SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

Prometheus

Full Member
Joined
Mar 17, 2013
Messages
2,708
Supports
Chelsea
I totally agree that any death is a tragedy and we should do our utmost to preserve life. This is also not about wanting to go back to the pub or go to the cinema. I could quite easily shelve all those unimportant things.

This is about having a life to lead after this (which in turn will save thousands of lives in itself due to significantly more people being able to feed their kids) 60% of business will fail if this goes on longer than short term. Do you even consider what world that would leave us with?

I have 2 neices who will miss out on a significant part of their education. Do you understand the implications of this further down the line?

Does anyone really understand the mental health aspect?

It's all very well talking about funding an NHS, but if no one can pay tax then who is going to fund it? Another country who has the same problem?

People seem to think that without lockdown until there is a vaccine that this disease is going to kill millions,l. It's simply not true and never has been. Yes, you get isolated sad cases and I feel the greatest sympathy

At some point caution becomes counter productive and won't only fail to protect the NHS and save lives, but do the total opposite.
Shocking post! :eek:

You can't possibly be serious!? What do you suggest we do - just ignore the problem and let it run rampant?

Your nieces' schoolwork can't possibly be more important than people's lives.
 

sullydnl

Ross Kemp's caf ID
Joined
Sep 13, 2012
Messages
34,063
Yes people in the UK go to parks more than people in France, Italy and Spain because the government has allowed this as long as social distancing is observed.
Right. But in a context where you're talking about the "collective punishment" of people, that's relevant. You already have more leniency than other countries as is, so when you ask what % of the population we're referring to the answer is "more than in other countries who are facing the same circumstances". Your country as a whole is more lax in this regard. So I'm not sure why you'd frame it as being threatened when you're actually being given the opportunity to avoid having to follow the same harsher restrictions.
 

ryansgirl

Full Member
Joined
Nov 4, 2001
Messages
2,914
Location
where the sun rises
I take numbers out of authoritarian states with a pinch of salt. The autocrats who run some of these countries obviously have the luxury of suppressing data to avoid looking inept and create the facade of stability. That said, the likes of South Korea, Japan, and others have also been stabilizing so there's a good chance Iran wouldn't be too far behind them.
Japan is on a supposedly linear rise. Of course since the Olympics were cancelled. I really hope it is some miraculous exception but I doubt it for the reasons given in my previous post. Japan is a warning sign of severely limited testing equals severely limited information.
 

JMack1234

Full Member
Joined
Feb 19, 2017
Messages
1,528
Right. But in a context where you're talking about the "collective punishment" of people, that's relevant. You already have more leniency than other countries as is, so when you ask what % of the population we're referring to the answer is "more than in other countries who are facing the same circumstances". Your country as a whole is more lax in this regard. So I'm not sure why you'd frame it as being threatened when you're actually being given the opportunity to avoid having to follow the same harsher restrictions.
The UK has more relaxed rules than some countries and harsher rules than others.

Just because our lockdown isn't as draconian as France, Italy and Spain doesn't mean that Matt Hancock isn't slyly threatening the public when he brings up the prospect of a stricter lockdown on what is coincidentally the first day of fine weather we've had all year. It's a distracting and dangerous message.
 

Skills

Snitch
Joined
Jan 17, 2012
Messages
42,100
Shocking post! :eek:

You can't possibly be serious!? What do you suggest we do - just ignore the problem and let it run rampant?

Your nieces' schoolwork can't possibly be more important than people's lives.
Also, for the vast majority of kids it won't make enough of a difference. It will for those sadly, who live in a tough home environment or those who need additional support.

But the vast majority of kids will be fine. In fact, parents should be using this as an opportunity to get actively involved into their learning and more importantly helping them develop into more decent human beings - a responsibility many seem to neglect.
 

horsechoker

The Caf's Roy Keane.
Joined
Apr 16, 2015
Messages
52,375
Location
The stable
Is there anything to this? He's showing that most facemasks won't stop small droplets getting through except for the N95 masks but he's using an aerosol and I have no clue how and aerosol compares to human breath. I can't find the original with sound either.

 

JMack1234

Full Member
Joined
Feb 19, 2017
Messages
1,528
Shocking post! :eek:

You can't possibly be serious!? What do you suggest we do - just ignore the problem and let it run rampant?

Your nieces' schoolwork can't possibly be more important than people's lives.
Do you want keep the nation shut in doors from now until we get a vaccine? Which is probably a year to 18 months away.

If you don't, then we all need to calm it and a have a sensible discussion about how we restart the economy and return some liberty until we get a vaccine.
 

djembatheking

Full Member
Joined
Feb 7, 2013
Messages
4,057
I think the second home issue is several-fold. First it reminds people of the fact that some folk are rich enough to keep a second residence in a scenic area, which is another irritation for those who are having to stay in far less comfortable accommodation in cities.

Secondly, right from the beginning the authorities in more rural areas have been begging people not to come to their second homes just because they can - it increases the number of people having to use scarcer local resources and worst of all, if they need healthcare the local hospitals may not be able to cope with extra numbers. It's not just people who own two homes, as weeks ago we saw people going up to Scotland and parking up in their caravans and camper vans. Luckily that was stopped quickly by closing the car parks in those rural areas and also the caravan and camping sites were soon shut.

Thirdly (as other have pointed out), it gives a very bad message when you see public figures/members of governments choosing to move out to their second homes. People in authority have to lead by example in times like these, even if it's against their own self-interest to do so.

Dreading next weekend , Bangor hospital in North Wales covers all of Anglesey and a huge part of North Wales mainland . No doubt there will be loads down for a nice little Easter break . The hospital staff must be dreading it too.
 

duffer

Sensible and not a complete jerk like most oppo's
Scout
Joined
Jun 24, 2004
Messages
50,421
Location
Chelsea (the saviours of football) fan.
Is there anything to this? He's showing that most facemasks won't stop small droplets getting through except for the N95 masks but he's using an aerosol and I have no clue how and aerosol compares to human breath. I can't find the original with sound either.

They're designed to be breathable. They're only ever doing to stop big globs of spit.
 

Bojan11

Full Member
Joined
May 16, 2010
Messages
33,115
Do you want keep the nation shut in doors from now until we get a vaccine? Which is probably a year to 18 months away.

If you don't, then we all need to calm it and a have a sensible discussion about how we restart the economy and return some liberty until we get a vaccine.
What are you going on about nation shut? Nobody is saying close everything down for 18 months. But the lockdown measures need to be in place for atleast a few months and opened up little by little. It will help the NHS massively and it will save lives most importantly.

This could be gone way before a Vaccine is in production.
 

redshaw

Full Member
Joined
Jul 17, 2015
Messages
9,709
Japan is on a supposedly linear rise. Of course since the Olympics were cancelled. I really hope it is some miraculous exception but I doubt it for the reasons given in my previous post. Japan is a warning sign of severely limited testing equals severely limited information.
There should be a lot more deaths if just by Pneumonia. I think people and hospital staff would be talking about the cases coming in, wards would be shut off and staff in full PPE or many would be getting infected and dying in trying to treat them normally. It's a slow spread like the other Asian regions. Sure there was a reluctance while the Olympics was in question early on but if it was rife the evidence would be there out of the hospitals and the many that work there.
 

Smores

Full Member
Joined
May 18, 2011
Messages
25,541
One confirmed covid death in my nans care home and a second taken to hospital suspected. Feels like a matter of time now
 

ryansgirl

Full Member
Joined
Nov 4, 2001
Messages
2,914
Location
where the sun rises
What are you going on about nation shut? Nobody is saying close everything down for 18 months. But the lockdown measures need to be in place for atleast a few months and opened up little by little. It will help the NHS massively and it will save lives most importantly.

This could be gone way before a Vaccine is in production.
I do understand the principle of what jmack is saying. It is easy for curtailed liberties to be extended and then kept in place when the situation returns to something resembling normality. The answer is for our countries to become serious about funding their health systems and pro-active in this area as new viruses that are highly contagious like this one are likely to become more of a problem rather than less of one.

Why? Open borders, mass movement of people into each others` countries legally and illegally, global business which won`t cease and the unforeseen effects of climate change warned about by a handful of scientists and activists. We need to be having serious conversations about society and what it needs, how to fund services fairly etc.
 

zenith

Full Member
Joined
Apr 24, 2013
Messages
1,788
The US and UK are on the current trajectory owing to the lack of decisiveness by their respective governments and disobedience shown by a section of the population. As a result of this. Things will unfortunately get much much worse before they start to get better.

It really did not have to be this way :(
 

17 Van der Gouw

biffa bin
Joined
Oct 19, 2010
Messages
6,516
One confirmed covid death in my nans care home and a second taken to hospital suspected. Feels like a matter of time now
I'm sorry to hear that. Hopefully won't turn into a facility wide infection and your nan doesn't get it
 

golden_blunder

Site admin. Manchester United fan
Staff
Joined
Jun 1, 2000
Messages
120,103
Location
Dublin, Ireland
Believe it or not I do agree with a short lockdown to give the NHS time to get as much capacity as it can.

However, a lockdown is an appalling way of dealing with the virus. It destroys our civil liberties and the economy simultaneously. Unless you're going to lockdown the country until we get a vaccine. (we're not) you need a exit strategy and a better way of dealing it.

I also don't agree with the prevailing mood that to question the lockdown is not being a team player or disrespecting the NHS. It's not. We do need be demanding our liberty back as soon as is possible.
As soon as possible yes, I agee. I’m going as stir crazy as anyone else, I’m coming into my 4th week here. But still, it needs to stay in place until it’s absolutely safe to relax.

most of the infection now seems to be community spread so that says it all really, we can’t afford another period, perhaps a second lockdown if it starts respreading
 

ryansgirl

Full Member
Joined
Nov 4, 2001
Messages
2,914
Location
where the sun rises
There should be a lot more deaths if just by Pneumonia. I think people and hospital staff would be talking about the cases coming in, wards would be shut off and staff in full PPE or many would be getting infected and dying in trying to treat them normally. It's a slow spread like the other Asian regions.
I get your point and I`m not saying the situation resembles that in Europe but Japan doesn`t generally do autopsies, if you think hospital staff are going to talk about cases coming in except to their co-workers and their very closest relatives then you clearly don`t know about the culture here, the public is going nowhere near the wards connected to COVID-19 patients especially because of the hoops they have to jump through to even ask face to face for a test, and even if COVID-19 is present in patients it is not likely to be recorded if there is another condition present.

I`m not hearing an increase in ambulances in my area but one of my co-workers who lives in a north-western ward of Tokyo is. The medical system here is far more secretive than that in many developed countries - for example many elderly people die of cancer without knowing they have it. Their families are told by the specialist and they can withhold that information. There will be no scruples about withholding COVID-19 information to cases and to the public alike.

There could very well be a big jump in cases here when other countries are getting a handle on it. I want to be proved incorrect.
 

do.ob

Full Member
Joined
Jun 19, 2010
Messages
15,626
Location
Germany
Supports
Borussia Dortmund
Is there anything to this? He's showing that most facemasks won't stop small droplets getting through except for the N95 masks but he's using an aerosol and I have no clue how and aerosol compares to human breath. I can't find the original with sound either.
I mean there has to be a reason why professionals are using special masks and it's most likely that they offer better protection than just a piece of cloth. But that doesn't mean that the latter are necessarily useless.
 

redshaw

Full Member
Joined
Jul 17, 2015
Messages
9,709
There could very well be a big jump in cases here when other countries are getting a handle on it. I want to be proved incorrect.
That can happen and doesn't mean Japan is hiding it. It can creep through and eventually speed up and devastate an older demographic.
 

Dancfc

Full Member
Joined
Oct 28, 2016
Messages
7,407
Supports
Chelsea
Shocking post! :eek:

You can't possibly be serious!? What do you suggest we do - just ignore the problem and let it run rampant?

Your nieces' schoolwork can't possibly be more important than people's lives.
Taking my post completely out of context. What you don't seem to realise is people not being educated will result in a long term problem of lack of nurses, surgeons etc because the people who would normally have made it didn't get the appropriate education, therefore costing life, or is it only some form of life that's important to you?

Also a long term lock down happens the economy will collapse to the point people won't be able to afford to FEED THEIR KIDS.

If you're actually an advocate of long term lockdown you're may aswellsigning scores of young children's death warrants.
 

redshaw

Full Member
Joined
Jul 17, 2015
Messages
9,709



621 deaths yesterday. Slightly down from the previous day.
Yesterday 708 was announced for UK and today it's 555 for England. Day before yesterday was 684 for UK

Oh you mean not figures but actually yesterday.
 
Last edited:

Bojan11

Full Member
Joined
May 16, 2010
Messages
33,115
Taking my post completely out of context. What you don't seem to realise is people not being educated will result in a long term problem of lack of nurses, surgeons etc because the people who would normally have made it didn't get the appropriate education, therefore costing life, or is it only some form of life that's important to you?

Also a long term lock down happens the economy will collapse to the point people won't be able to afford to FEED THEIR KIDS.

If you're actually an advocate of long term lockdown you're may aswellsigning scores of young children's death warrants.
So stopping education for a few months is going to stop somebody becoming a surgeon and nurse?

Have a word with yourself.
 

0le

Full Member
Joined
Dec 25, 2017
Messages
5,806
Location
UK
Is there anything to this? He's showing that most facemasks won't stop small droplets getting through except for the N95 masks but he's using an aerosol and I have no clue how and aerosol compares to human breath. I can't find the original with sound either.
Note it is possible I may have misunderstood or misintepreted the following papers:

I had search about through the literature about N95 masks and they are classified using particles which are 300nm (nanometer) according to this paper:
N95 filtering face piece respirators are certified under NIOSH 42 CFR 84 regulations.Uncharged sodiumchloride (NaCl) particles of 300 nm in diameter are utilized as the tested aerosol.
I had a search through some literature on measuring the size of the droplets from "aerosol cans" which are hair sprays, deodrants etc. One paper reported they are on average, about 8.5um (micrometers):
Several investigators have reported size information for various cosmetic aerosols. The most frequently studied product is hair spray. Draize, Nelson, New- berger & Kelley (1959) reported that hair spray particulates ranged from less than 1 um to 30um in diameter and had a mass median diameter of 8.5 um; the method of analysis was not reported.
I've then had a look at measurements of the droplet size distribution of a typical breath. One paper reported this::
Exhaled droplets from human subjects performing four respiratory actions (mouth breathing, nose breathing, coughing, talking) were measured by both an optical particle counter (OPC) and an analytical transmission electron microscope (AEM). The OPC indicated a preponderance of particles less than 1 μ, although larger particles were also found. Measurements with the AEM confirmed the existence of larger sized droplets in the exhaled breath. In general, coughing produced the largest droplet concentrations and nose breathing the least, although considerable intersubject variability was observed.
According to this paper, the droplet size is 16um. I don't know the size technique they used, but Fig.3 in this paper shows the respective size distributions as well. They also measured the velocities using a well established technique.
 
Joined
Jul 31, 2015
Messages
22,925
Location
Somewhere out there
Wayne Rooney says players face a no-win situation in wage debate

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/52172196

Is he being a dick or does he have a point.
He has a point, make it a government decision of 30% wage reduction for ALL high earners and block rich profitable businesses from trying to use the taxpayer to pay their staff.
Or better still, temporary crisis extra 30% tax on high earners, then the money goes right to the taxpayer.
 

Pagh Wraith

Full Member
Joined
May 2, 2011
Messages
4,361
Location
Germany
Quite a few people out and about here but no groups as far as I could see unless they were families. This coming week will be interesting as the weather is going to be even better. Don't think people will stay indoors much.
 

adexkola

Doesn't understand sportswashing.
Joined
Mar 17, 2008
Messages
48,472
Location
The CL is a glorified FA Cup set to music
Supports
orderly disembarking on planes
I could give two shits about anyones education. People can recover from that. Just like the economy can recover. You know who can’t recover? The people dying. So that should be the main priority which is saving lives not your nieces education.

Nobody has even talked about going into lockdown until Vaccine comes. But reducing the number of cases is the priority and having a lockdown will help that.

You say it’s not about wanting to go back to the pub or cinema? Then what is it about? These are the businesses that you talking about that will struggle, but you don’t want to go there. So what is it?
Good for you as a private citizen.

It would be irresponsible for any competent government to only focus on saving lives in the near term, at the expense of everything else.

This has been called a war (against the epidemic of course). Well in war, any military officer will tell you that at the highest levels of planning, there are strategic tradeoffs that occur, where saving the lives of their personnel is the highest priority, but that considering other high priorities (such as success of the war, the after effects of the war, and so on) will yield a number of casualties everyone can live with or tolerate.

It's already happening now. If governments wanted to truly keep the amount of deaths as low as possible they would implement absolute stay indoors orders. Go outside and you're sentenced to life, or something like that. You can say it's impossible to have such an order (it's not), but the more realistic answer is that the costs of such an approach were too high, even considering that you would get less deaths that way.

So yeah I don't blame anyone in this thread for holding thoughts like the bolded. But @Dan's thinking will be shared by any political figure removed from the immediate emotion of the situation.
 

Dancfc

Full Member
Joined
Oct 28, 2016
Messages
7,407
Supports
Chelsea
So stopping education for a few months is going to stop somebody becoming a surgeon and nurse?

Have a word with yourself.
I never said a few months, I know schools are out till September and got no qualms with it.

I'm talking about the idea of lockdown "for as long as it takes", anyone who thinks thats has been utterly brainwashed and ironically would be the approach that costs the most lives (and by some distance).

I'm on board with the current measures in the short term,it's the right thing to do, but there will come a point it becomes counter productive and do the total opposite of protecting the NHS and saving lives.
 

massi83

Full Member
Joined
Feb 2, 2009
Messages
2,596
German figures still make little sense considering how many have been “critical” for weeks now.
Chance Germany is only calling it a Covid-death is Covid-19 is the main cause?
No. They have repeatedly said they count all deads with covid. It seems really hard for you to consider the fact that some country might do something better than Sweden#1.
 

Josep Dowling

Full Member
Joined
Aug 17, 2014
Messages
7,659
We currently have the most selfish society that’s ever walked the earth. This virus has shown us that.

The police can’t police everyone, they should make an example of some of these idiot and lock some of them up for a week and start really fining them. When will they learn, probably only when they know someone who does.
I personally don’t think this is true. The virus is invisible and there are carriers that aren’t showing symptoms. It’s very difficult to stop even with super strict lockdown laws. The big issue was the government was too slow to react and the virus had already spread at that point. All country borders should have been closed other than to get nationals home to their own countries.
 

horsechoker

The Caf's Roy Keane.
Joined
Apr 16, 2015
Messages
52,375
Location
The stable
Note it is possible I may have misunderstood or misintepreted the following papers:

I had search about through the literature about N95 masks and they are classified using particles which are 300nm (nanometer) according to this paper:


I had a search through some literature on measuring the size of the droplets from "aerosol cans" which are hair sprays, deodrants etc. One paper reported they are on average, about 8.5um (micrometers):


I've then had a look at measurements of the droplet size distribution of a typical breath. One paper reported this::


According to this paper, the droplet size is 16um. I don't know the size technique they used, but Fig.3 in this paper shows the respective size distributions as well. They also measured the velocities using a well established technique.
Ah ok, I thought it might have been an invalid test
 

0le

Full Member
Joined
Dec 25, 2017
Messages
5,806
Location
UK
Ah ok, I thought it might have been an invalid test
The purpose of the test seems to be to demonstrate that some masks are more effective than others and that there may be some masks that offer virtually no protection whatsoever.

The papers I linked suggest there may be some similarity between the size of droplets from breathing and the size of droplets from aerosol cans sold to the public. If the size of the droplets he produced from his deodorant are the same as the size of the droplets exhaled from breathing, then it shows that those particular masks in his test are useless for the current pandemic, with regards to exhaling.

N95 masks are still absolutely fine.

EDIT: added bit in bold
 
Last edited:
Joined
Jul 31, 2015
Messages
22,925
Location
Somewhere out there
No. They have repeatedly said they count all deads with covid. It seems really hard for you to consider the fact that some country might do something better than Sweden#1.
Eh?

God you’re a weird bunch in here. Norway so far are doing a better job than Sweden, South Korea certainly, Singapore, China (who knows).

I’ve no idea how well Sweden will do, probably the same as most other European countries by the end I’d imagine, I genuinely don’t think there will be a huge difference anywhere.

But Germany have had thousands critically ill for weeks, yet their numbers go up so little everyday, unlike any other country?