It's looking like the London race was a bit of expectation management so far. Pretty decent results for Khan so far. Shame about West Mids but Street is a strong candidate.
Westminster Politics
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In the latest episode of the United Hour Podcast, Nik (@Rood) was joined by comedian Ali Woods to look back at the best and worst moments of a rollercoaster season with the annual United Hour Awards.
Has Ten Hag been sacked yet? We're not sure and we hope not, but it's looking more likely as the days pass.
Who should replace him and why is it taking so long to make a decision?
Spoil sport.
Bailey won there last time didn't he? If so its looking good for Khan, assuming there aren't any major upsets in the other wards.
Pre count: "Susan Hall might win"
Actual count: "Khan picks up region that has never voted labour":
Actual count: "Khan picks up region that has never voted labour":
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Well thank feck for that. I have a friend who was volunteering in the campaign HQ and they said people were literally bricking themselves last night.Pre count: "Susan Hall might win"
Actual count: "Khan picks up region that has never voted labour":
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current swing TO labour is around 5%.
So thats West Central, North East and South West all going to Khan.
It would take a monumental upset in the other wards for Khan to lose this now. Doom mongers in the mud.
It would take a monumental upset in the other wards for Khan to lose this now. Doom mongers in the mud.
I posted this yesterday but I think the byelection in Wandsworth with the swing away from Labour really unsettled people. Anyway I am pleased. I like Sadiq.
I am delighted to have been proven wrong.
I think its pretty clear this was just a publicity stunt. Either to keep him in the limelight (another woopsie, aint he a laugh moment), or an attempt by the Tories to convey that their new ID checks are not intended to carry out voter suppression considering even a former Tory PM was not beyond the new rules.
I was taken in by the online rumours, thank feck they were incorrect.
Interesting that some of the outer boroughs are swinging Labour, despite ULEZ.
Genuinely very happy to see the Labour vote significantly drop in the Muslim population and that the Greens have made large gains. Some positive news in what has been 7 months of sadness over Gaza.
The Muslim voting block is a very big one, and yet doesn't feel anywhere near as influential or organised as say the Jewish voting block in America is. I'm very glad to see that people backed the Greens who very early on called for a ceasefire.
In London, Khan winning was always pretty likely in my view. He's insulated from the Gaza stuff because he's always strayed from the Labour line, and I expect most Londoners are actually pro less polluting cars. Of course the Conservatives fielding three terrible candidates in a row hasn't helped them. You don't need another Boris but just some regular professional guy with no history of xenophobic comments would've helped them tremendously, something all of the last three have failed to be.
The Muslim voting block is a very big one, and yet doesn't feel anywhere near as influential or organised as say the Jewish voting block in America is. I'm very glad to see that people backed the Greens who very early on called for a ceasefire.
In London, Khan winning was always pretty likely in my view. He's insulated from the Gaza stuff because he's always strayed from the Labour line, and I expect most Londoners are actually pro less polluting cars. Of course the Conservatives fielding three terrible candidates in a row hasn't helped them. You don't need another Boris but just some regular professional guy with no history of xenophobic comments would've helped them tremendously, something all of the last three have failed to be.
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Yeah, it's all just one big show.
Long may it continue.
Conservatives take Bexley & Bromley
The Conservatives have held the constituency of Bexley & Bromley, marking their first win in this year's mayoral race.
Susan Hall received 111,216 votes - or 54.6% - while Sadiq Khan received 48,952 - 24.1%.
Those percentages are exactly the same as those won by the Conservatives and Labour in 2021, meaning there was no swing in this result.
The Conservatives have held the constituency of Bexley & Bromley, marking their first win in this year's mayoral race.
Susan Hall received 111,216 votes - or 54.6% - while Sadiq Khan received 48,952 - 24.1%.
Those percentages are exactly the same as those won by the Conservatives and Labour in 2021, meaning there was no swing in this result.
Sounds painful.
What the increase of rape and knife crime?
Tories cutting police numbers definitely didn't have an effect there. I'm sure the dumpster fire candidate that is Susan Hall had a solid plan to tackle it.
Solihull suggests West Midlands too close to call
In the West Midlands mayoral race, results in Solihull have been declared.
They show a 5% swing from Conservative to Labour. Labour need a 4.5% swing to win the mayoralty.
The early intelligence that this contest is too close to call is, on this evidence, correct.
In the West Midlands mayoral race, results in Solihull have been declared.
They show a 5% swing from Conservative to Labour. Labour need a 4.5% swing to win the mayoralty.
The early intelligence that this contest is too close to call is, on this evidence, correct.
Crime is up pretty much everywhere, no? Same as a lot of other major cities in other countries I believe. Probably a mix of things like policing cuts, social services cuts, living standards erosions (things getting more expensive, stagnating wages) all making crime more attractive
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Why was the decision made to switch from PR to FPTP in London? I'm guessing it's above the Mayor's authority for obvious reasons, but seems a very backwards step in general?
Add to that its clear ULEZ wasn't the electoral minefield everyone thought it would be. Turns out people like having cleaner air in their neighbourhoods and around their workplaces and green spaces.
The Tories did this in mayoral elections because FPTP gives them a better chance of winning. That's literally the only reason.
So is it nationwide, not just in London?
Yes, they changed it under the Elections Act 2022, along with photo ID. They know any variant of PR will lead to them losing.
Cry more.
Thanks; sounds like something a sensible Labour government would prioritise putting right as soon as they made it back into power, but...
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She really can’t hid her bias.
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She needs to resign.
Sound like it might be good news.
So Labour shit on Muslim voters, likening them to Hamas, to blame for them losing an election they've won anyway?
That's about the size of it.So Labour shit on Muslim voters, likening them to Hamas, to blame for them losing an election they've won anyway?
Doubly so if they win the West Midlands mayoralty.