Westminster Politics

Offsideagain

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My considered opinion after a long study of the last ten years of Politics is this:

Tories are Fecked.
Starmer is Fecked.
We're all Fecked.

Sunak is scrabling about trying to bring in policies that may be popular with the 'red wall' seats but will never erase the memory (for me at least) of Liz Truss and co making a complete bollocks of the economy in 40 days or whatever it was. I have mates that lost large chunks of their pensions thanks to Kwarteng.

Starmer was on TV saying Jeremy Corbyn was his friend and colleague. Starmer was on TV when the Wokerati got to him saying Jeremy Corbyn was never his friend. Starmer was on TV looking lost when asked what Labour would do about, well, everything from small boats to Ukraine to potholes.

The only good thing that may happen in the GE is the annihilation of the SNP.
 

Paul the Wolf

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In the insane world where refugees no longer tried to get to the UK or the UK opened up safe routes and nobody crossed the Channel in a small boat. The 30,000 people that are deemed responsible for all the ills of the UK - can't blame them anymore - check. EU, no can't be them - Uk have left -check. Who's next on the hit list?
 

Dobba

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"You and your paper can feck off."
In the insane world where refugees no longer tried to get to the UK or the UK opened up safe routes and nobody crossed the Channel in a small boat. The 30,000 people that are deemed responsible for all the ills of the UK - can't blame them anymore - check. EU, no can't be them - Uk have left -check. Who's next on the hit list?
It'll go back to the glory days of 2010-15, the disabled and anyone else in receipt of benefits.
 

Buster15

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In the insane world where refugees no longer tried to get to the UK or the UK opened up safe routes and nobody crossed the Channel in a small boat. The 30,000 people that are deemed responsible for all the ills of the UK - can't blame them anymore - check. EU, no can't be them - Uk have left -check. Who's next on the hit list?
What is insane is that France, Germany and Italy obviously don't rely on shipping that sail through the Red Sea. Because these NATO nations declined to support the US/UK air strikes on Huthis in Yemen who have been attacking civilian shopping.
 

Paul the Wolf

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What is insane is that France, Germany and Italy obviously don't rely on shipping that sail through the Red Sea. Because these NATO nations declined to support the US/UK air strikes on Huthis in Yemen who have been attacking civilian shopping.
Ships are going through the Red Sea and France has naval presence to escort /guard vessels - Sunak is lying as usual. The vessels carry goods for everybody. But they're still going through the Red Sea.
 

Buster15

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Ships are going through the Red Sea and France has naval presence to escort /guard vessels - Sunak is lying as usual. The vessels carry goods for everybody. But they're still going through the Red Sea.
Yes I understand that. But only today, another ship was attacked. What is Sunak lying about?
 

Paul the Wolf

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Yes I understand that. But only today, another ship was attacked. What is Sunak lying about?
About the vessels all having to go around the Cape of Good Hope. Some are, most aren't. The pirates from Somalia were active for many years and have recently started again as well..
One strange thing is that goods bound for the US don't often go through the Red Sea.
 

Buster15

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About the vessels all having to go around the Cape of Good Hope. Some are, most aren't. The pirates from Somalia were active for many years and have recently started again as well..
One strange thing is that goods bound for the US don't often go through the Red Sea.
Thank you for this. We will have to see how this issue plays out. I very much doubt it is over.
 

F-Red

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About the vessels all having to go around the Cape of Good Hope. Some are, most aren't. The pirates from Somalia were active for many years and have recently started again as well..
One strange thing is that goods bound for the US don't often go through the Red Sea.
Eh? Companies with over half of the market share of container shipments in the world are all going round the Cape of Good hope now. No one from MSC, Maersk, CMA CGM or Hapag Lloyd are going through the Red Sea at all. Only COSCO from the big 5 are the only ones going through the Red Sea but they've paused any shipments to/from Israel.
 

Paul the Wolf

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Eh? Companies with over half of the market share of container shipments in the world are all going round the Cape of Good hope now. No one from MSC, Maersk, CMA CGM or Hapag Lloyd are going through the Red Sea at all. Only COSCO from the big 5 are the only ones going through the Red Sea but they've paused any shipments to/from Israel.
I knew Hapag Lloyd were but not the others. How recent is this? Since last week? Vessels to and from Israel was supposed to be the target of the Houthi.
 

F-Red

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I knew Hapag Lloyd were but not the others. How recent is this? Since last week? Vessels to and from Israel was supposed to be the target of the Houthi.
Most have announced just at the turn of the month and others recently, I've got 2 containers going around there bound for the UK. One with MSC and one with Maersk. Pricing is starting to increase on container, so we'll see a ripple effect in the cost of goods from around May onwards.
 

Paul the Wolf

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Most have announced just at the turn of the month and others recently, I've got 2 containers going around there bound for the UK. One with MSC and one with Maersk. Pricing is starting to increase on container, so we'll see a ripple effect in the cost of goods from around May onwards.
Cheers for that.
I looked on Maersk website and looked for a shipping time from Tangier to Singapore which they're still showing as 3.5 weeks for a vessel leaving in 2 days, ie through Suez.
Presume they're hoping/expecting a quick solution. Or will it escalate.
 

Jericholyte2

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I had a colleague in my team today, the day after 5 asylum seekers died trying to cross The Channel, make a joke about how ‘we can defend the Red Sea but not the Channel. What I’d do is tell people we’re sinking the boats and then sink the next 20 that we find.’

Then, when challenged on the ethics, he chuckled, ‘I don’t care about the ethics of it, I care about the results.’

Turns out I know one of the 22%.
 

Pexbo

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I had a colleague in my team today, the day after 5 asylum seekers died trying to cross The Channel, make a joke about how ‘we can defend the Red Sea but not the Channel. What I’d do is tell people we’re sinking the boats and then sink the next 20 that we find.’

Then, when challenged on the ethics, he chuckled, ‘I don’t care about the ethics of it, I care about the results.’

Turns out I know one of the 22%.
Do you have a HR department?
 

Mart1974

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Seems he has got a friend now.
Stopping the boats is a good thing, people really don't want asylum seekers making a dangerous crossing to get here. The question is how. Labour are talking about processing people in France and opening legal routes, not shipping people off to Rwanda.
 

Mart1974

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I had a colleague in my team today, the day after 5 asylum seekers died trying to cross The Channel, make a joke about how ‘we can defend the Red Sea but not the Channel. What I’d do is tell people we’re sinking the boats and then sink the next 20 that we find.’

Then, when challenged on the ethics, he chuckled, ‘I don’t care about the ethics of it, I care about the results.’

Turns out I know one of the 22%.
What a cnut.
 

Sweet Square

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Stopping the boats is a good thing, people really don't want asylum seekers making a dangerous crossing to get here. The question is how. Labour are talking about processing people in France and opening legal routes, not shipping people off to Rwanda.
Labour want to offshore people into just another country that isn’t Rwanda.
Labour is reportedly considering a scheme that would see asylum seekers’ claims processed elsewhere.Keir Starmer is mulling “detailed plans” for an offshoring scheme as he seeks to deter Tory attacks on Labour’s alternative to the Rwanda plan, the Times said on Monday.
The Labour leader has previously dismissed the plan to deport people to the African nation as a “gimmick” and made clear his party’s opposition.

However, the shadow home secretary, Yvette Cooper, and shadow immigration minister Stephen Kinnock have reportedly been speaking to asylum experts, former home secretary David Blunkett and other European countries to draw up an alternative proposal to tackle small boats crossings in the Channel.
Under the plan, asylum claims would be processed overseas, with successful applicants allowed to come to the UK. While explicit backing for an offshoring scheme would mark a significant shift for Labour, Starmer did signal earlier this month that he would not be opposed to considering such an approach.

“Other countries around the world do have schemes where they divert people on the way and process them elsewhere. That’s a different kind of scheme,” he told reporters after a speech in Buckinghamshire. “And, look, I’ll look at any scheme that might work.”

https://theguardian.com/uk-news/202...-considering-offshoring-asylum-seekers-claims
Also the “experts” they are talking to like David Blunkett are the ones who originally came up with the Rwanda type policy -https://theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/dec/29/tony-blair-rwanda-style-asylum-plan-2003
 

Murder on Zidane's Floor

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Labour want to offshore people into just another country that isn’t Rwanda.


Also the “experts” they are talking to like David Blunkett are the ones who originally came up with the Rwanda type policy -https://theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/dec/29/tony-blair-rwanda-style-asylum-plan-2003
I don't see an issue per se in stopping the boats but to be some sort of society wide zeitgeist, as if it's a fight for suffrage or emancipation, is weird.

I don't think offshoring but I think processing people who arrive here undocumented, is fine. It's the turning it into a political football that winds me up.
 

Smores

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Stopping the boats is a good thing, people really don't want asylum seekers making a dangerous crossing to get here. The question is how. Labour are talking about processing people in France and opening legal routes, not shipping people off to Rwanda.
I don't think the people Starmer is trying to appeal to with those statements care about the safety of immigrants.

I agree with your point but the question is does Starmer need to parrot anti-immigrant language to promote such policy?
 

Sweet Square

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I don't see an issue per se in stopping the boats but to be some sort of society wide zeitgeist, as if it's a fight for suffrage or emancipation, is weird.

I don't think offshoring but I think processing people who arrive here undocumented, is fine. It's the turning it into a political football that winds me up.
Yeah it’s a tiny tiny number of people and a issue that effects no one in this country. Any British government could easily created safe route and have these people looked after.

As it’s been mentioned it’s bottom of the barrel stuff from a political system in deep decline and unwilling to accept any reforms.
 

Solius

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What's this redrawing of the boundaries then? Does that make it harder for a Labour election win? I thought they were still so far ahead in the polling.
 

Jippy

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What's this redrawing of the boundaries then? Does that make it harder for a Labour election win? I thought they were still so far ahead in the polling.
Just reading about that.

Boundary changes mean Labour needs bigger swing than 1997 to win general election
Sir Keir Starmer will have to achieve a swing of 12.7 points from the Conservatives to become prime minister, new research shows – larger than the 10.2-point swing Tony Blair managed in his 1997 landslide, and more than double the swing at any other election since 1945.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/01/16/boundary-changes-labour-general-election/

EDIT: Also

“The Conservatives have made a net gain of seven seats from the new boundaries; Labour has a net loss of two seats. The Liberal Democrats lose three seats and Plaid Cymru drops from four seats to just two.”
 

Abizzz

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What is insane is that France, Germany and Italy obviously don't rely on shipping that sail through the Red Sea. Because these NATO nations declined to support the US/UK air strikes on Huthis in Yemen who have been attacking civilian shopping.
Source?
 

Relfy

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Cheers for that.
I looked on Maersk website and looked for a shipping time from Tangier to Singapore which they're still showing as 3.5 weeks for a vessel leaving in 2 days, ie through Suez.
Presume they're hoping/expecting a quick solution. Or will it escalate.
From what I know, some carriers are sending part of their fleets through Red Sea and whilst continuing to send other vessels within their fleets around COGH. The carriers don't tend to own all vessels within their fleet - they charter a lot from other companies/owners. It is predominantly the vessels with links (or potential links) to those friendly with Israel which are being diverted. Same applies to breakbulk, RoRo carriers too. Prices are most definitely rising in terms of surcharges and peak season costs being enforced, which will all flow down to the consumer.
 

Paul the Wolf

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From what I know, some carriers are sending part of their fleets through Red Sea and whilst continuing to send other vessels within their fleets around COGH. The carriers don't tend to own all vessels within their fleet - they charter a lot from other companies/owners. It is predominantly the vessels with links (or potential links) to those friendly with Israel which are being diverted. Same applies to breakbulk, RoRo carriers too. Prices are most definitely rising in terms of surcharges and peak season costs being enforced, which will all flow down to the consumer.
Used to be in the international trading business. Retired for seven years but it got me thinking. Out of the 10s of thousands of containers we shipped all around the world, so little of it went through the Red Sea, definitely a lot less than 10% but that's because we didn't trade much between Europe and the Far East. And the US ship very little through there and the UK (nor the EU) not a great deal. GOGH adds ten days to the journey. See how this pans out.
 

Buster15

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The source my friend is the main news media. Both the BBC and Sky covered the operation and even though it was clear that just the US and UK jets were involved, you can easily check this out.
 

Abizzz

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Cheers.

France failed to sign a statement of support for the US and UK air strikes on the Houthis after it said it would not take part in bombing raids to protect Red Sea shipping.

Washington and London took action on Thursday after the Houthis attacked ships, including the destroyer Diamond, with drones on Tuesday.

Germany, Denmark, The Netherlands, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, South Korea and Bahrain signed a joint statement backing the US-UK strikes and warning of further action.

The Dutch also provided logistical help during the strikes but other major European powers including France, Spain and Italy did not offer military or political support.
Doesn't sound like it's a very united position.
 

Maticmaker

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In the insane world where refugees no longer tried to get to the UK or the UK opened up safe routes and nobody crossed the Channel in a small boat. The 30,000 people that are deemed responsible for all the ills of the UK - can't blame them anymore - check. EU, no can't be them - Uk have left -check. Who's next on the hit list?
Well spotted Paul...it's that insane world that is taking the Tories down the rabbit hole!
With Starmer laying back watching and chewing on a carrot and saying " What's up Doc" ;)
 

Frosty

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What's this redrawing of the boundaries then? Does that make it harder for a Labour election win? I thought they were still so far ahead in the polling.
It happens after a census to ensure the seats have equal number of registered voters. It is just unfortunate the new House of Commons is drawn in a way more favourable to the Tories. The Electoral Commission, who redraw the boundaries, have to do so politically neutrally, unlike the US for example.