SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

giggs-beckham

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No chance they're getting to the general public before March/April.

December might be rolled out to the NHS frontline workers, then January to old people in care homes etc. But wouldn't expect much more than that.

Think us younger, healthier individuals will get it closer to end of 2021.
Hi so why does it take that long. if its ready for a small amount of people in December as suggested, why isn't it ready for a larger amount of people in December. I'm guessing its because we don't have enough vaccine in the short term.
 

Jericholyte2

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So the Tiers are stricter apart from the fact that pubs can stay open for longer and crowds are now going to start being allowed in both Tiers 1 and 2?

"Also feel free to have a collective Christmas but I'm not putting any restrictions so it's completely on you if we end up having a spike in mid-January"

Did I get that all right? What a joke!
 

jojojo

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Why’s Boris using a 420p webcam?
Computer generated Boris-bot. Hence the cheap microphone to go with the webcam. Personally I'm more disappointed by the lack of books, shark wave photos etc behind him.

Still no actual numbers on what makes a place Tier 3 etc, or how to help people who are asked to self-isolate. Just word soup. Ideal bot material.
 

11101

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Another week another new set of rules for the UK. I would have thought a continuation of current rules until the week of Christmas would have been the best approach.
 

Judas

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I couldn't believe just how busy it was when I went out this morning, I've not ventured too far at all in this supposed lockdown and it felt just like a normal monday out and about, truly bizarre. Can't see how this lockdown will have done much at all, and now it's all opening up again? Lovely stuff.
 

Berbaclass

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So if you work in a tier 3 are what happens now? I'm classed as non-essential retail currently and I'm furloughed. My area is expected to be placed into tier 3 and I have no idea what any of this actually means.
 

Smores

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Another week another new set of rules for the UK. I would have thought a continuation of current rules until the week of Christmas would have been the best approach.
I don't think there's enough backing in the Tory party for that. A lot of these MPs have to answer to local business and then all the various bodies they're paid by to influence decisions.

And I thought allowing any visits on Christmas day was bold. It would be funny if it wasn't so deadly.

The UK public have repeatedly shown that given an inch they'll take a mile. It'd have been nice to get it down to minimal levels so those cautious amongst us could actually see family.
 

Suv666

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NSW - Victoria border opened fully for the first time in forever after NSW went more than the 14 incubation period for the virus without a case of community transmission - Victoria is at 21 days. Really good to see the police checkpoints being dismantled. SA seems to have their outbreak under control so it is at least possible that Australia can be covid free and fully open internally for Christmas.
A friend of mine is supposed to start uni in Melbourne in March. Do you reckon Australia will open their international borders by then?
 

Brwned

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I couldn't believe just how busy it was when I went out this morning, I've not ventured too far at all in this supposed lockdown and it felt just like a normal monday out and about, truly bizarre. Can't see how this lockdown will have done much at all, and now it's all opening up again? Lovely stuff.
At the end of the day, regardless of whether this lockdown-lite played a pivotal role in things, the covid cases trend is much, much better than it was a month ago. On the 1st October there was 7-day average of ~12k cases, on the 15th it was 17.5k cases, on the 29th it was 22k cases. So it was at a doubling rate nearly every 4 weeks. We're almost 4 weeks on from then and things have basically held steady rather than doubled again, while things have fallen a lot in some of the previous hotspots. Imagine if it kept that doubling rate and we were on 40k+ cases per day, bringing us close to the previous peak of 1,000 deaths per day.
 

DavidDeSchmikes

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So Johnson by not extending the lockdown will see off a Tory rebellion, plus he has a potential saving Christmas narrative, and a vaccine from Oxford.
 

Dave_MUFC

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Hi so why does it take that long. if its ready for a small amount of people in December as suggested, why isn't it ready for a larger amount of people in December. I'm guessing its because we don't have enough vaccine in the short term.
I'm not a scientist, so it's just m own opinion.

But I heard on the news there's only 4 million vaccines currently bought by the government, so if you think about how many NHS workers and older people there area in the country, that's not much.

And then there's the logistics of storage, getting people appointments to get the vaccine etc. They can't go ahead and do the majority of the country in a few weeks.
 

Pexbo

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Retail in tier 3 will all be open.
Don’t think this is a bad idea really. Retailers have done well to make places covid secure, it’s better to spread the Xmas shopping over a longer period too and avoid the scenario where people travel to open shopping venues and they end up overran
 

stepic

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I'm not a scientist, so it's just m own opinion.

But I heard on the news there's only 4 million vaccines currently bought by the government, so if you think about how many NHS workers and older people there area in the country, that's not much.

And then there's the logistics of storage, getting people appointments to get the vaccine etc. They can't go ahead and do the majority of the country in a few weeks.
the 5m is just for the moderna one. they've ordered 100m of the Oxford, 60m of the Psizer one, etc
 

Infra-red

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Don’t think this is a bad idea really. Retailers have done well to make places covid secure, it’s better to spread the Xmas shopping over a longer period too and avoid the scenario where people travel to open shopping venues and they end up overran
Closing retail over Christmas would surely send a lot of these shops under, too.
 

Brwned

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Which makes me think, what the hell is the point of the tiers if everything is open regardless? Just a fancy name to make people think the government care.
There are a lot of people that prefer operating the principles of informed choice. So the tiering is a simple signal of the level of community transmission in the area which is the information part, while people are free to exercise choice armed with that knowledge. It's clearly very different to the previous implementation but it's not totally worthless if you buy into some foundational principles of what it means to be a free society.
 

Smores

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Don’t think this is a bad idea really. Retailers have done well to make places covid secure, it’s better to spread the Xmas shopping over a longer period too and avoid the scenario where people travel to open shopping venues and they end up overran
How can it not be a bad idea to have retail and all personal care open in very high alert areas?

Put it this way under these guidelines what framework is there to reduce pressure on local hospitals that begin to struggle? It's idiotic not to have a worthwhile higher tier so i hope there's at least a tier 4.
 

Berbaclass

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How can it not be a bad idea to have retail and all personal care open in very high alert areas?

Put it this way under these guidelines what framework is there to reduce pressure on local hospitals that begin to struggle? It's idiotic not to have a worthwhile higher tier so i hope there's at least a tier 4.
Exactly, the tier system may as well not exist. You can't go to a football match but you can go to a shop in tier 3...
 

Smores

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Exactly, the tier system may as well not exist. You can't go to a football match but you can go to a shop in tier 3...
Indeed if they wanted to make the criteria for entering the tiers less strict then okay but changing all the measures within tiers so they're little different doesn't make much sense.

I find Brwned's explanation above a very generous counter point.
 

Pexbo

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How can it not be a bad idea to have retail and all personal care open in very high alert areas?

Put it this way under these guidelines what framework is there to reduce pressure on local hospitals that begin to struggle? It's idiotic not to have a worthwhile higher tier so i hope there's at least a tier 4.
For the reasons I’ve posted.

1. Retail is much safer than Pubs so the risk is somewhat negated.
2. People will get in their car and drive however many miles it takes to find a city with shops open. That will just create highly concentrated shopping hotspots.
3. If places come out of Tier 3 down to Tier 2, you’ll again just concentrate the footfall into something less manageable.


It’s basically game theory at this point, predicting public behaviour and limiting the damage.
 

stepic

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How can it not be a bad idea to have retail and all personal care open in very high alert areas?

Put it this way under these guidelines what framework is there to reduce pressure on local hospitals that begin to struggle? It's idiotic not to have a worthwhile higher tier so i hope there's at least a tier 4.
tier 4 would be another lockdown
 

Don't Kill Bill

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Not really. No one who took the vaccine died of Covid 19. The trial varied doses and discovered that using a half dose then a full dose gave 90% of people protection. They will make 2 billion doses next year and you don't have to store it at extremely low temperatures.

It is in fact brilliant news probably the best we have had in the last 10 months. If please, please, please it holds up to scrutiny of the regulating body.
 

Stanley Road

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The police mainly.

And we haven't been locked down in NSW for ages although we do have restrictions. For example, our local makes you login to an online register, takes your temperature before you enter, Half the tables are removed and you can't stand at the bar. They put a laminate notice on your table that you turn face down when you arrive and they turn face up again after you have left and the table has been disinfected. Stay for the evening and you will see at least 2 visits by the cops.

In Victoria they were handing fines out like confetti and arrested almost everyone at a small anti-lockdown protest. One man who escaped from a quarantine hotel was given a prison sentence. So we are taking enforcement quite seriously. International and domestic border lockdowns have been a major weapon in that you can almost stop new cases being imported (and where they occur they are already in quarantine) and once you have eliminated within a state you can then keep it that way most of the time and work on getting the other states to zero as well. At the beginning of the Victoria outbreak they had over 700 cases in a day, more or less the same as the UK. They have now not had a case for 21 days. Heroic effort from the people of Victoria imo.
I like this form of policing, our police spend most of the time in mcdonalds
 

Pexbo

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Not really. No one who took the vaccine died of Covid 19.
This is something I haven’t considered. Anyone know how possible/likely it is that while the vaccine might not build a big enough immune response to hold the virus back completely, it could produce enough of a response to kick start the fight when it does take hold.
 

utdalltheway

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Not really. No one who took the vaccine died of Covid 19. The trial varied doses and discovered that using a half dose then a full dose gave 90% of people protection. They will make 2 billion doses next year and you don't have to store it at extremely low temperatures.

It is in fact brilliant news probably the best we have had in the last 10 months. If please, please, please it holds up to scrutiny of the regulating body.
They should have led with the 90% number, right?
Overall it looks a whole lot better than it did a few weeks ago. Hopefully approval will be soon and vaccinations can begin right away.