Club Sale | It’s done!

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Tarrou

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with all this transfer activity that looks pretty legit I'm wondering if a deal is more or less agreed behind the scenes
 

Berbaclass

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with all this transfer activity that looks pretty legit I'm wondering if a deal is more or less agreed behind the scenes
Don't think it indicates that. We have a budget for the summer either way and are using it to get the first couple of players in. What happens after depends on the ownership.
 

Twisted_Woody

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OK let me work this out...

So mum and dad have left 6 kids with a house.

Instead of selling the house and being done with it, Tom (the gardener) wants to buy the front and back gardens and will possibly buy the house at a later date. So in the meantime, the 6 kids can all live in the house whilst he puts money into a new lawn and making it look nice.
Then later on he will discuss with them about buying the house outright as he gets first dibs on it.
Funny analogy - my friends family were in that situation (a bunch inherited the family house) and they pissed about and managed to lose a lot of money.

So yes, I'd believe the Glazers would let it all burn just to spite one another.
 

Amarsdd

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That’s it the rumours of SJR £3bn for 51% were not true it’s $3bn which is is about £2.5bn slightly more than the £4.8bn for 100% offered from SJ but he has guaranteed higher share prices when he buys them out in the future however, and right now his proof of funds are surprisingly more solid than Qatar as far as the Raine Group are concerned, he’s been incredibly creative with his bid and the new one of keeping all 6 Glazers with a small piece of the future pie, while his Ineos company would invest is probably very attractive to them, they are already stay away owners, So SJR becomes the face of the club and they continue to take dividends while Good Old Jim pays the debts and invests money, yep that’s not going to happen especially if he only owns 33% of the club. This is why a lot of the UK media coverage is absolute tripe!
Wait, how did you all of a sudden come up with this number?
 

Zora

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What I want to know is, if SJR & Ineos are front runners and likely to secure the deal, then why isn’t it signed, sealed and delivered? We’re in June now. My opinion is that the Glazers are simply waiting for Qatar’s revised bid.

It’s all smoke and mirrors and very typical in business. I’m actually hoping SJR come through and buy us over Qatar due to the human right’s issues but I just don’t see that happening at all.

I think Qatar will sweep the Glazers off of their feet and it’s just a matter of time now.
 

Woziak

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I cannot see any scenario where anyone values the club at an even £6B. That would be ludicrous, and far off the reported figures of the tabled bids.

The scenario I envision is that Raine and the Glazers want the Qataris to match or come closer to Ratcliffe's valuation (rumoured between £5-5.5B). Absent of that, it is safe for us to expect more infighting between siblings and delays. The Qataris, meanwhile, seem to be be playing hard ball in these negotiations and do not want to feel like they are bidding against themselves. I personally do not believe that lack of funds is the issue for them, but none of us really know for certain.
Wait, how did you all of a sudden come up with this number?
It was reported earlier from the telegraph go back through the thread it’s there numerous times. People thought it was £3bn but it was $3bn but the new shares would be paid at higher premium so the bid overall was about £2.7bn for 51% but eventually paying a premium for the other two glazers 20%, it’s all there I really can not be bothered to chase this again, when even if it’s the Telegraph we still don’t know if they are reporting the truth, we don’t know what any of the bids are because all parties are under strict NDA’s the safe assumption is that no party has met the price that the Glazers are willing to sell for , NO Bidders !
 

Amarsdd

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It was reported earlier from the telegraph go back through the thread it’s there numerous times. People thought it was £3bn but it was $3bn but the new shares would be paid at higher premium so the bid overall was about £2.7bn for 51% but eventually paying a premium for the other two glazers 20%, it’s all there I really can not be bothered to chase this again, when even if it’s the Telegraph we still don’t know if they are reporting the truth, we don’t know what any of the bids are because all parties are under strict NDA’s the safe assumption is that no party has met the price that the Glazers are willing to sell for , NO Bidders !
I understand that portion. I meant the section where you said "especially if he only owns 33% of the club."?
 

Pexbo

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NYSE opens in 10 mins. Have a feeling the price is going to fall off a cliff today.
 

Pexbo

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Based on your Twitter bubble?

Poor weekend generally for United will tie into general feeling of FUD. Then you have since the exchange closed for the weekend the news that all six Glazers are looking to stay. Plus the various appearances of Glazers at the final indicating they have an interest in the club, even if it’s all show.

I hope you are right as I hold some MUFC shares but I can’t help but think it’s going to drop like a stone.
 

croadyman

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The money Qatar is offering will probably take Jim 10 years to scrape together. Don’t be fooled by his offer that keeps the lot of the Glazers at the club his bid is a joke
He keeps them all then definitely no better
 

cheekybackheel

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Funny analogy - my friends family were in that situation (a bunch inherited the family house) and they pissed about and managed to lose a lot of money.

So yes, I'd believe the Glazers would let it all burn just to spite one another.
Happened to me mate buying my first house, put a bid in (it had been left to 4 kids) and 2 wanted to sell to me straight away, the other 2 wanted more money. I didn't raise my bid and they squabbled for months over it, so long in fact that house prices plunged, I pulled out and bought a bigger property for less money. I eventually found they sold theirs for 50k less than what I offered. All because of greed and wanting a few more grand. I did laugh.

Yeah I could see that happening as well. I really hope they don't and just fekin get on with it and put differences aside.
 

Sandikan

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with all this transfer activity that looks pretty legit I'm wondering if a deal is more or less agreed behind the scenes
What transfer activity is that?
A few stories about Mount agreeing terms? Usual sort of fancy about other high value players like every summer.
 

Tarrou

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What transfer activity is that?
A few stories about Mount agreeing terms? Usual sort of fancy about other high value players like every summer.
yeah, we've been heavily linked him Min-Jae and Mount which is already ~100m worth
 

Licha M

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Are we still on course for completion by first quarter of this year?

Money sponging cnuts.
 

Rhyme Animal

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Happened to me mate buying my first house, put a bid in (it had been left to 4 kids) and 2 wanted to sell to me straight away, the other 2 wanted more money. I didn't raise my bid and they squabbled for months over it, so long in fact that house prices plunged, I pulled out and bought a bigger property for less money. I eventually found they sold theirs for 50k less than what I offered. All because of greed and wanting a few more grand. I did laugh.

Yeah I could see that happening as well. I really hope they don't and just fekin get on with it and put differences aside.
I think this is very likely to play out like this with the Glazers!
 

Woziak

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It was reported earlier from the telegraph go back through the thread it’s there numerous times. People thought it was £3bn but it was $3bn but the new shares would be paid at higher premium so the bid overall was about £2.7bn for 51% but eventually paying a premium for the other two glazers 20%, it’s all there I really can not be bothered to chase this again, when even if it’s the Telegraph we still don’t know if they are reporting the truth, we don’t know what any of the bids are because all parties are under strict NDA’s the safe assumption is that no party has met the price that the Glazers are willing to sell for , NO Bidders !

Ok onto the valuation which many people do not understand. The Raine Group get a huge Commission for arranging this sale and they want the highest value the club
The Glazers own 69% of the 69.5% B shares, Ed Woodward 0.05%. The other 30.5% are A shares and only have 1/10th the voting power of the B Shares.

The current share Price is $18.82 and there are 163 million shares with a market cap of $3.068bn. To gain control of the club the Glazers would like the club valued at £6bn for them to sell their controlling shares.

Forbes in May 2023 valued the club at $4.6bn with their breakdown as follows ; yearly Revenue of $663m, Debt Value at 13%, Matchday $59m, Future Broadcasting $2.1bn and Commercial Brand $1.6bn these are future revenues expected in a period of at least 20 years.

The Glazers own 113 million shares who were rumoured to be offered by the Qatar 33 dollars per share or $3.729 Bn
Plus the Glazers will also expect a premium for the current squad which is worth $950m. And future commercial deals valued at $1.6bn. Giving the Glazers a potential $6.2bn pay out minus the debt which must be paid, this does not have to be paid for in SJR bid, like I said there are pros and cons to both bids.

This is where 100% of the bid is very different from buying a controlling stake in the club and most of the fans do not understand this. SJR is not looking to pay anything like SJ to buy out the Glazers shares even though his bid is marginally higher in context only.

The real issues are simple the SJ bid of £4.8bn or $6bn does not value the squad at the value the Raine group does and rightly so because most of the squad have future amortised payments before the club owns them outright.

They have to pay the debt of $1bn before they can pay out the Glazers which is why SJ and the Qatar 92 foundation can not believe how the Raine Group and the Glazers keep moving the goal posts, there is only one 100% bid on the table which values Squad and loss of future commercial value.

I hope this now makes sense to a lot of people, my gut is they want the Qataris to make a final bid of about $38 per share which would be premium earn out sale value of = $4.294 billion which would be another £455m or $565m. This would mean that the SJ would pay $6.6bn- $1bn debt so the Glazers would receive $5.6bn to take control of the club and then have to offer the remaining 30.5% of which the Glazers own 4.3% at least $30 per share to delist from the NYSE. Therefore SJ would have to pay another $200m to the Glazers and $1.3bn to the remaining share holders.

Perspective after Qatar has paid the debt of $1bn and not even invested $1 into the club it would cost them a further $7bn (£5.7.bn) to own 100%, SJR does not have this cash available so he’s looking to broker a completely different deal.

There have been so many misconceptions to what the Glazers actually get but they simply answer is they got a lot more now for 100% buy out.
 
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LawCharltonBest

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The AI guy who controls Sheikh Jassim needs to wake up. Gone deafly quiet

Anticipating another week of absolutely nothing, not even any semi-reliable rumours.
 

Berbaclass

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:lol:

I swear you take yourself a lot less seriously than other people on here and it's hilarious to see their reactions.
I'm just trying to pass the time really, we're all fed up with the process. Think everyone would agree on that.
 

Loon

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I don’t know if I have ever trusted any of the prime movers in this, but I do wonder what happened to the supposed super secret bidders involved?
 

Berbaclass

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I don’t know if I have ever trusted any of the prime movers in this, but I do wonder what happened to the supposed super secret bidders involved?
It's in the media's interest to put out contradictory stuff. Drives clicks.

Until there is an official announcement from Raine/Club etc then I don't really believe anything at this stage. Think it's been proven that nobody knows much as you've said.
 

putzmcgee123

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Happened to me mate buying my first house, put a bid in (it had been left to 4 kids) and 2 wanted to sell to me straight away, the other 2 wanted more money. I didn't raise my bid and they squabbled for months over it, so long in fact that house prices plunged, I pulled out and bought a bigger property for less money. I eventually found they sold theirs for 50k less than what I offered. All because of greed and wanting a few more grand. I did laugh.

Yeah I could see that happening as well. I really hope they don't and just fekin get on with it and put differences aside.
The big difference here is that when purchasing a football club (or any prominent sports team), you are not just purchasing an asset for its utility. A lot of what you're buying is the badge. This means the fan base, the reputation, the prestige, the intellectual property. The Qatari consortium is not going to stumble across another club in England like Manchester United. This is a rare opportunity and Raine/Glazers know it. The question left unanswered is just how much of a premium are the Qataris willing to pay for it.
 

groovyalbert

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I think we go into next season with this still not sorted.

Bidding parties would have wanted to come in in time to make statements this window, hard to see there being time for this now.

Could be a benefit to both Jassim and SJR holding out - added fan pressure, stock price devaluation, etc. In other words, get to a point where the Glazers overplay their hand. It will be fecking brutal around the club if they stay now.
 

croadyman

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I can honestly see Qatar bending over and giving the Glazers what they want. I think they'd likely see missing out on United to SJR as quite shameful on their country, but thats just my opinion. SJ will get frustrated, offer the Glazers what they want, then the Glazers will just run off into the sunset with their big huge fat bags of cash, like the money greedy leeches they are.
Would be totally shameful,so yes it means those yankee leeches get more money but it's time to now hit that £6bn figure,so something along lines of £5.3bn plus £700m to cover debt
 

croadyman

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I think we go into next season with this still not sorted.

Bidding parties would have wanted to come in in time to make statements this window, hard to see there being time for this now.

Could be a benefit to both Jassim and SJR holding out - added fan pressure, stock price devaluation, etc. In other words, get to a point where the Glazers overplay their hand. It will be fecking brutal around the club if they stay now.
Just contemplating that is depressing
 

Berbaclass

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I think we go into next season with this still not sorted.

Bidding parties would either have wanted to come in in time to make statements this window, hard to see there being time for this now.

Could be a benefit to both Jassim and SJR holding out - added fan pressure, stock price devaluation, etc. In other words, get to a point where the Glazers overplay their hand. It will be fecking brutal around the club if they stay now.
Probably what's happening. The Glazers want an auction. Ratclliffe and Qatar seemingly want to pay less than the asking price. Both Ratcliffe and Qatar are fully aware of the clubs present financial situation and it's a strong possibility that they are trying to make the Glazers cave in.
 
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