JoaquinJoaquin
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I think we will drop points tomorrow night, which will then make it tough for us.
I think Wolves could rest a few players for their semi-final on the weekend.I think we will drop points tomorrow night, which will then make it tough for us.
*Providing United fail to win on Tues that is...If Newcastle somehow dont lose tonight, we could be 3rd Wednesday, for a few days. If we beat Brighton home
Arsenal's fixtures are not as easy as it looks. They have to play away to Wolves, Watford, Everton and Leicester. With Arsenal's away record, I'll be surprised if they win even 2 of those.Top4 is so tight. I think Spurs and Arsenal have an easier fixture list, and I see Chelsea concentrating on Europa. Gun to the head I'd say Spurs 3rd, Arsenal 4th, United 5th, Chelsea 6th.
We have an outside chance, that loss at the Emirates stings.
*Providing United fail to win on Tues that is...
I wouldnt be surprised we come out 2w 2l 1 draw out of that. That itself may be enough though to get us through with 4th spot...we will see. Away games in general have been a problem. That international break did not help. We were just finding a bit of form.Arsenal's fixtures are not as easy as it looks. They have to play away to Wolves, Watford, Everton and Leicester. With Arsenal's away record, I'll be surprised if they win even 2 of those.
they have 5 away games from 7, how is their fixture easy?Arsenal going 3rd tomorrow? Given their fixtures they'll probably stay there.
They are at this meaningless (for them) stage of the season. Maybe not in say January/February.Watford, Palace, Wolves and Leicester aren't easy games at all.
7th gets Europa League, no? That's as best any of them will likely get for a while and surely what they are aiming for other than a cup run (albeit one will make the final).They are at this meaningless (for them) stage of the season. Maybe not in say January/February.
Honestly? I've never seen fans of these types of clubs get all smitten about Europa. Or the manager/owners. That's not a snooty attitude issue, it's just everyone know what it will involve (loads of expensive to get to games in the arse end of Europe) and it just isn't that sexy.7th gets Europa League, no? That's as best any of them will likely get for a while and surely what they are aiming for other than a cup run (albeit one will make the final).
The shite served up by the players for 4 months didn't help, either.I wouldn't bet on us being in the CL next season.
Thanks,Jose.
Maybe your right but if I was a fan of one of those teams I'd enjoy it. They should be able to compete and get through the groups at least and possibly help attracting players where it's not all about money. I'll see how my Everton supporting colleague sees it tomorrow. Would be quite depressing if they don't fancy it as every season is just about staying in the league, especially when a lot of teams throw away the cups too.Honestly? I've never seen fans of these types of clubs get all smitten about Europa. Or the manager/owners. That's not a snooty attitude issue, it's just everyone know what it will involve (loads of expensive to get to games in the arse end of Europe) and it just isn't that sexy.
Maybe the Wolves players might think differently because they would fancy themselves to win it and get into the CL but certainly not the likes of Leicester, Palace, etc. Everton have been there and got burned.
We are 5-2-2 in away matches outside the top six, which is the appropriate comparison set given that all the matches remaining are outside the top six. I'm sure we'll drop points in a couple of those away matches but if we win three of them - which we might not, but its not the toughest task either - and win our home games as well then it would be shocking if we didn't finish in the top four.5 away games left for Arsenal. They've only won 5/14 so far this season. Palace and Leicester have won more. They are still the outsiders for top 4 to me.
Fair point, but as Watford showed against us a few games ago, they're not taking the foot off the pedal yet. They weren't playing like a team in holiday mode.They are at this meaningless (for them) stage of the season. Maybe not in say January/February.
As if Arsenal will win away games against the teams who are chasing top 7, that also includes Arsenal's awful away from home, I think they'll win one in 5 away games and expected to lose/draw other 4 away games.I recommend this statistics page: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/premier-league/
According to it we have around 33% chance of finishing top 4. I think one of the key matches is tomorrow, we have 49% chance of winning, 26% of drawing and 25% of losing.
I think Spurs has the easiest schedule of the 4th, followed by Arsenal and then us and Chelsea tied.
ManUtd: We have 2 medium games against Wolves and Everton and two hard games in City and Chelsea.
Chelsea: Chelsea haves 2 medium games against Watford and Leicester and 2 hard games against Liverpool and us.
Arsenal: 4 medium games against Everton, Watford, Wolves, Leicester.
Spurs: only 1 hard game against City and 1 medium against Everton.
I think Spurs will ultimately nail the 4th place, so we must win all the medium games and get the 3 points against Chelsea and hope for Arsenal to have a drop in some of the games left.
I think Chelsea will focus on the Europa League while Arsenal may very well get eliminated by Napoli so they will focus entirely on the EPL. Our best case scenario is Arsenal to beat Napoli and continue in the EL so they have to rotate players.As if Arsenal will win away games against the teams who are chasing top 7, that also includes Arsenal's awful away from home, I think they'll win one in 5 away games and expected to lose/draw other 4 away games.
For us to get to the top 4, most important is beating Chelsea first, then we will finish in the top 4 as long as we have a 70% win over the season.