At least a decade.
The problem is that in theory, new membership comes without acquis which is logically nearly impossible to sell to the public even british people that are pro-EU.
At least, you'd imagine. We might need a generation to shift off the voting register first. Would also question European appetite- at least among the current cohort of MEPs.
At least 20-30 years. Probably never, unless a future government reform and regulate the media.
That is a different question. But there is no guarantee they would! And the terms would be atrocious compared to previous.
It's impossible to predict the political landscape in 30 - 50 years time.
Not until the boomers are the minority voting demographic anyway. Who knows what the EU will look like at that point, or what Britain will look like for that matter.
Down the line, but no way anyone can face those accession talks for a few years.
Indeed a long way off i think... the whole euro aspect of it for a start.
He would, despite him constantly using Norway as a reference point pre referendum, but he would of course conveniently forget that.
That might actually be the easiest route for them. If someone has to face being wrong, its usually easier to have someone to blame for it. If the Express-Brexiteers ever actually do get to that point, the blowback on the Tories is going to be apocalyptic.
I'm expecting serious calls for joining the EEA or EFTA to start within about the next 6 months. It is likely to be the way Britain solves some of its problems while losing less face than if they just rejoin the EU straight off.
There is zero chance the EU will accept the UK back in the single market, the custom's union or the EU until the UK radically change their attitude , their political system, the acceptance that they would have to rejoin on far worse terms than when they left.
The problem is that there are going to be the same arguments that started before the referendum and are still going on now. Until the British people understand what they have voted for by voting for Brexit, there's not even a starting point. The UK joined the EEC nearly fifty years ago and because of the British media and governments they never understood what being in the EEC/EU meant.
well it kinda goes without saying they’d have changed their attitude if they wanted back in
If euro adoption is a deal breaker then it would take something pretty seismic for the UK to join.
But it's not just the Tories though. The Labour Party's attitude was just as bad. Remember Starmer expecting to have the same benefits outside the EU as inside it. There really has to be a massive change in British politics.
Yeah I know. Public opinion needs to be heavily pro-EU first, before the politicians fall in line. Can’t see it happening for a while but who knows what 5 or 10 years out of the EU will do.
I could actually see public opinion swaying back to rejoining the EU. That is probably the least hard thing to achieve.
lets say public opinion gets to 80%+ pro EU due to how terrible things go
But if they did reach that point we'd all be back to the endless arguing amongst themselves as to what terms they would be willing to rejoin the EU, not taking into account what the terms the EU would accept them to rejoin. So even if the public wanted to rejoin they're not going to rejoin with the pound being consigned to history and all the benefits and rebates the UK had before they left no longer applicable. So maybe one party was pro rejoining the EU, they'd probably lose the subsequent election because they wouldn't be able to obtain the exceptional terms the British public would expect.
From what I was reading in last week's news about Croatia adopting the euro in 2023, every EU country that doesn't have the euro yet must sketch out a path towards adopting it (Denmark being the only exception). So that would be required from the UK as well upon rejoining: anything else could not be justified to other recent or new members. But then some countries, like Sweden, are only nominally on that path and don't actually intend to make progress; so I guess that's the approach the UK could take. They'd still formally be on a course towards adoption though, which probably would be a huge stumbling block in and of itself already.
)From what I was reading in last week's news about Croatia adopting the euro in 2023, every EU country that doesn't have the euro yet must sketch out a path towards adopting it (Denmark being the only exception). So that would be required from the UK as well upon rejoining: anything else could not be justified to other recent or new members. But then some countries, like Sweden, are only nominally on that path and don't actually intend to make progress; so I guess that's the approach the UK could take. They'd still formally be on a course towards adoption though, which probably would be a huge stumbling block in and of itself already.
(Someone correct me if I'm wrong.
Sweden joined in 1995 before the Euro. If the UK rejoined as new members they would need to adopt the Euro before they could. If the UK hadn't left they could have kept the Pound.Only new members have to adopt the Euro, the others have the benefits of exemptions. In theory the UK would be a new member and have lost those exemptions when they left.From what I was reading in last week's news about Croatia adopting the euro in 2023, every EU country that doesn't have the euro yet must sketch out a path towards adopting it (Denmark being the only exception). So that would be required from the UK as well upon rejoining: anything else could not be justified to other recent or new members. But then some countries, like Sweden, are only nominally on that path and don't actually intend to make progress; so I guess that's the approach the UK could take. They'd still formally be on a course towards adoption though, which probably would be a huge stumbling block in and of itself already.
(Someone correct me if I'm wrong.
thats all we have.
The high wages thing is hilarious.
He's starting to thrash about, he's in panic mode, they should have got rid of him, he's liable to do anything to save his skin.
The government could lose this vote. After this week’s disastrous performance in the vote of confidence, Tory MPs will be thinking about life after Johnson and some of them at least will be less willing to put their name to approving a breach of an international treaty. As for the legal advice received, given Blair and Campbell managed to bully a highly-respected lawyer like Goldsmith over the legality of invading Iraq, I’m sure someone like Braverman will sign up to anything.
Yes. Very much so. Wounded and dangerous.
Boris to move to a 'high line' in Brexit rethink, after hearing of Liverpools successfull red wall defence
He is, isn't he. He will be able to sell the idea that the increase in cost of living is solely due to the EU which is why they had to leave it.
