That is an utterly new level of psychosis. So many unanswered questions. How did he pick out the arbitrary number 2 out of thin air? What the feck is a -1-0?Such a wonderful child like quality to this post in the 'next five games' thread. Basically took two goals off last year and it seemed to work for the previous games, wonder what happens whe he projects forward.....
zabadoh
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Re: How many points would you expect in the next 5 league games - 2014/15 edition
« Reply #290 on: November 24, 2014, 04:33:22 AM »
Given that we're scoring an average of about 1.5 goals less per match compared to last season, and our defense is performing at about the same level as last season, here is what our next 11 matches (all of which we won last season) look like with 2 goals subtracted from our score each match from last season's equivalent results:
For example, our next match is home against Stoke. Last season we won this match 1-0. Subtract 2 goals for -1-0, account for the minimum score of 0, and the prediction is a 0-0 draw.
Predict D Liverpool 0–0 Stoke City
Predict L Leicester City (Norwich City) 2–1 Liverpool
Predict L Liverpool 0–1 Sunderland
Predict W Manchester United 0–1 Liverpool
Predict W Liverpool 3–1 Arsenal
Predict L Burnley (Fulham) 2–1 Liverpool
Predict L Liverpool 2–3 Swansea City
Predict W Liverpool 3–1 Leicester City (Norwich City)
Predict D Sunderland 1–1 Liverpool
Predict D Aston Villa 0–0 Liverpool
Predict W Liverpool 2–1 West Ham United
So how did this predictive method perform against matches that have already happened? Not the actual final score, just W, L or D
Predict L Liverpool 0–1 Southampton (actual W 3-1) wrong
Predict L Manchester City 2–0 Liverpool (actual L 3-1) correct
Predict W Tottenham Hotspur 0–3 Liverpool (actual W 0-3) correct + score match!
Predict L Liverpool 0–2 Aston Villa (actual L 0-1) correct
Predict L West Ham United 1–0 Liverpool (actual L 3-1) correct
Predict W Liverpool 2–0 Everton (actual D 1-1) wrong
Predict W Liverpool 2–1 West Bromwich Albion (actual W 2-1) correct + score match!
Predict W QPR (Cardiff City) 3–4 Liverpool (actual W 2-3) correct
Predict D Liverpool 0–0 Hull City (actual D 0-0) correct + score match!
Predict L Newcastle United 2–0 Liverpool (actual L 1-0) correct
Predict L Liverpool 0–2 Chelsea (actual L 1-2) correct
Predict L Crystal Palace 3–1 Liverpool (actual L 3-1) correct + score match!
So, just subtracting 2 goals from our score from last season's equivalent result correctly predicted the WLD in 10 out of 12 matches, and correctly predicted the score in 4 out of 12.
« Last Edit: November 24, 2014, 04:57:14 AM by zabadoh »
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“It's impossible,” said Pride. “It's risky,” said Experience. “It's pointless,” said Reason.
“Give it a try,” whispered the Heart. - Ken-Obi
Also later he admits that's he's superstitious and so having worn the shirt when liverpool lost, he'll never be able to wear it in public again, one less FKW walking the streets, such a shame
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