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Club Sale | It’s done!

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Rhyme Animal

Thinks Di Zerbi is better than Pep.
Joined
Sep 3, 2015
Messages
11,193
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Nonchalantly scoring the winner...
Lot of people so certain Qatar will not walk away. They walked away in 2011.
We are getting to the walk away stage now. Won't be long
So do we think Jassim will again bid or will get "frustrated" as Jabobs is suggesting and "walk away"?
‘Aaaaand straight in at number 1, it’s Sheikh David with ‘Walking Away’. This one’s a sad number, pop pickers, so grab a hanky, take it away, Sheikh’

Jassim’s walking away
From the Glazers in his life
He’s walking away
Oh to find a better day
Jassim’s walking away
From the Glazers in his life
He’s walking away
Oh to find a better day

Sometimes the Raine group do me wrong
When it's nothing I’ve said or done
Sometimes being a Sheikh is just no fun
That's why I bid and run
But now I truly realize
These leeches don't wanna compromise
Well I saw them with my own eyes spreading those lies
And well I don't wanna bid a lie
Too many sleepless nights
Not mentioning the fights
I'm sorry to say, Avi
I'm walking away
From the Glazers in my life
I'm walking away
Oh to find a better day
I'm walking away
From the Glazers in my life
I'm walking away
Oh to find a better day

Well I'm so tired Avi
Things you say you're driving me away
Whispers in the dressing room baby
Don't listen to the games they play
Dude, I thought you'd realize
I'm not like them other guys
'Cause I saw them with my own eyes
You should've been more wise
And well I don't wanna live a lie
Too many sleepless nights
Not mentioning the fights
I'm sorry to say Avi
I'm walking away

:(
 

Big Ben Foster

Correctly predicted Portugal to win Euro 2016
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13,088
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BR -> MI -> TX
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Also support Vasco da Gama
Exactly that we have set up a revolving credit line of £200-300m and if we buy two players for £60m and £60m we don’t immediately pay 120m pounds on completion of transfer, I’m pretty sure the fees are amortised over 5 years so we would have to make £24m payments to the two selling clubs this year plus the Agents fees. However we will need to sell Henderson, Mctominay and Maguire to really increase the budget to a £250/300m
The amortization schedule and the cash payments are two different things, but transfers are usually paid out in installments anyway, so generally speaking, that sounds accurate.
 

RopersReturn

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Dec 17, 2020
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Hastings
I don’t think the Glazers are particularly that smart when it comes to business, certainly these latest antics of delaying is an embarrassment.
My guess is they’re being coached by the Raine group or their own family lawyers to the hilt, encouraging them to play the long game and hold out. They’re just an incredibly greedy family of spivs.
 
Last edited:

Cloud7

Full Member
Joined
Jan 11, 2016
Messages
12,892
At this point I genuinely don’t know what the feck is going on now or when we are going to hear any clear signs of news on what these leeches are planning to do.

You could literally have given this thread a miss for one month and then come back on it and be totally unsurprised that there have been no major developments during that month you avoided it.

It’s just been a massive circus from the get-go.
If we're being honest with ourselves, the last time there was any actual news was the point where it was made clear that only JR and Qatar remain in the running.

Everything since then has not been any actual news or developments.
 

Woziak

Full Member
Joined
May 8, 2018
Messages
3,776
The amortization schedule and the cash payments are two different things, but transfers are usually paid out in installments anyway, so generally speaking, that sounds accurate.
We do have to pay the Agent Fees upfront which are now governed by FIFA at a max of 10% so there is that, they all the agents had to take anew exam to be FIFA certified now.
 

George The Best

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I used Malaga as an example because they are literally the closest example of being owned by someone close to the Qatari ruling family but as an individual. If I used any other example no doubt the reply would be that they are different etc etc. If any of you genuinely think it could be an individual bid, then you should be very very concerned with where the money comes from. Jassim himself probably isn't even richer than Ratcliffe, his daddy is but hates football.

So if you really think it's not a state bid and not just saying that as a deflection to defend the Qatar bid, then why are you believing the PR sent through the Daily Mail?
Jassim is promising cash. SJR’s wealth is all paper, and he’s not selling any of it. Don’t really like either of these bids. Glazer’s must be hugely disappointed that more bidders didn’t materialise - but that’s down to their stupid valuation of the clubs worth.
 

LawCharltonBest

Enjoys watching fox porn
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Messages
15,582
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Salford
Apologies if this has been covered, but have any of the journos mentioned how we have a transfer budget despite the Glazers still being in charge?

Assumed they’d keep the money inside the club until an agreement was reached but by the stories, United are going after Kane, Mount etc which would be expensive deals
 

VP89

Pogba's biggest fan
Joined
Dec 6, 2015
Messages
32,003
Apologies if this has been covered, but have any of the journos mentioned how we have a transfer budget despite the Glazers still being in charge?

Assumed they’d keep the money inside the club until an agreement was reached but by the stories, United are going after Kane, Mount etc which would be expensive deals
£100-150m excluding sales.
 

Nori-

Full Member
Joined
Aug 19, 2015
Messages
1,222
As much as Sir Alex has done for this club, his constant refusal to speak out against the Glazers doesn't sit right with me.

The first thing some people will think at this point is "how dare you", but at what point do you allowed to start criticising someone? If the thing you love is being destroyed in front of your eyes and someone the power to stop it but doesn't, are they still the hero you make them out to be for past achievements? Fergie is in a unique position, if he speaks everyone listens and his words hold weight. He isn't blind, he knows what is happening and the fact he's not even said a word is wrong. We gave him as much as he gave us, it wasn't just one way.

The pictures of him sat smiling next to the head rat who has milked this club and set us back decades on Saturday, made me sick to my stomach. Im sure a LOT of people felt them same but won't say it. His legacy is precious to us and our history but he is not untouchable. No one is.

All I can say is those who kept silent won't be forgotten. Ex-players, ex-managers, all of them. They've put their own interests ahead of the club that has given them everything. The only one at this point that I have huge respect for is Gay Neville. Sky could easily tell him, don't get involved or your job is at stake and he's still spoken out against the Glazers.
 

Gurtej

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Jan 3, 2014
Messages
524
If we are taken over irrespective of the buyer, I assume we can spend more in first year without having FFP complications as the rules allow new owner to put some money, correct?

The way I see it, we need a 300 million window to bridge half the gap to man city next year and to be sure of ending in top 4 given all other clubs will surely improve.
 

mu4c_20le

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Joined
Jul 7, 2013
Messages
44,456
. The only one at this point that I have huge respect for is Gay Neville. Sky could easily tell him, don't get involved or your job is at stake and he's still spoken out against the Glazers.
Nah sky love it, it's box office
 

Irishman

New Member
Newbie
Joined
Mar 3, 2010
Messages
151
As much as Sir Alex has done for this club, his constant refusal to speak out against the Glazers doesn't sit right with me.

The first thing some people will think at this point is "how dare you", but at what point do you allowed to start criticising someone? If the thing you love is being destroyed in front of your eyes and someone the power to stop it but doesn't, are they still the hero you make them out to be for past achievements? Fergie is in a unique position, if he speaks everyone listens and his words hold weight. He isn't blind, he knows what is happening and the fact he's not even said a word is wrong. We gave him as much as he gave us, it wasn't just one way.

The pictures of him sat smiling next to the head rat who has milked this club and set us back decades on Saturday, made me sick to my stomach. Im sure a LOT of people felt them same but won't say it. His legacy is precious to us and our history but he is not untouchable. No one is.

All I can say is those who kept silent won't be forgotten. Ex-players, ex-managers, all of them. They've put their own interests ahead of the club that has given them everything. The only one at this point that I have huge respect for is Gay Neville. Sky could easily tell him, don't get involved or your job is at stake and he's still spoken out against the Glazers.
Great Post and I agree 100%. Fergies silence deafening.
 

wolvored

Full Member
Joined
Jul 6, 2016
Messages
9,979
As much as Sir Alex has done for this club, his constant refusal to speak out against the Glazers doesn't sit right with me.

The first thing some people will think at this point is "how dare you", but at what point do you allowed to start criticising someone? If the thing you love is being destroyed in front of your eyes and someone the power to stop it but doesn't, are they still the hero you make them out to be for past achievements? Fergie is in a unique position, if he speaks everyone listens and his words hold weight. He isn't blind, he knows what is happening and the fact he's not even said a word is wrong. We gave him as much as he gave us, it wasn't just one way.

The pictures of him sat smiling next to the head rat who has milked this club and set us back decades on Saturday, made me sick to my stomach. Im sure a LOT of people felt them same but won't say it. His legacy is precious to us and our history but he is not untouchable. No one is.

All I can say is those who kept silent won't be forgotten. Ex-players, ex-managers, all of them. They've put their own interests ahead of the club that has given them everything. The only one at this point that I have huge respect for is Gay Neville. Sky could easily tell him, don't get involved or your job is at stake and he's still spoken out against the Glazers.
Fergies fault they got in, so he cant run them down.
 

hp88

Full Member
Joined
Mar 8, 2010
Messages
17,435
Location
W3103
As much as Sir Alex has done for this club, his constant refusal to speak out against the Glazers doesn't sit right with me.

The first thing some people will think at this point is "how dare you", but at what point do you allowed to start criticising someone? If the thing you love is being destroyed in front of your eyes and someone the power to stop it but doesn't, are they still the hero you make them out to be for past achievements? Fergie is in a unique position, if he speaks everyone listens and his words hold weight. He isn't blind, he knows what is happening and the fact he's not even said a word is wrong. We gave him as much as he gave us, it wasn't just one way.

The pictures of him sat smiling next to the head rat who has milked this club and set us back decades on Saturday, made me sick to my stomach. Im sure a LOT of people felt them same but won't say it. His legacy is precious to us and our history but he is not untouchable. No one is.

All I can say is those who kept silent won't be forgotten. Ex-players, ex-managers, all of them. They've put their own interests ahead of the club that has given them everything. The only one at this point that I have huge respect for is Gay Neville. Sky could easily tell him, don't get involved or your job is at stake and he's still spoken out against the Glazers.
He's still employed by the club as an ambassador so I doubt he will say a bad word about them whilst they're still around, there will a interview at some point where he will open up about it.
 

Plant0x84

Shame we’re aren’t more like Brighton
Joined
Jun 23, 2020
Messages
13,554
Location
Carpark and snack area adjacent to the abyss
Apologies if this has been covered, but have any of the journos mentioned how we have a transfer budget despite the Glazers still being in charge?

Assumed they’d keep the money inside the club until an agreement was reached but by the stories, United are going after Kane, Mount etc which would be expensive deals
Revolving credit facility. Club credit card basically. We’re doing our transfer business on a PayPal pay in 3! :wenger:
 

Messier1994

The Swedish Rumble
Joined
Oct 7, 2022
Messages
1,368
On a serious note, I think the following is clear about the take over process.

1. Anyone can gain 100% of the control of the club and 69% of the economic rights by buying all of the shares held by the Glazers.

By doing this, you gain the exact same control of the club as the Glazers has today.

The current bid from 9-2 for the Glazers shares is £2.9bn. So anyone that want to get the same control and ownership of the club as the Glazers can outbid 9-2 if they pay more than £2.9bn. In addition 9-2 pledges to invest 1bn into the club according to reports.

So in essence, from the Glazers and fans of MUFC’s point of view, 9-2’s bid for the club is slightly lower than what Boehly paid for, and pledged to invest in, Chelsea. Boehly paid 2.5bn for the club and pledged to invest 1.75bn in the club, for a total of £4.25bn. 9-2’s bid to the Glazers is £2.9bn and they pledge to invest a billion, so in total 3.9bn.

In addition, they would also seek to buy the shares listed on the NYSE for app. 1.3bn.

But overall I think it’s quite clear that 9-2 is not QSI and that this is a project they have a fairly limited budget for. The Glazers has picked an awful time to sell the club from a macro economic point of view, with interest rates sky rocketing etc. But remember that Saudi Arabia made a bid for Chelsea but didn’t even get through to the second round, just because a bidder origins for an oil state, it doesn’t mean that they have unlimited funds. It could also be that Sheik Jassim’s position took a big hit from Credit Suisse going bust. Qatar was the biggest share owner of Credit Suisse and Sheik Jassim was on CS’ board

2. Ineos bid to the Glazers is for all their shares for app. 3.5bn, ie valuing the club at close to 6bn (at the bottom line, this means 600m more for the Glazers, but they won’t get all immediately). According to information in the FT — the purchase price would be paid to the Glazers in tranches. Ie they would sell shares representing a controlling stake (more than 50% of the series B shares) in the first tranche and then the rest over the coming “years”. What is new in the FT article is that they intend to change to AoA so that others than the Glazers can own B shares. If no such change is made, the voting strong B shares would convert to A shares if sold to a non Glazer.

If Ineos comes out on top, it’s after a pretty modest bid. Remember they offered to pay just as much as Boehly for Chelsea (after the deadline), ie £2.5bn for the club and Ineos also pledged to invest £1.75bn in Chelsea’s squad and stadium. With this bid, Ineos would have to pay a little more, to get a little less (69%), of something a lot bigger MUFC. Hopefully the £1.75bn investment figure still stands, it’s a figure that should make us the club that can invest the most in our squad in the world over the coming decade.

3. The Glazers obviously seem very intrigued by 9-2 and are dragging out the negotiations with Ineos to give 9-2 time to raise their offer. The process aimed to finish in late March, and after that two “deadlines” has passed without a preferred bidder being appointed.

Will 9-2 come back with an improved offer? Like many surely will remember, I had “Qatar” as my favorite back in November/December before either of 9-2 or Ineos even had declared their interest. And while it’s hard to get full insight into how business is done in these countries, we know enough to conclude that it is perfectly possible for them to be irrational, but when they say something, they deliver (with ‘they’’, I mean Sheik Jassim, not some Twitter account with Arabic text in the bio). Before anything is done, sealed and delivered with Ineos — I wouldn’t rule anything out.

But with this said — “11.59 pm” has passed three times already in this process. We are into June 4 (possibly 5 before I hit send). If Jassim like have told Avram ‘give me a call before you close with someone else’, Avram’s phone bill to Qatar is probably pretty significant by now…

The FT article obviously came from either top of the Raine Group or one of the other central advisors. Reading between the line, they are basically ridiculing the 9-2 bid. Talking about it in terms of how “serious it is”, the “penny dropping” regarding key elements, and so forth. They obviously also feel that Ineos really is playing hard ball.

So I don’t know what to think. Anyone wanting to hold out hope for 9-2 should be able to do so — nothing is a done deal yet — but objectively, the only thing they have going for them is Avram holding off appointing Ineos the preferred bidder.

4. Given that 9-2 obviously doesn’t have unlimited resources for this project (under normal conditions, I don’t think it’s a bid that make it to the second round of bids, it’s Chelsea money for a lot bigger club in MUFC) — should we be worried that they will buy the club and then not invest enough? I doubt it. We know practically nothing for certain about either bidder, but I think both alternatives would provide sufficient resources for us to be the No 1 in the football world in terms of financial resources. Like anything else is bad business.

It does feel like many think that 9-2 is a safer bet to invest more into the club — what is the basis for that? Is there a logic in assuming that since QSI got PSG for free and then invested 2bn into the club, 9-2 will buy MUFC for 6bn and then invest 2-3bn into the club? Maybe, I don’t know. But is it a certainty? Anyone claiming that must know something I don’t.

5. I want to add one last thing, we are a long way into the process. Like we talked about above, the economic climate this spring has been a nightmare. Big banks going bust, interest rates skyrocketing, a war in the middle of Europe and tension between Russia and NATO, asset prices tanking completely — and so forth. Had the club been sold during the fall of 21’ when the stock market went crazy, there certainly would have been interest from SPACs, crypto players, and other super high net worth individuals.

Ineos and 9-2 announced their interest what, I’ve lost track of time, but like 5-6 months ago. Recession is looming. But investors are about one year ahead of reality. Even if the 6 worst months are ahead of us, it will start to look up a few months into 2024. Inflation won’t survive a recession and the world’s problem — which we are aware of today — aren’t bad enough to sink the world economy for any longer period of time.

Investor just have two modes, they are either panicking and are on suicide watch or they have blinders on and try to get their hands on as many assets as possible.

With more and more investors starting to get their head above water so to speak — I wouldn’t at all be shocked if a third bidder comes in and just swoops up the club. If so, probably an US consortium, perhaps even some Asian investors. The current bids — 2.9 and 3.45bn to the Glazers (this is of course all that matters) — just isn’t that much for a club like MUFC.
 
Last edited:

George The Best

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Aug 22, 2013
Messages
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Nut Megging
If it's true that two of them want to stay, then the Qatari bid is doomed. If Ratbag is happy to buy his way in and let the Glazers stay on in some capacity, then what is the effect of that on the playing side? Do we get to modernize with the best football people in all key positions, or do we carry on as we are? I have no idea what the answer is.
If SJR wins and keeps the Glazer’s on board, then what happens next? It’s not just investment in the squad that’s needed - the infrastructure needs a massive overhaul of some description. If the Glazer’s stay then they should meet their share of the infrastructure investment that’s badly needed. They’ve shown no motivation to put their own money into the club since day one, and neither has SJR (publicly) committed to any such investment - which gives me big alarm bells about this ‘deal’. Not that sold on the SJ/Qatar either, so this isn’t going to end well either way from my perspective.
 

Plant0x84

Shame we’re aren’t more like Brighton
Joined
Jun 23, 2020
Messages
13,554
Location
Carpark and snack area adjacent to the abyss
As much as Sir Alex has done for this club, his constant refusal to speak out against the Glazers doesn't sit right with me.

The first thing some people will think at this point is "how dare you", but at what point do you allowed to start criticising someone? If the thing you love is being destroyed in front of your eyes and someone the power to stop it but doesn't, are they still the hero you make them out to be for past achievements? Fergie is in a unique position, if he speaks everyone listens and his words hold weight. He isn't blind, he knows what is happening and the fact he's not even said a word is wrong. We gave him as much as he gave us, it wasn't just one way.

The pictures of him sat smiling next to the head rat who has milked this club and set us back decades on Saturday, made me sick to my stomach. Im sure a LOT of people felt them same but won't say it. His legacy is precious to us and our history but he is not untouchable. No one is.

All I can say is those who kept silent won't be forgotten. Ex-players, ex-managers, all of them. They've put their own interests ahead of the club that has given them everything. The only one at this point that I have huge respect for is Gay Neville. Sky could easily tell him, don't get involved or your job is at stake and he's still spoken out against the Glazers.
It’s not his place to speak out against the owners, He’s an 81 year old in poor health. Give the man a break!
 

Woziak

Full Member
Joined
May 8, 2018
Messages
3,776
If we are taken over irrespective of the buyer, I assume we can spend more in first year without having FFP complications as the rules allow new owner to put some money, correct?

The way I see it, we need a 300 million window to bridge half the gap to man city next year and to be sure of ending in top 4 given all other clubs will surely improve.
Yep this the full truth of the clubs current status we need £300-£350m to compete in CL, Fa Cup, Caribo Cup and PL with a view of trying to win 26-28 PL games. The Top 8 this year will be much better and yes I’m including Spurs, Chelsea and Villa in that, Brighton will be good but nowhere near as good as this season with Thurs Sunday Football.

Bare Minimum we need are;

Goalkeeper (D Costa £55m),
CB (
KMJ £50m),
DM/CM (
D Rice/M Caciedo/ S Amrabat, Rabiot Free/£100m)
Number 8/10 (M Mount / N Barella£55m),
CF (H Kane/V Oshimen £90/130m)
Back Up Striker (R Hojlund £45m)
Marquee LW - (Neymar Loan )

Thats £325-400m and this only happens if we sell 8 or 9 players and Qatar buy the club otherwise we will work on £150-250m budget after selling 5 or 6 players.
 

Plant0x84

Shame we’re aren’t more like Brighton
Joined
Jun 23, 2020
Messages
13,554
Location
Carpark and snack area adjacent to the abyss
I thought they (the club obviously because the Glazers won’t) were paying that off by the end of June?
The thinking is that they are clearing it so it becomes available again, and will then become the new owner’s responsibility. It’s a way around not getting the sale done before the window is in progress.
 

glazed

Eats diamonds to beat thermodynamics
Joined
Sep 30, 2012
Messages
7,790
‘Aaaaand straight in at number 1, it’s Sheikh David with ‘Walking Away’. This one’s a sad number, pop pickers, so grab a hanky, take it away, Sheikh’
No the walk away stage is where they sell to the Qataris, having screwed the maximum price out of them. That's the game.
 

Salt Bailly

Auburn, not Ginger.
Joined
Apr 23, 2017
Messages
9,727
Location
Valinor
On a serious note, I think the following is clear about the take over process.

1. Anyone can gain 100% of the control of the club and 69% of the economic rights by buying all of the shares held by the Glazers.

By doing this, you gain the exact same control of the club as the Glazers has today.

The current bid from 9-2 for the Glazers shares is £2.9bn. So anyone that want to get the same control and ownership of the club as the Glazers can outbid 9-2 if they pay more than £2.9bn. In addition 9-2 pledges to invest 1bn into the club according to reports.

So in essence, from the Glazers and fans of MUFC’s point of view, 9-2’s bid for the club is slightly lower than what Boehly paid for, and pledged to invest in, Chelsea. Boehly paid 2.5bn for the club and pledged to invest 1.75bn in the club, for a total of £4.25bn. 9-2’s bid to the Glazers is £2.9bn and they pledge to invest a billion, so in total 3.9bn.

In addition, they would also seek to buy the shares listed on the NYSE for app. 1.3bn.

But overall I think it’s quite clear that 9-2 is not QSI and that this is a project they have a fairly limited budget for. The Glazers has picked an awful time to sell the club from a macro economic point of view, with interest rates sky rocketing etc. But remember that Saudi Arabia made a bid for Chelsea but didn’t even get through to the second round, just because a bidder origins for an oil state, it doesn’t mean that they have unlimited funds. It could also be that Sheik Jassim’s position took a big hit from Credit Suisse going bust. Qatar was the biggest share owner of Credit Suisse and Sheik Jassim was on CS’ board

2. Ineos bid to the Glazers is for all their shares for app. 3.5bn, ie valuing the club at close to 6bn (at the bottom line, this means 600m more for the Glazers, but they won’t get all immediately). According to information in the FT — the purchase price would be paid to the Glazers in tranches. Ie they would sell shares representing a controlling stake (more than 50% of the series B shares) in the first tranche and then the rest over the coming “years”. What is new in the FT article is that they intend to change to AoA so that others than the Glazers can own B shares. If no such change is made, the voting strong B shares would convert to A shares if sold to a non Glazer.

If Ineos comes out on top, it’s after a pretty modest bid. Remember they offered to pay just as much as Boehly for Chelsea (after the deadline), ie £2.5bn for the club and Ineos also pledged to invest £1.75bn in Chelsea’s squad and stadium. With this bid, Ineos would have to pay a little more, to get a little less (69%), of something a lot bigger MUFC. Hopefully the £1.75bn investment figure still stands, it’s a figure that should make us the club that can invest the most in our squad in the world over the coming decade.

3. The Glazers obviously seem very intrigued by 9-2 and are dragging out the negotiations with Ineos to give 9-2 time to raise their offer. The process aimed to finish in late March, and after that two “deadlines” has passed without a preferred bidder being appointed.

Will 9-2 come back with an improved offer? Like many surely will remember, I had “Qatar” as my favorite back in November/December before either of 9-2 or Ineos even had declared their interest. And while it’s hard to get full insight into how business is done in these countries, we know enough to conclude that it is perfectly possible for them to be irrational, but when they say something, they deliver (with ‘they’’, I mean Sheik Jassim, not some Twitter account with Arabic text in the bio). Before anything is done, sealed and delivered with Ineos — I wouldn’t rule anything out.

But with this said — “11.59 pm” has passed three times already in this process. We are into June 4 (possibly 5 before I hit send). If Jassim like have told Avram ‘give me a call before you close with someone else’, Avram’s phone bill to Qatar is probably pretty significant by now…

The FT article obviously came from either top of the Raine Group or one of the other central advisors. Reading between the line, they are basically ridiculing the 9-2 bid. Talking about it in terms of how “serious it is”, the “penny dropping” regarding key elements, and so forth. They obviously also feel that Ineos really is playing hard ball.

So I don’t know what to think. Anyone wanting to hold out hope for 9-2 should be able to do so — nothing is a done deal yet — but objectively, the only thing they have going for them is Avram holding off appointing Ineos the preferred bidder.

4. Given that 9-2 obviously doesn’t have unlimited resources for this project (under normal conditions, I don’t think it’s a bid that make it to the second round of bids, it’s Chelsea money for a lot bigger club in MUFC) — should we be worried that they will buy the club and then not invest enough? I doubt it. We know practically nothing for certain about either bidder, but I think both alternatives would provide sufficient resources for us to be the No 1 in the football world in terms of financial resources. Like anything else is bad business.

It does feel like many think that 9-2 is a safer bet to invest more into the club — what is the basis for that? Is there a logic in assuming that since QSI got PSG for free and then invested 2bn into the club, 9-2 will buy MUFC for 6bn and then invest 2-3bn into the club? Maybe, I don’t know. But is it a certainty? Anyone claiming that must know something I don’t.

5. I want to add one last thing, we are a long way into the process. Like we talked about above, the economic climate this spring has been a nightmare. Big banks going bust, interest rates skyrocketing, a war in the middle of Europe and tension between Russia and NATO, asset prices tanking completely — and so forth. Had the club been sold during the fall of 21’ when the stock market went crazy, there certainly would have been interest from SPACs, crypto players, and other super high net worth individuals.

Ineos and 9-2 announced their interest what, I’ve lost track of time, but like 5-6 months ago. Recession is looming. But investors are about one year ahead of reality. Even if the 6 worst months are ahead of us, it will start to look up a few months into 2024. Inflation won’t survive a recession and the world’s problem — which we are aware of today — aren’t bad enough to sink the world economy for any longer period of time.

Investor just have two modes, they are either panicking and are on suicide watch or they have blinders on and try to get their hands on as many assets as possible.

With more and more investors starting to get their head above water so to speak — I wouldn’t at all be shocked if a third bidder comes in and just swoops up the club. If so, probably an US consortium, perhaps even some Asian investors. The current bids — 2.9 and 3.45bn to the Glazers (this is of course all that matters) — just isn’t that much for a club like MUFC.
Top post!
 

Spoony

The People's President
Joined
Oct 27, 2001
Messages
63,223
Location
Leve Palestina.
On a serious note, I think the following is clear about the take over process.

1. Anyone can gain 100% of the control of the club and 69% of the economic rights by buying all of the shares held by the Glazers.

By doing this, you gain the exact same control of the club as the Glazers has today.

The current bid from 9-2 for the Glazers shares is £2.9bn. So anyone that want to get the same control and ownership of the club as the Glazers can outbid 9-2 if they pay more than £2.9bn. In addition 9-2 pledges to invest 1bn into the club according to reports.

So in essence, from the Glazers and fans of MUFC’s point of view, 9-2’s bid for the club is slightly lower than what Boehly paid for, and pledged to invest in, Chelsea. Boehly paid 2.5bn for the club and pledged to invest 1.75bn in the club, for a total of £4.25bn. 9-2’s bid to the Glazers is £2.9bn and they pledge to invest a billion, so in total 3.9bn.

In addition, they would also seek to buy the shares listed on the NYSE for app. 1.3bn.

But overall I think it’s quite clear that 9-2 is not QSI and that this is a project they have a fairly limited budget for. The Glazers has picked an awful time to sell the club from a macro economic point of view, with interest rates sky rocketing etc. But remember that Saudi Arabia made a bid for Chelsea but didn’t even get through to the second round, just because a bidder origins for an oil state, it doesn’t mean that they have unlimited funds. It could also be that Sheik Jassim’s position took a big hit from Credit Suisse going bust. Qatar was the biggest share owner of Credit Suisse and Sheik Jassim was on CS’ board

2. Ineos bid to the Glazers is for all their shares for app. 3.5bn, ie valuing the club at close to 6bn (at the bottom line, this means 600m more for the Glazers, but they won’t get all immediately). According to information in the FT — the purchase price would be paid to the Glazers in tranches. Ie they would sell shares representing a controlling stake (more than 50% of the series B shares) in the first tranche and then the rest over the coming “years”. What is new in the FT article is that they intend to change to AoA so that others than the Glazers can own B shares. If no such change is made, the voting strong B shares would convert to A shares if sold to a non Glazer.

If Ineos comes out on top, it’s after a pretty modest bid. Remember they offered to pay just as much as Boehly for Chelsea (after the deadline), ie £2.5bn for the club and Ineos also pledged to invest £1.75bn in Chelsea’s squad and stadium. With this bid, Ineos would have to pay a little more, to get a little less (69%), of something a lot bigger MUFC. Hopefully the £1.75bn investment figure still stands, it’s a figure that should make us the club that can invest the most in our squad in the world over the coming decade.

3. The Glazers obviously seem very intrigued by 9-2 and are dragging out the negotiations with Ineos to give 9-2 time to raise their offer. The process aimed to finish in late March, and after that two “deadlines” has passed without a preferred bidder being appointed.

Will 9-2 come back with an improved offer? Like many surely will remember, I had “Qatar” as my favorite back in November/December before either of 9-2 or Ineos even had declared their interest. And while it’s hard to get full insight into how business is done in these countries, we know enough to conclude that it is perfectly possible for them to be irrational, but when they say something, they deliver (with ‘they’’, I mean Sheik Jassim, not some Twitter account with Arabic text in the bio). Before anything is done, sealed and delivered with Ineos — I wouldn’t rule anything out.

But with this said — “11.59 pm” has passed three times already in this process. We are into June 4 (possibly 5 before I hit send). If Jassim like have told Avram ‘give me a call before you close with someone else’, Avram’s phone bill to Qatar is probably pretty significant by now…

The FT article obviously came from either top of the Raine Group or one of the other central advisors. Reading between the line, they are basically ridiculing the 9-2 bid. Talking about it in terms of how “serious it is”, the “penny dropping” regarding key elements, and so forth. They obviously also feel that Ineos really is playing hard ball.

So I don’t know what to think. Anyone wanting to hold out hope for 9-2 should be able to do so — nothing is a done deal yet — but objectively, the only thing they have going for them is Avram holding off appointing Ineos the preferred bidder.

4. Given that 9-2 obviously doesn’t have unlimited resources for this project (under normal conditions, I don’t think it’s a bid that make it to the second round of bids, it’s Chelsea money for a lot bigger club in MUFC) — should we be worried that they will buy the club and then not invest enough? I doubt it. We know practically nothing for certain about either bidder, but I think both alternatives would provide sufficient resources for us to be the No 1 in the football world in terms of financial resources. Like anything else is bad business.

It does feel like many think that 9-2 is a safer bet to invest more into the club — what is the basis for that? Is there a logic in assuming that since QSI got PSG for free and then invested 2bn into the club, 9-2 will buy MUFC for 6bn and then invest 2-3bn into the club? Maybe, I don’t know. But is it a certainty? Anyone claiming that must know something I don’t.

5. I want to add one last thing, we are a long way into the process. Like we talked about above, the economic climate this spring has been a nightmare. Big banks going bust, interest rates skyrocketing, a war in the middle of Europe and tension between Russia and NATO, asset prices tanking completely — and so forth. Had the club been sold during the fall of 21’ when the stock market went crazy, there certainly would have been interest from SPACs, crypto players, and other super high net worth individuals.

Ineos and 9-2 announced their interest what, I’ve lost track of time, but like 5-6 months ago. Recession is looming. But investors are about one year ahead of reality. Even if the 6 worst months are ahead of us, it will start to look up a few months into 2024. Inflation won’t survive a recession and the world’s problem — which we are aware of today — aren’t bad enough to sink the world economy for any longer period of time.

Investor just have two modes, they are either panicking and are on suicide watch or they have blinders on and try to get their hands on as many assets as possible.

With more and more investors starting to get their head above water so to speak — I wouldn’t at all be shocked if a third bidder comes in and just swoops up the club. If so, probably an US consortium, perhaps even some Asian investors. The current bids — 2.9 and 3.45bn to the Glazers (this is of course all that matters) — just isn’t that much for a club like MUFC.
Is it a state backed bid or isn't it then?
 

Woziak

Full Member
Joined
May 8, 2018
Messages
3,776
On a serious note, I think the following is clear about the take over process.

1. Anyone can gain 100% of the control of the club and 69% of the economic rights by buying all of the shares held by the Glazers.

By doing this, you gain the exact same control of the club as the Glazers has today.

The current bid from 9-2 for the Glazers shares is £2.9bn. So anyone that want to get the same control and ownership of the club as the Glazers can outbid 9-2 if they pay more than £2.9bn. In addition 9-2 pledges to invest 1bn into the club according to reports.

So in essence, from the Glazers and fans of MUFC’s point of view, 9-2’s bid for the club is slightly lower than what Boehly paid for, and pledged to invest in, Chelsea. Boehly paid 2.5bn for the club and pledged to invest 1.75bn in the club, for a total of £4.25bn. 9-2’s bid to the Glazers is £2.9bn and they pledge to invest a billion, so in total 3.9bn.

In addition, they would also seek to buy the shares listed on the NYSE for app. 1.3bn.

But overall I think it’s quite clear that 9-2 is not QSI and that this is a project they have a fairly limited budget for. The Glazers has picked an awful time to sell the club from a macro economic point of view, with interest rates sky rocketing etc. But remember that Saudi Arabia made a bid for Chelsea but didn’t even get through to the second round, just because a bidder origins for an oil state, it doesn’t mean that they have unlimited funds. It could also be that Sheik Jassim’s position took a big hit from Credit Suisse going bust. Qatar was the biggest share owner of Credit Suisse and Sheik Jassim was on CS’ board

2. Ineos bid to the Glazers is for all their shares for app. 3.5bn, ie valuing the club at close to 6bn (at the bottom line, this means 600m more for the Glazers, but they won’t get all immediately). According to information in the FT — the purchase price would be paid to the Glazers in tranches. Ie they would sell shares representing a controlling stake (more than 50% of the series B shares) in the first tranche and then the rest over the coming “years”. What is new in the FT article is that they intend to change to AoA so that others than the Glazers can own B shares. If no such change is made, the voting strong B shares would convert to A shares if sold to a non Glazer.

If Ineos comes out on top, it’s after a pretty modest bid. Remember they offered to pay just as much as Boehly for Chelsea (after the deadline), ie £2.5bn for the club and Ineos also pledged to invest £1.75bn in Chelsea’s squad and stadium. With this bid, Ineos would have to pay a little more, to get a little less (69%), of something a lot bigger MUFC. Hopefully the £1.75bn investment figure still stands, it’s a figure that should make us the club that can invest the most in our squad in the world over the coming decade.

3. The Glazers obviously seem very intrigued by 9-2 and are dragging out the negotiations with Ineos to give 9-2 time to raise their offer. The process aimed to finish in late March, and after that two “deadlines” has passed without a preferred bidder being appointed.

Will 9-2 come back with an improved offer? Like many surely will remember, I had “Qatar” as my favorite back in November/December before either of 9-2 or Ineos even had declared their interest. And while it’s hard to get full insight into how business is done in these countries, we know enough to conclude that it is perfectly possible for them to be irrational, but when they say something, they deliver (with ‘they’’, I mean Sheik Jassim, not some Twitter account with Arabic text in the bio). Before anything is done, sealed and delivered with Ineos — I wouldn’t rule anything out.

But with this said — “11.59 pm” has passed three times already in this process. We are into June 4 (possibly 5 before I hit send). If Jassim like have told Avram ‘give me a call before you close with someone else’, Avram’s phone bill to Qatar is probably pretty significant by now…

The FT article obviously came from either top of the Raine Group or one of the other central advisors. Reading between the line, they are basically ridiculing the 9-2 bid. Talking about it in terms of how “serious it is”, the “penny dropping” regarding key elements, and so forth. They obviously also feel that Ineos really is playing hard ball.

So I don’t know what to think. Anyone wanting to hold out hope for 9-2 should be able to do so — nothing is a done deal yet — but objectively, the only thing they have going for them is Avram holding off appointing Ineos the preferred bidder.

4. Given that 9-2 obviously doesn’t have unlimited resources for this project (under normal conditions, I don’t think it’s a bid that make it to the second round of bids, it’s Chelsea money for a lot bigger club in MUFC) — should we be worried that they will buy the club and then not invest enough? I doubt it. We know practically nothing for certain about either bidder, but I think both alternatives would provide sufficient resources for us to be the No 1 in the football world in terms of financial resources. Like anything else is bad business.

It does feel like many think that 9-2 is a safer bet to invest more into the club — what is the basis for that? Is there a logic in assuming that since QSI got PSG for free and then invested 2bn into the club, 9-2 will buy MUFC for 6bn and then invest 2-3bn into the club? Maybe, I don’t know. But is it a certainty? Anyone claiming that must know something I don’t.

5. I want to add one last thing, we are a long way into the process. Like we talked about above, the economic climate this spring has been a nightmare. Big banks going bust, interest rates skyrocketing, a war in the middle of Europe and tension between Russia and NATO, asset prices tanking completely — and so forth. Had the club been sold during the fall of 21’ when the stock market went crazy, there certainly would have been interest from SPACs, crypto players, and other super high net worth individuals.

Ineos and 9-2 announced their interest what, I’ve lost track of time, but like 5-6 months ago. Recession is looming. But investors are about one year ahead of reality. Even if the 6 worst months are ahead of us, it will start to look up a few months into 2024. Inflation won’t survive a recession and the world’s problem — which we are aware of today — aren’t bad enough to sink the world economy for any longer period of time.

Investor just have two modes, they are either panicking and are on suicide watch or they have blinders on and try to get their hands on as many assets as possible.

With more and more investors starting to get their head above water so to speak — I wouldn’t at all be shocked if a third bidder comes in and just swoops up the club. If so, probably an US consortium, perhaps even some Asian investors. The current bids — 2.9 and 3.45bn to the Glazers (this is of course all that matters) — just isn’t that much for a club like MUFC.
The part you conveniently omit is that 92 Foundation through SJ will pay off the debt of $660m and these numbers are wrong when you bid for 100% of the club their are other variables like future commercial media deals and the value of the Squad which are valued at £950m and are actually assets of the club because if you buy 100% of the club you are no longer responsible to the NYSE or the shareholders so if Qatar wanted to they could sell the complete squad to raise cash(obviously this would never happen!) and play the youth team, There will be a value for the assets too in a total takeover valuation and therefore the Glazers will want a fee for that too this is all part of their £6-7 billion valuation which in hindsight is not unreasonable based on the upward trajectory of ETH as coach.

This is why I think Raine have simply ignored SJ bid and tried to create a shadow bidding war with SJR being used as he can’t possibly buy 100% of the club unless he sells some of his assets.
 
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