Mb194dc
Full Member
- Joined
- Dec 8, 2015
- Messages
- 4,673
- Supports
- Chelsea
Most likely the polls were always wrong by at least 5% or even more against him, there was no huge surge in the space of a couple of weeks. Yes it's true Zemmour probably split Le Pens vote to some degree.There are lots of ifs and buts. Most of the left candidates didn't want an alliance between them. If Zemmour hadn't presented himself Le Pen would have been further ahead of Mélenchon. Not that long ago Mélenchon was fifth in the polls but with Zemmour and Pécresse having disastrous campaigns Mélenchon rose up and then announced 'retirement at 60' to boost himself at the end. Not forgetting Hidalgo (Labour) -if she'd have attracted any bigger share of the vote, Mélenchon would have been nowhere near Macron and LePen
Melenchon dominated younger age groups I think and the cities, which makes me think if he backs a younger successor with the same policy platform they'll have a very good chance next time to get to the run off, unless something changes drastically economically for the better. The PS are basically finished, be interesting to see after missing out so narrowly if the French hard left becomes more united or not for next time.