Maticmaker
Full Member
- Joined
- Nov 8, 2018
- Messages
- 4,782
I suspect everybody (at least in our age group) do. Polls may give an indication of the way the wind is blowing, but its always a mistake to try to use it as a measure.Yes indeed.
Personally I treat the opinion polls with a big pinch of salt.
Yes I believe Labour will win. But I doubt it will be more than just a small working majority.
The longer Sunak waits, the bigger the risk is to Labour. Especially with slightly improving economic conditions.
Still everything to play for.
As you say Starmer has a large majority to overcome and to do the things he needs to do, will, as I've speculated elsewhere, need to have very large swings at least in the constituencies where results do tend to blow with the wind. He will then need to establish a timetable for real change that will cover at least two possibly three terms. Its a massive task and he is right to canvass support wherever he can, across the board,
There are massive problems both behind him i.e.fall out and costs (debts) from Covid and in front of him, the ever deepening worry of wars continuing in Europe and in the Middle East, neither of which show any sign of abating and if anything show signs of dragging others in. There is of course climate changes, of which many governments are now (effectively) rowing back from (or thinking of doing so) etc.
The big problem will be increases in defence spending, as the threat grows so money and resources will get sucked into this area from everywhere else. The primary duty of a government is to defend its people, therefore as war clouds gather so resources get diverted to move the economy on to a 'war footing' suspect (@Paul the Wolf ) Paul would say after Brexit, its already on that footing now, as it is believed Russia already is at this stage now.
If Starmer does not get his large majority, its even possible (if the worst should follow) that a government of national unity may be on the cards..... the mind boggles!!