my European citizen status, losing my right to vote for MEPs, losing the freedom to easily travel to and live within European countries. I can't think of another domestic political issue that's had such an impact on the way I feel, and I've been voting for 42 years now.
Yup. End of discussion really. We didn’t vote to tip the cart over, they did. And they have either poor answers or no answers depending on what the current questions are. And they cry foul when people point this out.
Well said and entirely true.
 

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Same here, though, unlike you, I didn't even realise how much I loved being part of Europe until Brexit. It is a bit more than losing the opportunities to be part of the EU. I feel like Brexit has destroyed the perception I had of British people and the UK in general. My area voted leave by a significant margin. Now I look at my neighbours and wonder what sort of people they really are.
That's just how I feel, to the extent that we don't want to live in the UK anymore. We had no intention of becoming Italian residents before Brexit, but now we have Italian ID cards and we're at the point of going back to England in a month or so and getting our house ready for sale. I don't really want to go back at all, I feel completely estranged from my own country.

We're lucky to be able to escape.
Not to be rude but as foreigner living over here for the past 15 years, it was pretty clear that once the UK had a referendum people were going to vote to leave.
To me anyway it was far more shocking that people thought it couldn't happened.

Although I do think the Brexit divide stuff is completely overdone. Hardly anyone I know or talked to since the referendum result cares about brexit, I remember a whole group of us (leave voters and remain voters) were talking about Brexit and within a couple of minutes we all got very bored and talked about the snooker on the telly.

It's hardly mad max over here.
 
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RedChip

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I think there are some people who have more substantive reasons for leaving but just do not get involved because, from my perspective at least, it is an oppressive atmosphere to people with their viewpoint.
Well I guess we differ in what we consider oppressive. I would consider it oppressive if leavers were not allowed to put forward their arguments. But they can put forward any argument they wish; it is just that their arguments do not stand up to scrutiny very well. So the majority of them just moan about being insulted; or don't bother posting having seen similar arguments to their own taken down.

Redcafe is left-leaning, but I think pretty good at giving good arguments a fair hearing. I think if there are some, even marginally, meritorious arguments for Brexit, the forum will give them due respect. I just haven't come across many, yet.
 

VeevaVee

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Just to update, the well educated and firmly middle class colleague with mildly racist tendencies I know, who told me he didn't know why he voted Brexit at the time of the referendum, but when pushed as to why anyone would do that came out with a story about a fisherman having to repackage his fish because of EU regulations, still stands firmly by his decision and believes "we should just get fecking out and be done with it".

If that ain't idiocy I dunno what is.
 

jojojo

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"Well lets post the bits I like in the redcafe"

What did you think of the wine sellers opinion? You know, an actual businessman
I accept his comments regarding his own self-interest - which I understand, though actually multiple grape varieties and naming systems are in place across Europe and the only reason he can't get his voice heard is that grape-growing in the UK is too small a business area to get UK agricultural officials to argue for further local provisions.

However his 4% tariff worry is neither here nor there when faced with actual "WTO terms" reality. Lamb, for example, going to the EU on WTO attracts tariffs starting at 40%, unless (like Iceland, Australia, New Zealand etc) you have a trade agreement with the EU that brings that it down to zero for most of the trade.

Cars entering the EU attract a tariff of 10%, so let's convert that to a (free trade with the US - that we pay for in some other way) model that gives us cheaper Teslas. That's nice but is that actually an advantage for the people working in a Japanese company building cars in the UK for export to Europe and using components from all over Europe. The idea that we trade more with the countries outside the EU is based largely on services and on goods that use the UK as a gateway to Europe.

Very few people will get economic benefits from Brexit and most of them are people with the majority of their financial and business interests based overseas.
 

Smores

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Barnier said:
If the UK were to leave the EU without a deal, let me be very, very clear. We would not discuss anything with the UK until there is an agreement for Ireland and Northern Ireland, as well as for citizens’ rights and the financial settlement.
That's really fecking bad. If they'd stick to their guns or not given the situation we might all find ourselves in is another matter but the idea of get out and sort it later looks even more foolish
 

MoskvaRed

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I'll post some evidence of the oppressive attitude to non-Remain voters in here later.

No-one is saying that Leave voters are more welcoming to Remainers. What people are saying that both sides are intolerant of the other, demonise the other, and make any conversation very difficult. Which is the explicit objective of some people in here. The fact that the one side might be worse does not make what the other side is doing a good thing.

The entire atmosphere is toxic. And when people on the other side, or on neither side, say that, the response is to dismiss it as illegitimate or make a sarcastic jibe. Always. There is a fundamental intolerance to that notion.
There is a lack of tolerance but, at the end of the day, if one side is proposing hugely disruptive changes, the onus is on that side to justify the decision rather than the side in favour of the status quo. Unfortunately, aside from that tiny percentage of Leavers who are extreme free market ideologues and want to have a bonfire of regulations, in the last three years I have yet to hear any logically compelling argument for Brexit. It’s a mixture of people with genuine grievances lashing out at the wrong target combined with old folk bemoaning the fact that life used to be much simpler.